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keggy

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Everything posted by keggy

  1. Truly one of the greatest blunders in postseason history. I would still take his contributions over a full season though.
  2. If teams were willing to give up their stars for garbage prospects at the deadline, every team would be doing that. When it comes to going for a potential World Series run you can't have your cake and eat it too. These sorts of trades almost always sacrifice future value for present value. Look at what the Cubs and Indians gave up for Chapman and Andrew Miller. Sure, it doesn't make sense to trade a blue chip prospect when you're barely fighting for the 2nd wildcard spot, but the Blue Jays were the best team in baseball in 2015. Almost every World Series team has to make these sorts of difficult decisions. An added bonus is that the Jays are a financial juggernaut again for the first time since the early 90s.
  3. We all hate Showalter but he's also a great manager. He turns garbage teams with a good bullpen into playoff contenders. This year with the starters pitching less innings and bullpen injuries have taken away his secret weapon. If O'Day and Britton come back healthy and his starters can go more than 4 innings, they could go on a run.
  4. It's very risky to evaluate a change in defensive value over a third of a season. That's why partial season WAR for a player whose value is mostly in his defense is not a fair measure. If Pillar was injured for the season and we were playing Carrera every day in center we'd be completely f***ed even though their WAR is similar thus far.
  5. Rule 5 or not, he missed spring training. He needs as many reps as possible to get into game shape. We can always put stash him in the pen later.
  6. Getting fair value in prospects on a young MVP-calibre player is almost an impossible task. Compressing that many wins into a single roster spot without the catastrophic injury risk of a pitcher is just too valuable. Historically teams almost never win these sorts of trades. A classic example is Miguel Cabrera. Or more recently Donaldson. Neither of those guys is nearly as valuable as Trout.
  7. Getting out from under the Reyes contract right before he got suspended for domestic violence was the real coup here.
  8. I hope that's just posturing. Wasting a half-season of development time is huge when you're this young.
  9. The Red Sox won the World Series with an overachieving veteran team in 2013, and were one of the worst teams in baseball in 2014. They dumped pending free agents like Lester, Andrew Miller, etc. and gave playing time to future assets like Jackie Bradley (who was considered garbage at the time)--but didn't touch the major league core. They won the division 2 years later and are still favourites to win the division this year. The Yankees made the playoffs in 2015, sold off assets in 2016 and are a respectable team again. Once you flip the switch on an cheap controllable asset like Donaldson and Stroman, there's no turning back for many years.
  10. As truly great a player as Machado is, I would be extremely wary of dropping a franchise-altering contract on a repeatedly verified piece of s***.
  11. This is a very straightforward exercise. You calculate the value of a first overall pick over a 15th overall pick and compare it to the lost attendance, television, and other revenue of a .500 team over the worst team in baseball. Tanking to obtain an incremental increase in draft position for a team that just led the league in attendance and has the largest television market in baseball makes ludicrously bad business sense. We can build for the future without carpet bombing all the positive value the franchise has built up.
  12. "The team has mostly hunted college pitching in the draft for the last five to eight years but is under new management now." Which is almost certainly not true. AA had a high-ceiling draft philosophy where he targeted mostly raw high school arms (Sanchez, Norris, Syndergaard, Nicolino) mixed with some high-upside college arms (Hoffman, Stroman). Longerhagen might have been referring to Ricciardi's preference for college arms, which was certainly true, or he just misspoke.
  13. In front of the runner, throw to third. Behind the runner, throw to first.
  14. Estrada is a cocky, non working class player. The Orioles inquired about him in trade, but the fans can't stand him.
  15. Whoopsie
  16. I can't imagine the FO punting $1 million just to please a guy who barely played for us. I wonder if he clashed with Gibby or Donaldson or something.
  17. This is the medical term for a neck muscle strain. Often caused by simple things such as a strenuous workout, pore posture, etc. It could be the consequence of a more serious downstream injury to the shoulder but this is unlikely.
  18. Upton can play OF defence so he's not a great fit for the O's.
  19. If he's willing to play around the diamond, he's a highly valuable asset on a contending team. Excluding defense and baserunning, his bat alone is an immediate upgrade over garbage like Carerra and Smoak. (This says more about us than about Wong). If Travis has extended DL trips over the year, Wong becomes a crucial asset. If his price tag is cheap, he deserves our attention.
  20. This is a smart calculated risk by the Tigers, but Gose doesn't have the makeup to succeed at any role in the majors, and he's at an age where we can't expect him to grow out of it anymore. I suspect he'll wear out his welcome as a pitcher by the end of the year.
  21. Sanchez is Rick Vaughn from Major League II. Chris Davis is Jack Parkman. Justin Smoak is Roger Dorn.
  22. In a sense the ChiSox are buying high and assuming risk, but I can see the reasoning here. If Anderson busts, they flushed $25 mill down the toilet. If he becomes a star, they get big surplus from his two free agent years. I wouldn't have done this deal, but it's probably moderate-risk, high-reward.
  23. AA wasn't paying for two months of Price, he was paying for two months of Price and a chance at the World Series and a long-term revenue boost. If you're at that end of the win curve at the trade deadline, a good GM makes that trade 10 times out of 10 and accepts the risk of the prospects turning into stars.
  24. Rays are covering his peak defensive years and protecting themselves if he breaks out offensively. Buying out 2 free agent years alone will be worth much of that contract.
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