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max silver

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Everything posted by max silver

  1. max silver
    Yeah it's become all too common to completely ignore the actual result on the field when evaluating pitcher performance. Like if Jose Berrios provides 192 innings of mid 3 ERA in a season that's a fantastic result and did not hold back the team in any material way. This would be like if position player WAR was calculated solely based on xwOBA and entirely ignored the results on the field of play. For instance if a Statcast based xWAR existed then the 2023 version of Vlad probably provided something like 3.5-4 wins in this and therefore he had a good season, despite the actual results being awful compared to the inherent talent level.
  2. max silver
    I recall Shapiro also mentioned Atkins would not be held back from pursuing anyone in free agency due to budgetary restraints, but there wasn't really mention of whether available payroll had the necessary flexibility to pursue the top free agent and still fill the other remaining holes.
  3. max silver
    Jaysblue is quietly weeping in the corner.
  4. max silver
    Snell was pretty much screwed over by Boras who refused to budge off of his ridiculous contract asking prices until spring training was approaching or even underway in some instances. Who knows what his actual offers looked like but I'm sure a helluva lot better than 2 years was on the table.
  5. max silver
    I think the offers for Soto are largely going to fall into the same general range as was the case with Ohtani. I fully expect that something other than money alone will end up being the key determining factor. The Jays don't exactly have a competitive situation to use as a selling point and I expect that would be a primary factor that may leave them having a hard time attracting quality free agents this offseason.
  6. max silver
    I think Vlad has generational levels of talent, but it hasn't shown up in the results every season up to this point.
  7. max silver
    Oddly enough Gurriel ended up developing into a solid defender in left field. It's too bad for him that at the same time his bat was downgraded to just a shade above league average as well.
  8. max silver
    His great season kind of came out of nowhere. I recall he was a top ranked prospect at one point, but when checking his minor league numbers they were rather pedestrian once he hit AAA in particular.
  9. max silver
    Yimi kind of feels like an elbow operation waiting to happen as I believe he had several elbow related injury list stints during the season. If he's cheap enough I'd still bring him back though as he was downright filthy this season when healthy.
  10. max silver
    Both of these guys may need to be full time DH only types 4 or 5 years from now but that would be a an issue down the road. The offensive upside would more than make up for it.
  11. max silver
    In that case I would sign both of them if possible. The Yankees have shown this season how it's possible to build a great offense by having two elite hitters, and having two of these guys for their respective primes would set the team up offensively for the long term.
  12. max silver
    Vlad's natural talent gives him a shot to eventually become MLB's best hitter. It's far from a given that will occur but elite offensive performers don't grow on trees and Soto aside there simply isn't comparable talent available to spend the money on in free agency this offseason.
  13. max silver
    A lot of how that trade looks long term will depend on how much Murphy bounces back with the bat. It was pretty shocking to see him produce a 76 wRC+ this season as he came into the year with a 119 wRC+ average for his career. I can only assume he was greatly affected by injuries to have suffered from such a drastic reduction in all of his quality of contact metrics and batted ball variety.
  14. max silver
    I wonder who would have been included in a trade package?
  15. max silver
    Yeah I agree fully. It was the perfect opportunity to allow some of these guys to get their feet wet and see if there were any pleasant surprises among the bunch of MLB ready prospects. It's a shame that Orelvis was busted for Clomiphene as this would have been a great chance for him to get his first taste of MLB pitching. It's generally taken him repeating a level in the upper minors before he fully hit his stride and I suspect he'll have the same type of challenges initially in MLB. It's a bit of a blessing in disguise to finish with fewer wins given the chance to pick higher in the draft while enjoying the increase in budget that comes along with the higher draft slots.
  16. max silver
    Yeah I was thinking about how much the trades likely affected the overall quality of the team. Several of the pieces that were moved weren't exactly lighting the world on fire. Clement provided a lot of the value that IKF did as a Blue Jay, losing Kiermaier was likely a net positive given how poorly he hit this season, trading Kikuchi opened a spot for Francis who was a revelation out of the pen etc. At any rate the team was running a lot of rookies in the last few months who didn't necessarily fully deserve MLB playing time (guys like Loperfido, Del Los Santos, Berroa and others) and this absolutely cost the teams the chance for more victories. They actually went on a bit of a run in August based on the offense heating up but after guys like Bo and Varsho were completely finished for the season the offense completely ground to a halt.
  17. max silver
    The Blue Jays bullpen sucked directly as a result of Romano missing the season and Swanson turning into a turd early in the season. Add in injuries/missed time to Green and Garcia in the early stages and Mayza losing his stuff and you have one of MLB's worst bullpens, which is the biggest reason why the team was as bad as they were. The team was awful in one run games, and a lot of this is directly due to not having enough relievers who could reliably retire major league hitters for the entire season.
  18. max silver
    The Blue Jays traded away basically half of their starting lineup at the deadline including the DH/center fielder/starting third baseman/starting catcher, a middle of the rotation starter and their closer as well. That directly factors into the low win total. Even if they made the foolish decision to load up before the trade deadline the team would have had a tough time even running a winning percentage over .500, but the team as constructed simply wasn't as bad as the final result as the team was largely disassembled. They also weren't a luxury tax team after the deadline either and won't likely be end of season either.
  19. max silver
    I think the deals were essentially the same, but unfortunately Semien chose the Rangers offer due to personal reasons as well as the fact that Texas has no state income tax.
  20. max silver
    That reminds me of when AA traded away Mike Napoli for Frank Francisco. Napoli exploded offensively and gave Texas a 179 wRC+/4.3 FWAR season, and Francisco gave the Blue Jays a 0.4 FWAR season. This trade was far worse than the Teoscar trade as it was a straight up 1 for 1 trade, and Francisco only had a single year of control. This was just another example of how AA kept f***ing up and trading away all of the good catchers he had (Napoli, Gomes, D'Arnaud) while keeping JP Arencibia instead.
  21. max silver
    This might be a good offseason to load up on free agents and start working towards replacing some of the soon to depart players and attempting to acquire some new core players. Bassitt is gone after next season, Gausman and Springer only have two remaining seasons each, Romano, Bo and Vlad each have only one season left under contract etc. I have doubts Rogers would open up the purse strings further for a season or two if the opportunity arises to add impact talent and run a higher than expected payroll for a season or two but it would make a big difference for the front office to have a bit more available payroll space.
  22. max silver
    Free agent costs from last offseason aren't particularly relevant to the year that Springer was signed.
  23. max silver
    That's assuming Teo would have been willing to sign a cheap team friendly extension which is something we simply don't know. Some guys prioritize getting paid in free agency and aren't willing to sign bargain deals with their team prior to that opportunity.
  24. max silver
    Keep telling myself what? That placing an excessive amount of emphasis on the quality of the coaching staff based on a 2 game sample is low key kind of pointless? In the first game Berrios had a rough start and the cavalcade of dumpster diving acquisition relievers were bombed. So that means the coaching staff is s*** for some reason, that checks out for sure. In the second game the largely rookie laden lineup couldn't get any offense going and the dumpster diving relief core was battered again. So of course that means the coaching staff is terrible again.
  25. max silver
    The final 3 games between two last place teams where a bunch of rookies and cast off relievers are largely playing indicates a weak coaching staff? I think there's enough of a sample size over the other 159 games to make conclusions without needing to place a ton of emphasis on the final series of the season.
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