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keggy

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Everything posted by keggy

  1. keggy
    That's probably less than what he would get on the open market. Honestly if he follows a standard aging curve he should provide value on that deal. It completely depends on what the Marlins want in return. If we provide a B prospect and salary relief, that's a good deal for us. We can keep him to remain respectable or we can flip him a year later for better prospects. This is how big market teams with financial flexibility flex their muscles.
  2. keggy
    Knee swelling is known as the poor man's MRI for knee injury. The Jays are not poor; he should get an MRI to evaluate the meniscus.
  3. keggy
    The net value of the franchise has more than doubled since we made the playoffs. Rogers has a stranglehold on the Canadian television market and we have the highest attendance in the league over the past two years. It's difficult to overstate the importance of this point, as this corresponds to hundreds of millions of dollars. You can certainly argue over the Tulo versus Reyes and Price versus Norris from a baseball perspective, but it's ludicrous to question the decision from a value perspective. The long term financial health of the franchise has paid off those trades several times over.
  4. keggy
    I can't speak to the legality of the play because the rule is confusing, but this is not a dirty play. A runner has no requirement to avoid contact within the running lane to any base or home plate when the fielder has the ball. Here's a classic example: Belle was later punished for throwing elbows but not for the contact.
  5. keggy
    As long as the Braves don't want anything more than some intriguing low level prospects, this is a perfect trade for a team in our position. We're hemorrhaging value with Goins out there.
  6. keggy
    Obviously none of us are privy to the internal data they're basing this on. However, getting a prospect as many reps as possible to develop healthy mechanics and muscle memory is a pillar of traditional player development. There are also decades of hard data which tell us that a player that successfully reaches the majors at a younger age is more likely to have a all-star/MVP/hall of fame career. Purposely limiting a young prospects ABs is a very unconventional approach.
  7. keggy
    Truly one of the greatest blunders in postseason history. I would still take his contributions over a full season though.
  8. keggy
    If teams were willing to give up their stars for garbage prospects at the deadline, every team would be doing that. When it comes to going for a potential World Series run you can't have your cake and eat it too. These sorts of trades almost always sacrifice future value for present value. Look at what the Cubs and Indians gave up for Chapman and Andrew Miller. Sure, it doesn't make sense to trade a blue chip prospect when you're barely fighting for the 2nd wildcard spot, but the Blue Jays were the best team in baseball in 2015. Almost every World Series team has to make these sorts of difficult decisions. An added bonus is that the Jays are a financial juggernaut again for the first time since the early 90s.
  9. keggy
    We all hate Showalter but he's also a great manager. He turns garbage teams with a good bullpen into playoff contenders. This year with the starters pitching less innings and bullpen injuries have taken away his secret weapon. If O'Day and Britton come back healthy and his starters can go more than 4 innings, they could go on a run.
  10. keggy
    It's very risky to evaluate a change in defensive value over a third of a season. That's why partial season WAR for a player whose value is mostly in his defense is not a fair measure. If Pillar was injured for the season and we were playing Carrera every day in center we'd be completely f***ed even though their WAR is similar thus far.
  11. keggy
    Rule 5 or not, he missed spring training. He needs as many reps as possible to get into game shape. We can always put stash him in the pen later.
  12. keggy
    Getting fair value in prospects on a young MVP-calibre player is almost an impossible task. Compressing that many wins into a single roster spot without the catastrophic injury risk of a pitcher is just too valuable. Historically teams almost never win these sorts of trades. A classic example is Miguel Cabrera. Or more recently Donaldson. Neither of those guys is nearly as valuable as Trout.
  13. keggy
    Getting out from under the Reyes contract right before he got suspended for domestic violence was the real coup here.
  14. keggy
    I hope that's just posturing. Wasting a half-season of development time is huge when you're this young.
  15. keggy
    The Red Sox won the World Series with an overachieving veteran team in 2013, and were one of the worst teams in baseball in 2014. They dumped pending free agents like Lester, Andrew Miller, etc. and gave playing time to future assets like Jackie Bradley (who was considered garbage at the time)--but didn't touch the major league core. They won the division 2 years later and are still favourites to win the division this year. The Yankees made the playoffs in 2015, sold off assets in 2016 and are a respectable team again. Once you flip the switch on an cheap controllable asset like Donaldson and Stroman, there's no turning back for many years.
  16. keggy
    As truly great a player as Machado is, I would be extremely wary of dropping a franchise-altering contract on a repeatedly verified piece of s***.
  17. keggy
    This is a very straightforward exercise. You calculate the value of a first overall pick over a 15th overall pick and compare it to the lost attendance, television, and other revenue of a .500 team over the worst team in baseball. Tanking to obtain an incremental increase in draft position for a team that just led the league in attendance and has the largest television market in baseball makes ludicrously bad business sense. We can build for the future without carpet bombing all the positive value the franchise has built up.
  18. keggy
    "The team has mostly hunted college pitching in the draft for the last five to eight years but is under new management now." Which is almost certainly not true. AA had a high-ceiling draft philosophy where he targeted mostly raw high school arms (Sanchez, Norris, Syndergaard, Nicolino) mixed with some high-upside college arms (Hoffman, Stroman). Longerhagen might have been referring to Ricciardi's preference for college arms, which was certainly true, or he just misspoke.
  19. keggy
    In front of the runner, throw to third. Behind the runner, throw to first.
  20. keggy
    Estrada is a cocky, non working class player. The Orioles inquired about him in trade, but the fans can't stand him.
  21. keggy
    Whoopsie
  22. keggy
    I can't imagine the FO punting $1 million just to please a guy who barely played for us. I wonder if he clashed with Gibby or Donaldson or something.
  23. keggy
    This is the medical term for a neck muscle strain. Often caused by simple things such as a strenuous workout, pore posture, etc. It could be the consequence of a more serious downstream injury to the shoulder but this is unlikely.
  24. keggy
    Upton can play OF defence so he's not a great fit for the O's.
  25. keggy
    If he's willing to play around the diamond, he's a highly valuable asset on a contending team. Excluding defense and baserunning, his bat alone is an immediate upgrade over garbage like Carerra and Smoak. (This says more about us than about Wong). If Travis has extended DL trips over the year, Wong becomes a crucial asset. If his price tag is cheap, he deserves our attention.
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