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max silver

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Everything posted by max silver

  1. max silver
    White, Francis and Tiedemann all saw their timelines pushed back due to injury. Zulueta got hurt and forgot how to throw strikes. It seems kind of unfair to blame the organization for that. Hutchison was hurt as well so same deal there. There was certainly the possibility that Thompson would continue to be bad, but he was pretty good as soon as 2021 so it seemed like a reasonable gamble. I think the organization did a decent job trying to assemble depth, but unfortunately most of these guys suffered injury and/or ineffectiveness. s*** happens sometimes where even well laid plans end up going awry.
  2. max silver
    Romero foolishly chose to pitch through injured knees and ended up ruining his career as a result. Hopefully this isn't the case with Alek.
  3. max silver
    This guy acts like there are quality MLB starters itching for the chance to toil in AAA hoping for a potential callup. All of the starters with a realistic shot to stick in a rotation are already on MLB deals, so all that's left is a bunch of turds that you try to polish in hopes of coming up with something more than just a shiny turd. Francis is the one guy I forgot to mention. He had a fantastic showing in winter ball and looked very good in the spring as well. Once he's fully built back up I think he's depth option number 1 and he might be a decent back end starter guy in the future. I could also see Kloffenstein receiving a shot as well if several starters go down due to injury. I think there's a shot that Tiedemann could have pitched in MLB this season as well had he not gone down to injury.
  4. max silver
    Did you miss that the front office signed Hutchison and Thompson? They had White on hand already who has had some success in MLB, and some other internal options that needed opportunities at AAA to continue to develop. This isn't nearly as bad as you are trying to make it out to be. If you don't have starters in the upper levels of the minors who are ready to contribute right away you sign a bunch of s*** in the offseason and end up hoping that some of them can provide a few innings for you, unfortunately the guys they signed were either awful or opted out due to lack of opportunity.
  5. max silver
    I think they tried to amass some depth, it just unfortunately all ended up being s***. White got hurt and never regained his ability to retire even minor league hitters, Hutchison wasn't lighting the world on fire and then opted out, Zulueta couldn't find the strike zone, Thompson continued being awful even in AAA, Hatch was turned into a reliever, etc. I don't think there is an exact science to accumulating quality depth aside from developing it yourself, and the organization's top starting prospects are still in AA and below.
  6. max silver
    Given how bad the depth options have been and the fact Hutchison recently opted out that's a really damning indication of how the front office views White right now.
  7. max silver
    Yordan Alvarez is the kind of offensive contributor I hope Vlad eventually becomes. The raw tools are there but the consistency certainly needs work.
  8. max silver
    Yeah most likely not something worth raging about. This team is big on load management of their players so there are going to be days from time to time where a big bat is on the bench to start the day. Belt is 35 and had knee surgery in the offseason so he's not going to play every day. With Springer having a DH day and Vlad at first that leaves no room for Belt unfortunately.
  9. max silver
    If you are looking to appease the old school baseball fans then I don't think non-binary pitcher wins would be the most prudent course of action.
  10. max silver
    Belt started showing signs of life in early April. From April 11-24 he hit .333/.379/.556 160 WRC+ with a 27.6% K rate. So he was really bad at the start and end of the month and really good in the middle, leading to overall mediocre numbers for the month.
  11. max silver
    I think a shared responsibility for earned runs would ultimately be more fair and equitable to everyone involved. Something like the pitcher who starts the inning allowing a runner to reach first base and then the reliever taking over allows him to score adds 1/4 run to the original pitcher and 3/4 run to the reliever, runner reaching second base off of original pitcher is a 50/50 split etc.
  12. max silver
    The club was easing him back after offseason knee surgery so I was fine with how they eased him back into the lineup. No sense having him push too hard too soon and risking blowing out his surgically repaired knee.
  13. max silver
    Belt was only really bad for his first 6 games/25 plate appearances. His offensive numbers, although BABIP aided a bit have been superb ever since.
  14. max silver
    Varsho has been trending upwards offensively as the season has continued. There aren't a lot of data points to compare but historically he's been a better second half performer compared to first half so the best is likely yet to come. He's likely the team's center fielder past this season as well unless the team re-signs Kiermaier so he's likely only a corner outfielder for this season.
  15. max silver
    I haven't heard anything to suggest that Orelvis has been working to flatten his bat path a bit or not or whether he features an extreme line drive swing, just that the coaching staff was continuing to work on improving his swing decisions at the plate. The large increase in walk rate suggests Orelvis has been making much better swing decisions lately. His propensity for high popup rates also suggests that Orelvis has likely been swinging at a lot of pitches at the top or above the strike zone. I suspect that Orelvis may be starting to lay off higher pitches recently which would have the effect of helping some of the flyballs and popups turn into line drives instead.
  16. max silver
    So line drive rate during this period is 8/29 or 27.6%. Ground ball rate is 100 - (Flyball rate of 42.4+27.6 line drive rate) = 30%. Hot streak batted ball profile of: FB% 42.4 GB% 30.0 LD% 27.6 IFFB% 14.3 Compare this for season rates of: FB% 50.4 GB% 33.6 LD% 15.9 IFFB% 21.1 During this heater Orelvis has seen a small decrease in ground ball rate, moderate decrease in fly ball rate, large decrease in infield flies, and large increase in line drive rate. All things that would point to a sustainable increase in BABIP if he's to continue with this type of batted ball profile.
  17. max silver
    I had that thought as well. I'm inherently lazy though so that's a job for someone with more ambition.
  18. max silver
    It really felt like every time the Jays got a runner to second base the strike zone accordingly increased by several inches. The Chapman AB in the first had a pivotal strike call that really changed the inning.
  19. max silver
    Absolutely fantastic game today. Top three starters are great this year, bullpen has been top shelf lately as well. Once the lineup starts rolling a bit this club is poised to make some noise and start making up some ground.
  20. max silver
    I don't know of anywhere where minor league batted ball data is tracked in that fashion.
  21. max silver
    Berrios has been a really solid performer so far this season. He's not quite back to peak 2021 levels yet but he's not that far off.
  22. max silver
    That was a really enjoyable game to watch. It's certainly nice when the team hits some home runs so they aren't so reliant on hitting with runners in scoring position. Huge props to Bassitt pitching an absolute gem with his wife in labour.
  23. max silver
    Gruber is just as bad with his inane rantings about how Varsho is only hitting up in the lineup to appease Atkins. I'm sure Ross Atkins has bigger things to worry about then where Varsho is positioned in the lineup.
  24. max silver
    As good as Orelvis has been in May it seems like he hit god level over the last 12 days or so. It appears as though opposition pitchers have become afraid to pitch to him, and he's been perfectly willing to take the walks when they are available. His recent splits are nothing like we've seen from Orelvis up to this point and are pretty eye opening. Since May 21 he's produced the following: 28.6%BB/12.2%K/2.33BB/K .320 BABIP .343/.531/.743 1.273 OPS 229 WRC+
  25. max silver
    Uh I just looked up Kirk's numbers and he's hit .294 over the last week, but only good for a 63 WRC+.
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