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glory

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Everything posted by glory

  1. According to BBRef, the Jays are 39-21 when Gose starts and 47-30 in all games he has appeared in. I think he was around for the hot May period so that may have helped but that's still pretty crazy. They have a .650 WP when he has started this season. Wow.
  2. Gose has a 1 WAR in 227 plate appearances and .345 OBP against RHP. His defense and speed alone should make him a valuable player, maybe a 2 win player over a full season if he maintains his walk rate. That's valuable. Pillar is more questionable. He seems like he might be an overachiever type, but starting him in left when his best role is probably at CF against LHP only is questionable. The defense is way better with Gose, Pillar, and Goins starting. That's really the only positive I can think of.
  3. Seeing how the Rogers media puppets (Wilner) are already hyping up Pillar as a solid LF option, I think I know where this is going as far as 2015 payroll. Goins/Izturis at 2B, Gose in CF, Pillar in LF against RHP. Pillar switches to CF and Valencia and Mayberry replace Gose and Lind against LHP. That's entirely what I'm expecting for next season. The defense will be great, but the offense horrid. Alex seems scared as hell to trade prospects after the fiasco two years ago and Rogers probably won't be increasing payroll any time soon since they didn't want to do it at the deadline apparently.
  4. Question: if you knew you could dump Reyes' salary without first getting a SS to replace him, would you do it? If the answer is yes, then same logic applies here. Lind is a 1-2 WAR platoon DH who takes up two roster spots and is not a lock to stay healthy due to chronic issues (back). Even if you replace him with someone who doesn't hit righties as well as him, the mere ability to be flexible with the DH position and get someone who is more split neutral and better defensively would be worthwhile. If you go by WAR, as many of you do, Lind is about as valuable as JA Happ in a normal season. Why is one replaceable and the other impossible to replace?
  5. Yeah the Jays don't have to pick up salary for Buehrle. He is overpaid but for one year and a near lock of 200 IP, he is not hurting the team. Happ is more overpaid than Buehrle is.
  6. Wasn't Paul Godfrey against going overslot? I know I read that somewhere. The team didn't begin to start going overslot until Beeston came in.
  7. I think it was the opposite. He held on to his prospects (mainly because they didn't have much value to other teams) and paid top dollar via free agency. Off the top of my head, the only players he drafted that he traded for immediate help were Dave Bush, Zach Jackson, and Adam Peterson. He practically held on to everyone else until they either contributed (Hill, Lind, Marcum, Romero, Janssen, Litsch, to some extent Snider, etc) or washed away completely (Adams, Purcey, etc). I have said before, Ricciardi's biggest weakness was drafting. Other than that, he knew team building. He valued OBP, pitching, and defense. He didn't trade his farm system for immediate help (Bush aside). He overpaid to get free agents instead of overpaying in prospects/assets. Give that man an actual farm system (in other words, give him absolutely no control over amateur scouting) and he'd be a great GM.
  8. I disagree about Lind. He hits RHP very well, but there are more warts than positives with him. He can't stay healthy, and his injuries are typically not fluke injuries either. He can't play defense, with takes away value outside of his hitting. Most importantly, his presence takes up at least two, if not three, roster spots since you'll need a platoon bat plus someone in AAA stewing away in the event that Lind gets hurt (Francisco, Wallace, Dan Johnson, etc, types). I'd honestly take the hit against RHP if they could find a 1B with neutral splits that could play even a little bit of defense, as I think Edwin will be a lot better/more durable if he is strictly a DH instead of sharing the role with Lind. The obvious question then becomes who do you get to replace Lind? That would be easier to answer if I knew who was available. I wouldn't mind taking a chance on someone who is blocked in another organization. Maybe Josmil Pinto in Minnesota?
  9. I hope Wilner suggesting that Pillar in LF is a good idea is not a sign.
  10. Trade (preferable) or don't pick up options on Lind, Happ, Morrow, Santos, McGowan, and Thole. Happ can be replaced internally (Sanchez/Nolin/Norris). McGowan can be replaced by some Jason Frasor type, or maybe bring McGowan back at a reduced price. Thole only has a career because of Dickey so I'm guessing that his option can be declined and he can be brought back for less. That leaves Lind as the main guy to replace. Yeah, I don't think this team is much worse with a reduced payroll, but that says more about how poorly the funds were allocated before.
  11. Kottaras can hit but not much of a defender. I'd rather have defense at catcher than marginal offense. Does Lind for Martin Maldonado make sense for both teams? I think a good defensive catcher would make a huge difference for this team.
  12. Andrus has an incredibly player-friendly contract. Like, really friendly. It's so friendly it probably had sex with him after it was signed. Eight more guaranteed years ($15M per from 2015-2020 and $14M per from 2021-2022 with a team option for $15M in 2023). He has TWO player options, one after 2018 and another after 2019. If he is traded, then that team option in 2023 automatically becomes a player option and a trade would give him a complete NTC. If the Jays are really that hard up to get Andrus, then I'd offer Romero, Izturis, and Navarro, and that's probably doing the Rangers a favor. If the Rangers think they'll get any sort of value for a player that will effectively have a NINE YEAR DEAL with three opt-outs and a NTC in it when traded, then they are insane. He isn't that good.
  13. The 1992 and 1993 seasons both started on April 6th. It's a sign.
  14. Hutchison has thrown way too many innings this season for someone coming off TJ. The fact that they haven't shut him down already, especially since they are already conceding games by starting Pillar and Valencia against RHP, is concerning.
  15. Alex should be in scouting or in an assistant role. Look what Baltimore did. They were close to getting LaCava but then ended up getting someone with a history of building great teams, and look what happened. The Jays keep scrapping at the bottom of the barrell (cheap and/or Canadian) and it never leads to anything positive. If they hired Duquette in 2009 instead of Alex, they'd probably be a playoff team right now.
  16. They did that because Jeter was getting older and there was no way he would be worth that much in is final year. But you're right, with A-Rod coming back, they probably wouldn't take Reyes. Man. I'm not even a Yunel fan, but at least he wasn't untradeable. Can't believe the Jays willingly took the worst and most expensive years of Reyes' career. I guess Reyes for Ethier is a good starting point for a trade as they'll need a SS to replace Hanley and they probably won't be able to find a taker for Ethier otherwise. Add some other pieces who the Dodgers may find expendable (Guerrero, Lee, etc) to make it worthwhile for the Jays. I wonder how highly the Dodgers value Lee now. They didn't call him up and he struggled in the PCL.
  17. Agreed. They are replacing an icon and Reyes is still productive and popular in NYC. The Yankees are probably the Jays only hope for a pure Reyes salary dump. Otherwise, it will have to be contract for contract (something like Reyes for Ethier+).
  18. Dickey/Delabar to LAD for Lee, Guerrero, League Reyes to Yankees in pure salary dump Sign Hardy and Lowrie, put Guerrero in LF Trade for Rene Rivera (dat defense/pitch framing)
  19. If Gibbons isn't leading his teams to .500 records, he is fighting with his own players. It's kind of his thing.
  20. Is there any chance in hell of signing both Hardy and Lowrie to play short and 2B respectively while dumping Reyes' contract on the Yankees?
  21. I have said this a million times, but the last two times Rogers spent any money and the team had playoff aspirations, Gibbons was manager. From 2006 to 2014, Gibby's record is 351-349. From 2008-2010, Gaston was 211-201, even though the team wanted to lose in 2009 and 2010. I know people are going to say managers don't matter and it's the talent that wins or losses, and that's true to some extent, but managers can have negative qualities that bring their teams down. Look what Buck Showalter is doing. Everyone has been waiting for the Orioles to decline since 2012 and it never happens. If Gibbons is still manager next season, then rebuild. He's not going to take this team beyond .500, if that.
  22. Of course the Tigers game is delayed when they are down 6-0.
  23. Any chance the Padres trade Rene Rivera? Looks like he is an elite pitch framer and has learned how to hit a bit.
  24. The Jays need to find the next Dozier in someone's farm system. Wish they could have traded for Herrera before the Mets did.
  25. With the way Rogers stifled payroll this season, I think the only way he comes back is if he accepts the qualifying offer. Otherwise I don't see them paying him free agent dollars. I don't have a problem keeping Melky. I have said many times in baseball you can build a top 5 team and farm system simultaneously. Keep your good players, draft well, and do both. It's Rogers that scares me though.
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