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glory

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Everything posted by glory

  1. Kim is going to miss the first month of the season, and with a shoulder injury you never know how quickly the bat is going to return to form. Seems like teams had similar levels of concern given what he signed for. This seems like more of a 2026 move for the Rays, though obviously they probably won't mind if he opts out since it would mean his 2025 was good enough to do so.
  2. Kim is signing with the Rays so cross him off the list.
  3. I could live with Arraez if they didn't have to give up much to get him. There is not much else left in free agency that is realistic now that Profar is gone (would have been an ideal fallback option), and Arraez would only be a one year commitment at age 28, so maybe you can dream on a high 2's or 3 WAR in a contract year. Obviously if you could aim higher (Robert) then go for it, but that's probably wishful thinking. An Arraez/Scherzer combo wouldn't be terrible. Maybe put Orelvis at 3B (if his defense is passable) so you at least have an extra power threat in there to compensate for a singles hitting DH, but not sure his contact skills are MLB ready yet.
  4. If the Jays get Scherzer, then my one wish is for there to be a situation where Max is cruising for like 2.2 innings and Schneider comes to take him out early because of analytics.
  5. Kim is going to miss the start of the season, and much like Varsho, it's probably going to be an adjustment for him once he gets back due to the nature of the injury. If it's a longer term/reasonable AAV type of deal then it makes more sense, but for 2025, not sure that's the best way to maximize wins. At least not the safest way. It wouldn't surprise me if the backup plan is Arraez. The Padres financial/ownership situation isn't good and I don't think it would take much to get him.
  6. I think that's what it would be, taking a chance on an oft-injured former top prospect who has had MLB success but hasn't been consistent and has been hurt too much. I can't imagine it's going to cost that much on a 1 year deal. If it fails, then move on to Clement or whoever, but the Jays need stuff like this to break in their favor if they want to contend.
  7. Robert Murray on his podcast today said that he never got the sense that Alonso to the Jays was ever close (referring to the “10 yard line” quote). So there’s a very good chance a lot of the social media buzz is BS. Apologies for doubting Winnie the Pooh and the other sources with 50 followers.
  8. Sign a SP and go internal offensively (Barger, Orelvis, Wagner, Roden, etc...whoever rakes in Spring Training). Not sure that's the best way to go if 2025 is a contention year, but wasting money on marginal 1 WAR position players is what the team did last winter and it's not going to help them short or long term. I wouldn't mind a buy low on Moncada at 3B since it should be cheap or a trade for someone like Jesus Sanchez with the hopes of his exit velo/barrels/bat speed having breakout potential, but beyond that, if it's not Alonso/Bregman/Robert, then I don't think there's a real difference maker out there. Just go internal and live with the consequences.
  9. Agreed it's probably not a smart signing, especially with the opt outs, and it's certainly not a logical position fit, but I think it's just the best of what's out there as far as making the 2025 team as strong as possible. Boras had a bunch of clients who signed the 1+1(+1) deals last winter, two of them opted out/would have opted out (Snell/Chapman) and three opted in (Bellinger, Montgomery, Hoskins). Alonso is probably a 50/50 opt in for 2026. Teams are smarter now so they won't be fooled by home runs alone. He'll have to have a great season. Would have to know what the alternative to Alonso. If it's a sensible trade for Robert, then I'd go that route. If it's Austin Hays, then just sign Alonso.
  10. As of now Vlad is an impending FA, and if Alonso were to sign here he'd likely have a player opt out after 2025, so I doubt either one of them would want to DH regularly. An Alonso signing would probably mean Vlad is playing 3B at least somewhat regularly. They'd have to weigh that against not signing Alonso (or being unable to) and having to find someone. At this rate the Vlad/Alonso pair is probably the best thing they can realistically pull off, unless they can trade for Luis Robert or something, which would be preferable depending on what it would take.
  11. Spending 2 full seasons targeting players who couldn't hit but played great defense in an effort to double/triple down on run prevention, only to enter what appears to be a lameduck season prepared to have Alonso at 1B, Vlad at 3B, and Santander in LF is the Ross Atkins babyface turn that no one expected. I'm down. Still need to see it to believe it, as Boras is a master manipulator, but at least Atkins has been targeting legitimate impact this winter.
  12. My takeaway from that is that 1) the Mets don't care if Alonso comes back or not (it will have to be on their terms), and 2) Alonso will probably still be a free agent by the time every player on every team is in camp.
  13. Robert would be a nice trade target but hard to see the Jays having the prospect capital to get it done, though the White Sox aren’t exactly the best run organization. I forgot Bregman was still out there. I still want no part of him on a long term deal, and I would imagine the Jays don’t either. Santander had to defer like 60% of his contract to get the Jays to go to a 5th year so not sure they’d want to big years on Bregman who is older and already showing signs of decline. Sounds like the Astros may still have interest in him, which seems like the most logical fit if that’s the case.
  14. I think this is the most likely scenario. No reason for the Mets not to do a 3 year deal with opt outs. The question is where do the Jays pivot to if/when that happens? Profar would have been ideal but that option is gone now. Not much else available in free agency. I guess they'd invest in the rotation (which they need to do anyway) and maybe try to find a trade piece for the offense.
  15. Martino is actually credible when it comes to the Mets/Yankees so I wouldn't dismiss what he's saying, but could be info he's getting from Boras (who usually uses Heyman for his media manipulating). The fact that the Jays local media never take the time to squash rumors, even when fans are giddy with unrealistic hope, but are doing so now is interesting.
  16. Atkins actually using the local media to his advantage to counteract Boras using the Mets media for leverage. Being embarrassed by Sasaki has changed Ross.
  17. Yeah only reason the Mets would balk at a short term deal for Alonso would be trying to save money/the position for Vlad next year. Alonso is going to get opt outs in his deal but there's no guarantee he will opt out (see Bellinger), and he's a much tougher player to trade given his profile (lumbering 1B/DH). With that said, I feel that's a rather pointless thing to do for the Mets. They have the richest owner in the sport, so worst case if they sign Alonso for 3 years with opt outs and he doesn't opt out, it's not like Cohen is going to have issues paying Vlad. Maybe Stearns just doesn't like Alonso, or this is all just a game of chicken that Boras is playing (using the Jays) to get the Mets to cave a bit.
  18. Man with that contract structure, I could actually see Tony opting out. Great move by Ross. Either Santander really wanted to be a Jay, or he had no other suitors.
  19. Martino is actually credible so at least there’s one.
  20. Yesterday, Carlos Baerga tweeted this (translated): "Well my people according to my sources Outfielder Jurickson Profar and Max Scherzer could be signing with the Toronto team". Hector vs Carlos; the battle we've all been waiting for.
  21. You forgot the most credible one:
  22. Yeah I'm guessing that's the plan on the Jays end. Try for Alonso and pivot to Profar if that fails. There really isn't anyone else in the the FA market. I don't see much talk of Alonso to the Jays on X/Twitter aside from some very questionable accounts posting about it, so I don't think anyone should be getting their hopes up here (yet).
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