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metafour

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Everything posted by metafour

  1. metafour
    There is nothing preventing the Jays from using the time they have to extend Bieber, especially if he pitches well here and the team succeeds. This is the type of stuff they normally look to do.
  2. metafour
    Khal Stephen is a pitchability type that has blown through High A, but the stuff is still more back-end rotation caliber, and who knows how he handles higher levels. He is also on the phantom DL and hasn't pitched since July 20th. I knew that they were going to look to sell high on Stephen.
  3. metafour
    What.jpg? Gunnar Hoglund and Kevin Smith for Matt Chapman. Kendall Williams and Ryan Noda for Ross Stripling. Austin Martin and Simeon Woods-Richardson for Jose Berrios. Sem Robberse and Adam Kloffenstein for Jordan Hicks. ?
  4. metafour
  5. metafour
    This is how BA has them: Baez - #6 Dohm - #25 Elissalt - Unranked MLB Pipeline: Baez: #8 Dohm: #14 Elissalt - Unranked
  6. metafour
    Keep in mind that Fangraphs is basically just one guy (Longenhagen) and he is absurdly over-worked and/or under-staffed. He didn't even get to updating his 2025 Draft board until literally the day of the draft.
  7. metafour
    Apparently we are in advanced talks with Korean RHP Moon Seo-jun with the leftover IFA money that we have from the failed Roki Sasaki bid. This kid was apparently going to be a Top 3 pick in the KBO draft and is super projectable at 6'5 (which is irregular for a Korean pitcher). From an article I found, he's hit at least ~94mph with the fastball.
  8. metafour
    Tait is basically catching Nimmala (they are ranked very similar, for example BA has NImmala at #42 and Tait at #50) and Mick Abel has way more pedigree than someone like Francis considering that he was a Top 100 prospect.
  9. metafour
    Some of you have the dumbest takes, Bednar has been one of the best relievers in baseball for 2 straight months now. I'm talking completely wipeout dominant: 1 ER, 11.19 K/9, 1.93 BB/9, 0.39 ERA, 1.38 FIP. Apart from last season, he has been an elite reliever in 4 of the last 5 seasons...including right now at this very moment.
  10. metafour
    Over the past two months Dominguez has a 1.19 ERA, 2.29 FIP, and 3.10 xFIP and has been overpowering hitters. He also presents elite splits against right handed hitters so he presents interesting matchup value against guys like Judge (although he can't pitch against LHB's). Yes, he walks a lot of guys - but this everything else about him is elite. If he could somehow limit walks he would be an elite closer. He actually has a fair bit of high leverage experience and even pitched in the World Series in 2022.
  11. metafour
    LMFAO yeah OK man. Apparently no other team will be interested in acquiring any pitching, so it should be pretty easy for us to just somehow acquire two top-end starters and two high leverage relievers. A real big-brained idea here! Why stop there bud? They should get Suarez as well!
  12. metafour
    I agree - only players who get base hits 100% of the time are useful in playoff games! Every other team will only have betters who NEVER make any outs.
  13. metafour
    Are you high LMFAO? What in the f***...
  14. metafour
    Juan Sanchez is 3 for 3 with another two doubles in today's DSL game. He is back up to .345 with a 1..021 OPS. This kid looks very promising early. Also, BA has some recent footage of his swing:
  15. metafour
    Ethan Salas is trash and has to be the most overrated prospect in recent memory by a long shot. He got all sorts of undeserved hype because they promoted him hyper aggressively despite the fact that he has never hit for s*** apart from a 123 wRC+ stint in low-A (even that isn't amazing by any stretch of the imagination). It would be like the Jays promoting Nimmala straight to AAA and going "see, he's 19 and already in AAA! Don't worry about the fact that he's hitting .170 with zero power, he is in AAA!"
  16. metafour
    Sure, but this kid is clearly a full step or more above guys like Polanco, Meza, Beltre, De Castro, etc. on a talent/hype scale. Its obviously early, but this kid falls in the range of uber-prospects that we see every few years. Obviously no guarantee that he amounts into anything either, but the tools are much louder and definitely resemble Vladdy more so than guys like Beltre, Meza, etc. While the Jays have had horrible luck with their high-priced IFA's recently, it is worth mentioning that C Franklin Rojas (who signed for just under $1M two years ago) and 3B/SS Juan Sanchez (who signed for just under $1M last year) are looking good this season in the DSL. Rojas is repeating the level, but Sanchez is crushing it and has an OPS of ~1.000 with 6 HR's.
  17. metafour
    His FIP is low because his HR/9 has dropped a lot over the past two months, and he generally doesn't walk a lot of guys. But he is still getting hit hard (well above the MLB average rate) and he is still getting barreled hard, so the huge drop in HR/9 may have a lot of luck involved in it. The main thing is that he still isn't striking anyone out, and he is still getting hit hard - hence why he has outings where he gets shelled. I don't like defaulting to FIP and ignoring balls in play for guys who are giving up runs because they are simply getting hit hard. Those results aren't flukey.
  18. metafour
    Alcantara makes more sense as an offseason acquisition. While he shoved today against the Padres, his previous 4 starts were not good at all. The problem here is that Jays are in a playoff race and they cant be throwing him out there on "re-find your groove" outings and hoping for the best when the results this season have largely been really bad. One start doesn't mean that he is "back".
  19. metafour
    What the hell is a "big arm", and what is a "big bat"? Max Scherzer is every bit as probable (if not realistically more so) to outproduce Manoah for the remainder of the season. You consider Manoah to be a "big arm"? He throws 93-94 and nobody knows what his command is going to look like post TJ surgery. I can assure you that no one in the front office is seriously praying that Manoah comes back and magically starts pitching like a "big arm" lol. Vlad Guerrero has a .404 xwOBA this season, which is just 4-points shy of his xwOBA in last year's elite 164 wRC+ season. Yes he is always a guy who seems to go on stretches where his numbers don't match the expected batted ball profile, but there is a bigger likelihood that he goes on one of his hot-streaks in the second half than there is that the Jays are going to acquire a BETTER "big bat". His xwOBA is 7th highest in the league,
  20. metafour
    He may have rejected offers earlier and then gotten lost in the shuffle, who knows. At the end of the day he has a shoulder injury which is considered worse than an elbow injury and there likely weren't any teams willing to invest big money into that over just a 10-game sample given that prior to this year he was mainly a reliever with poor command in a non-power conference. Its not like this is a proven 2-3 year starter who just so happened to get hurt as a Senior. He was walking 5.6 per 9 innings last season at Indiana State with a 4.75 ERA. So he is a Senior, has a hurt shoulder, and is a project/small sample size performer.
  21. metafour
    He is injured and is a Senior. What's his leverage? Go to Indy ball?
  22. metafour
    Hey guys, did you all know that Guerrero is in a really big slump? I just turned my TV on and this guy isn't hitting anything! WTF!
  23. metafour
  24. metafour
    No, Bullard had a deal arranged, hence why he was drafted in the 12th round. There was a Texas A&M account that announced he was signing pretty much right after he was selected. Peeples was just your typical emergency/"use the last pick on a ranked HS kid" pick. Nobody from the Jays seriously expected a scenario where Peeples is signed, and not Bullard. They drafted Bub Terrell in a similar spot as Peeples last year despite it being known by everyone that he wasn't going to sign bar some extreme scenario.
  25. metafour
    Lets go! $600k under!
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