max silver
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Everything posted by max silver
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It certainly can't hurt the Jays chances of a Kim signing having Korea's best MLB player already on the roster. Kim is such a great fit for the Jays roster, he can play third base on a regular basis and provide cover for short stop in case of a Bichette injury.
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I'd be a little worried about the possibility of cancer relapse with Carrasco. You would think that would have to factor into the acquisition cost though, so maybe the prospect capital required would be lessened a bit.
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You are acting as if the 2020 version of Stripling is guaranteed to be the same level of performance that he delivers going forward. He had a rough couple of months in a pandemic shortened season, one in which pitchers weren't able to utilize their normal training routines due to lockdown measures. Even factoring in the bad results in 2020 Stripling still has a career ERA/FIP/XFIP of 3.77/3.89/3.65. You would have to imagine the front office identified some sort of flaw in his delivery or mechanics that suddenly led to him becoming more hittable than usual. His walk rate was quite a bit higher than his career norms and his homerun rate basically doubled compared to his career norms. His stuff doesn't look to have taken a step back either. If he can get himself back to his usual self and perform up to his career standard he is a pretty nice back end rotation option.
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I seriously doubt Lindor ever puts up another 7 win season though. His foot speed looks to be slowing down as his sprint speeds have been dropping, and the last few years he's been a negative runner based on Fangraphs. Lindor's offensive output has only been decent the last few seasons. He looks like a player who if his defense starts to slip (not out of the realm of possibility due to declining speed) isn't going to be worth a superstar contract. I think Jason Heyward is a pretty decent comparable, so much of his value was achieved by being well rounded in all 3 phases of the game but the bat was never elite. If/when either the bat or the defense slips for Lindor he could very quickly lose much of his value on the field.
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I don't agree with trading away the guy who is likely the team's best outfielder personally, makes more sense in my view to wait until the next offseason when you potentially have a full crop of premiere shortstops to choose from and only give away a comp pick. What is the upgrade of Lindor vs. Gurriel, 2-3 wins max? Plus whatever prospect capital needs to be moved out as well, all for the right of paying a free agent contract to Lindor a year early?
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Just saying I disagree with the projections. Obviously we can't assume any player with meet or exceed their projections, but 2 wins is pretty damn conservative for Gurriel assuming he plays a more or less complete season.
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Those projections have Gurriel projected at 107 WRC+, which he has handily beaten every season since he was a rookie. If he manages to stay reasonably healthy and make it into 140 or so games 3 wins should be well within his grasp. It's amazing how little North American professional experience he has under his belt, he has only played in about 350 games total due to the various injuries he seems to constantly be dealing with.
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Wheeler/Ryu/Pearson would be a crazy good top 3 members for the rotation.
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Zach Wheeler would be an awesome pickup, how desperate are the Phillies to shed salary?
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General 2020 Blue Jays Discussion Thread
max silver replied to Bobthe4th's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
I view Danny Jansen's maximum ceiling being a Yasmani Grandal type dual threat. Both Jansen and Grandal put up similar numbers as minor leaguers, with similar iso numbers, similar k/bb rates, similar WRC+. Jansen needs to start squaring up more baseballs to reach his ceiling, but I see no way that he will be a sub .200 BABIP player forever. Both Jansen and Grandal are very good defensive catchers as well. Trading a player of this potential calibre away for a 1 year rental player is monumentally stupid. I could see him being a key piece to a trade for somebody like Yu Darvish, but the key is the need to get some control back in any trade. -
General 2020 Blue Jays Discussion Thread
max silver replied to Bobthe4th's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
You are really underrating Jansen to a large degree. He has likely been baseballs least lucky hitter the last 2 seasons. If his BABIP was more in the realm of normalcy given his quality of contact and BB/K rates he is likely to be a very effective overall player. I'm in no means against trading him to upgrade the roster elsewhere, but it would be lunacy to give him away for a pitcher with 1 year of control. -
Yeah it's been hammered, 96.1 MPH EV is 2020, better in 2019 at 91.7 MPH but still squared up way too much.
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Zeuch is essentially completely reliant on ground balls finding their way into gloves, there is very little chance he is going to have sustained success as a starter. The guy's XERA for 2019 and 2020 are 6.64 and 5.18. His stuff is mediocre, and his only real skill is effectively sinking a baseball as he has both mediocre velocity and spin rate on his pitches. The story with Zeuch is the same as it has always been, unless he develops effective secondary pitch(es) he has a very low ceiling.
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Not unless you flip Gurriel for something else.
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I'm very excited to see what an actual in shape Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is capable of on a baseball diamond. He's been a soft out of shape kid who never lost his baby fat, for once a "best shape of his life" story will be 100% true.
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Yeah that seems like a counterproductive move to upgrade a strength when there are so many obvious weaknesses on the roster.
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General 2020 Blue Jays Discussion Thread
max silver replied to Bobthe4th's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
Apparently that's from a year ago... -
If I recall correctly Ortiz was one of the players listed in the Mitchell Report all those years ago.
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Yes please, Darvish possesses ace level stuff and fully recovered from his elbow issues has really put things together. What would the cubs demand in return I wonder?
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I like Odorizzi over Tanaka, more upside, several years younger and likely takes less years at a lower annual value as well.
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He's just not nearly as exciting as many of the other arms out there. What is his likely ceiling going forward? I see a guy that's likely only a 2-2.5 win starter at this point of his career.
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They will both create headaches for their respective teams by constantly spouting off on Twitter for sure, but go about doing so quite differently. Stroman is typically busy playing the hypersensitive short man victim routine, while Bauer seems to get kicks out of trolling anybody in his path, whether it's Rob Manfred, the Houston Astros, random fans, etc.
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General 2020 Blue Jays Discussion Thread
max silver replied to Bobthe4th's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
Mechanics is far from the only thing that led to Law to declare that Woods Richardson might be a reliever, Law was declaring that Woods Richardson has no breaking ball in his repertoire. https://theathletic.com/1609956/2020/02/26/keith-laws-prospect-rankings-toronto-blue-jays/ -
General 2020 Blue Jays Discussion Thread
max silver replied to Bobthe4th's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
I like this assessment of Woods Richardson much more than the Keith Law pissing in our cornflakes version. -
I'm increasingly warming to the idea of attempting to bring Charlie Morton aboard. As he is an older pitcher I have suspicions the covid shortened summer camp would have really negatively affected his performance. Once again due to the advanced age I don't think it's going to take more than a year or two offer to bring him aboard, and I like his chances to be successful much more than oft-injured pitchers like Paxton or Kluber.