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Governator

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Everything posted by Governator

  1. Governator
    It has a personal message and if that was the real Kevin Brown it'd be in a display case in my office. He was a catcher the Jays had who never really made it, my dad told me he met him and had it written out to me.
  2. Governator
    That's not Kevin Brown the pitcher...
  3. Governator
    Lol that sounds like something my Mom would buy. Probably got it as a stocking stuffer. The black one is just f***ing hilarious now that I look at it. My dad was a salesman for 45 years selling pharmaceuticals and made some shady deals off the truck type. Probably traded a box of Aspirin for it.
  4. Governator
    lol that's hilarious.
  5. Governator
    Here are the images. The ball with the black link seems legit but the ball itself is just a China ball. I feel like the blue inked ball was done on a computer and printed out or something in order to fit every name so perfectly? http://imgur.com/a/IGkti
  6. Governator
    Those autographs are all clear, though still not sure if it's fake or not. The ball itself is from China and not a Rawlings ball. Doesn't mean the autographs aren't real but it makes me question it although the ink looks legit.
  7. Governator
    Anyone know much about autographs or spotting fakes? I found several signed baseballs in my old bedroom at my parents house, not sure what is real or fake. Two team signed balls, one appears to be 1992 team autographed, looks legit including some smudging and fades in different spots. The other looks far too perfect to be real. Also have a Duane Ward signed ball and a Kevin Brown (lol). If the 1992 team ball is legit seems like it could be worth some dough? Pics later if anyone can help.
  8. Governator
    That's why you suck at fishing too
  9. Governator
    Another snag in this is having to track flipped pieces, which would have to be a manual process I think to update trades. Think Roy Halladay trade, flipped Wallace for Gose, eventually flipping him for Travis. That's all part of the overall trade value that needs to be considered.
  10. Governator
    Using just WAR totals to compare trades obviously doesn't show the full picture but it would be a good starting point to get something going that we can add to it later. A good example is the Adam Lind trade for Marco Estrada both with 1 full seasons going both ways. On the surface, this seems like a very simple comparison, Adam Lind generated 2.3 fWAR for the Brewers while Estrada did 1.8 for the Jays. The trade would show a 0.5 win for the Brewers but Estrada is one of those special FIP beaters and put up a 3.13 ERA in 2015 that goes unrecognized in his WAR that's based on FIP. So I think more has to be considered when creating the calculation to be fair to all types of players where not everything gets shown in their WAR total. Jays also extended or at least re-signed him as a free agent afterward that likely wouldn't have happened if he wasn't already a Jay but I don't think that can be included here, it wouldn't be fair to Adam Lind or the Brewers.
  11. Governator
    Connecting everything together and making sure you're pulling the correct players are where things get complicated, especially when data is coming from different sources. You want to pull the right Jose Bautista for example. Connecting data to contracts and dates would be a challenge as well.
  12. Governator
    Well if I were to do it, it'd be its own site to automate it league wide, ongoing.
  13. Governator
    Interesting, I wonder if I could code a site that scrapes all transactions and then get accumulated fwar per player to compare. Would be even better with steamer projections to analyze data at the time of any trade and directly compare it to the aftermath.
  14. Governator
    That extra $500 lol
  15. Governator
    You predicted JJ would be a replacement player?...
  16. Governator
    Well of course, but considering that was a pretty hyped year, a lot of people, myself included hoped he'd help get us to the postseason and with AA running the show could have got an extension if he met expectations.
  17. Governator
    To be just a little more fair, it's easier to analyze this now years later, but at the time Josh Johnson could have been a difference maker for us. Boy was that a disappointment.
  18. Governator
    Paying Encarnacion $20MM+ in his 4th year when he's 38 could also have hurt us much more than paying Morales $11MM when he's 36.
  19. Governator
    Doesn't mean he has to be with us in year 3.
  20. Governator
    I really believe the Jays are fully waiting out Bautista at this point and will only sign him when they are 100% certain they aren't getting a comp pick for him in return and presumably still have the hole to fill. Maybe that's Feb. 1st or something but I'd reckon they have a timeline in mind. Honestly, if he waits it out until June I'll be disappointed that we didn't sign him. This talk about trading for Cutch as a bounceback candidate seems so redundant when we have Bautista available to us.
  21. Governator
  22. Governator
    I'd DFA Smoak before trading him for Jay Bruce and just roll with Pompey at this point.
  23. Governator
    Meant the difference in scheduling of our division vs west coast. Ok we might see him once, if we're lucky.
  24. Governator
    What about Lourdes Gurriel Jr? Also Pearce does have 2B experience. Jiminez is probably replacement level.
  25. Governator
    I'm kind of sad we won't get a chance to face him.
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