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Brownie19

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Everything posted by Brownie19

  1. Brownie19
    I read it as the ball size is slightly different - like it is in the KBO and NPB. I guess pre-tacked baseball could also change the pitch shape? Either way - I really respect sliderguy's opinion, so this is a wet blanket on our excitement.
  2. Brownie19
    @sliderguy35 - you're telling me the baseball used at AA and below is different than the ball used at AAA and the ML level? Why on earth would they do that? Also
  3. Brownie19
    Sorry dude - but RPers are too volatile. I'm not giving up 5 years of Barger for a RPer. If I did consider it, they'd have to be under control for another 4-5 years themselves and be absolute studs like a Mason Miller or a Cade Smith. Also - there's a very good possibility that Loperfido sucks. You're potentially blinded by the BABIP luck he had last year.
  4. Brownie19
    Agree with this.
  5. Brownie19
    I hate this idea more than life itself.
  6. Brownie19
    I LOVE what Bassitt did in the playoffs for this team, but his effectiveness out of the bullpen may not be quite as strong when his adrenaline isn't max tiddies like it was in the playoffs. I'd love to keep Bassitt - but it feels like we're running short on roster spots unfortunately.
  7. Brownie19
    I have to assume that part of the negotiation with Ponce was that he'd be given a spot in the rotation. He's going to want his shot and I think it's doubtful he'd sign with a team that wouldn't guarantee he gets his fair shot. I'd like to think there's a possibility that we added the 3rd year and extra $10M in exchange for the ability to use him as a swing man - but I just can't see that happening.
  8. Brownie19
    I certainly remember that 2005/06 offseason. I made the effort to go to the dome on opening day and 50,000 people were screaming "we want BJs". It was definitely an exciting offseason - primarily because they Jays hadn't been very aggressive in previous years. I also remember pulling over on the side of the road when the Marlins deal was made. I was in shock. But - I think you're understating the excitement that comes from building after a simply remarkable season. The 2005 and 2012 were not good years. The was no hype or expectation for the team. Those signings/trades simply meant we might not stink the next year, whereas these signings increase the likelihood we can make another run at the WS title. It's like we're in the 2015-16 offseason again - only this time, we're adding baby.
  9. Brownie19
    by ERA - yes. But his xFIP was 3.00 - the same as his previous 2 years in the NPB when his ERA was 3.35 and 3.66. He was good in the NPB - but not dominant. It is odd that he left the NPB for the KBO last year though. I wonder what the backstory is.
  10. Brownie19
    This did not age well...
  11. Brownie19
    Wow. This is unreal.
  12. Brownie19
    It would be bananas (B-A-N-A-N-A-S) if the Jays signed another starter like King. Someone is going to give Ponce a guaranteed roster spot. I don't see us landing either to be honest. If we do add another - I would bet it's Bassitt.
  13. Brownie19
    Thanks - all fair points. Rogers is kinda what we hoped Sandlin would provide. He's like the premium version of Cimber. That type of arm certainly has a lot of value. I think my concern might be that it can't be used in every situation and I have recency bias with the inability of Sandlin or Cimber to sustain success. Finnegan might also be a solid 'budget' option if you think the gains are sustainable. Although I suspect some crappy team will offer him the chance to close. I keep forgetting that Stuff+ is on Fangraphs now and that you can show partial seasons. I wish you could do that on the Savant page too!
  14. Brownie19
    Help me understand the alure of Rogers. He's entering his age 35 season and had a K/9 below 6 last year. I know the results were great last year (and very good the 2 years previous). I guess I just struggle with the unconventional approach. I need to talk with Jonah Hill more. Did Detroit change Finnegan at all? He was lights out for them (SSS alert). Maybe just got some BABIP luck and some LOB% luck?
  15. Brownie19
    I assumed Suarez is viewed in the same tier as Diaz and Williams and will command a 3 year deal similar to Williams (maybe a little less?). I don't like him at that price, as he doesn't generate the same whiff rates or K%. If the market views him in the Fairbanks/Helsley tier and you could get him for 2 years $28M, then I'd be firmly back on board with that.
  16. Brownie19
    Sounds like the current projection is Chris Davis in 2012 & 2016, but the upside is Chris Davis 2013 & 2015
  17. Brownie19
    I tend to agree with this. All of it. I'm not sure I saw it posted here, but Helsley ended up getting a 2 year $28M deal. Year 2 is a player option and he gets an extra $500K if he's traded. So if he returns to form, it's a 1 year $14M deal - which is really good value. If he sucks again, you're probably stuck with him for a 2nd year at $14M. I think that's worth the risk given his track record.
  18. Brownie19
    Keller is a name you don't hear mentioned a lot. He was fantastic last year in his first as a RPer. Wonder what he's going to get. He could be a value addition - although there's risk as he doesn't have a long track record. Someone to consider if we don't have $13-15M AAV available to sign a top end closer.
  19. Brownie19
    Devin Williams did not come at any discount for his subpar performance last year. That's full price right there.
  20. Brownie19
  21. Brownie19
    Jake Cook is the fastest player he's ever scouted. Love that. Also love hearing that Yondrei Rojas has nasty stuff. Thanks Spanky
  22. Brownie19
    That's a good way to put it. I agree and I'd be fine with this approach. Fairbanks certainly does carry upside as well.
  23. Brownie19
    It's already been climbing the past 3 years. I don't hate the idea of Fairbanks, but I don't know if he's much of an upgrade over Hoffman. Cons - decreased velo - rapid decline in K/9 - big decline in xFIP and FIP the past 2 years (over his 2022-23 #'s) - entering age 32 season - often injured Pros - won't demand 3-4 year contract - still good velo If we don't have the budget for one of the better closer options (Williams, Diaz, etc.), and we prioritize budget towards an impact bat, then sure - Fairbanks is a solid option to add, but he feels like a fallback option at this point.
  24. Brownie19
    https://www.thescore.com/news/3415565 Kenny reporting we're in on Fairbanks.
  25. Brownie19
    To be fair, outside of last year, he's been nails. Averaged almost 2 WAR a season from 22-24
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