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glory

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Everything posted by glory

  1. I’m very curious what Alcantara’s trade value is. He has a 7.22 ERA (4.59 FIP). Velocity is still there, less swing and miss, but stuff+ still good. Feels like he’d be a really good buy low, but Marlins have no reason to sell low unless they want out of his contract. Jays have elite defense so Sandy would definitely benefit from that. I’d rather have him than Keller, as there’s a chance you’re buying a bit lower on a top end starter rather than buying high on a high floor mid rotation option for similar money.
  2. Yeah I don't mind Keller as a 2026-28 rotation option, or even a 2025 rotation option considering Scherzer's spotty health, but if you're trading Nimmala, then it should be for someone with higher upside and/or more cost friendliness. As mentioned you wouldn't be trading for an arb eligible player or someone on a team friendly deal, you'd be taking on what is essentially a FA level contract. Surplus value potential simply isn't there, and I'm not sure it raises the upside of the 2025 team that much since he's very similar to the existing top 4 in the rotation. You could certainly rationalize Nimmala for Keller, especially since Nimmala could conceivably become a bust, but I would hope they aim a bit higher. Or trade other/lesser prospects for Keller.
  3. Popkins helping everyone else do more damage while Vlad drills everything into the ground and does his Vladimir Arraez Jr impersonation is mind boggling to me. He might be unfixable due to his own ego. We just have to hope there’s at least a few more 165 wRC+ seasons before his inevitable sub-0 WAR performance in his mid/late 30’s and 40’s.
  4. Last 2 times the Jays were in the playoffs, Vlad was a 3 WAR and sub-2 WAR player respectively. He’s on pace for a 3-4 WAR this season when the team is looking like a playoff team again. Absolutely infuriating player.
  5. Vlad isn’t coming up in the 9th so the Jays still have a chance!
  6. Just a reminder that this is year 1 of 15 post extension, with 14 more years after this one. Ed Rogers was on crack when he agreed to that contract. Oh well, hold them to 2 runs and get Houser out of the game.
  7. Keller is a good SP, but makes $16.5M in 2026, $18M in 2027, and $20M in 2028. That's not unreasonable for what he is, but it's closer to a FA contract, so you'd be paying very close to full freight from an AAV standpoint. The Pirates should still be able to get a good package for him, but I don't think it would require Nimmala or Yesavage, though I could be wrong. Atkins has invested a lot with SP's that have a history of durability, and Keller is on pace for his 4th straight 30+ start season. I think there will be real interest there.
  8. Keller does seem like a realistic Atkins pickup. Locked up for a few years and has a history of durability. Not sure I'd trust him any more or less than what the Jays currently have, seems like another #3-ish type to add to the rotation full of #3's the Jays already have, but might be as good of a SP as they can realistically get at the deadline. Whether I'd trade Nimmala for him is a different story. Nimmala has been on a horrendous slump for over a month, and is still a league average offensive player at 19 in A+ with respectable a BB%, K%, and ISO. If you're trading him, then I'd prefer someone with a bit more upside coming back. Though I don't know how the Jays feel about him, nor what the league as a whole does. If he actually makes MLB at some point, then I'm sure Rogers could probably get some extra dollars from that (especially if he's good), but that's far from a certainty at this point.
  9. Astros lose as well, so the Jays are 1 game behind them in the standings now (actually 2 with the tiebreaker).
  10. Perfect result. Jays win and no relievers used.
  11. I don’t mind trading Nimmala but not for Mitch Keller.
  12. Yeah with the current roster configuration, this looks like the best lineup they can field against RHP. Wagner is a noodle bat so he shouldn't play above Loperfido or even DS, and Jimenez historically has been better against LHP.
  13. I don’t think there’s a logjam unless Loperfido suddenly has a Barger style breakout before Santander returns. Once the 3 injured players get back, it’s clearly Wagner, Jimenez, and Joey going to AAA. Springer apparently likes to DH and Tony for some reason performs better when he’s playing the field, so it might actually work out with this alignment. Of course if Popkins unleashes Loperfido and we have a glut of good players when everyone gets back and not enough spots for them then yeah that’s a problem I’d have no issues having to deal with.
  14. Agreed. I much prefer this over making jokes about needing 5 singles to score 1 run, which was basically all of April. Winning cures all.
  15. At least Hoffman wasn't used, I guess. I actually would have had no issues with this bullpen mismanagement if Hoffman didn't start warming as soon as Green gave up a base runner. It's a 4 run lead against the f'n White Sox. Relax.
  16. Warming up Hoffman. Schneider is ridiculous.
  17. Looks like Green coming in. That's fine too. He's been better lately, but still not someone I'd care about using in this spot. As long as Hoffman/Little/Rodriguez/Fisher are not used (and Burr as well, I guess), then that's still a win at the end of the day.
  18. Thankfully Sandlin holds the lead to 4. If it became a sAvE sItUaTiOn, then Hoffman would have been warming up. Just let Sandlin finish it at this point. If he's the only actual reliever used in this game, then no biggie.
  19. Hopefully Sandlin can hold them here. If the White Sox score one more, Hoffman will warm up within seconds.
  20. Schneider may have done this purposely to find an excuse to use more relievers. Otherwise I can't wrap my head around taking Berrios out at 76 pitches.
  21. Yeah if the Jays win, Pina pitches 3, and no one in the pen has to warm up, then all is good. If Pina gives up a few more runs though, then Schneider is gonna Schneider.
  22. Berrios only threw 76 pitches. Not sure why they couldn't have him eat up one more inning before letting Pina get the 8th and 9th. Now the game is closer, and Schneider is going to break into cold sweats as he gets Little to warm up next inning.
  23. My guess is Berrios goes 7 and Pina goes 2 to finish it, but if Berrios has another 5-10 pitch inning, then who knows.
  24. If anyone other than Berrios and Pina pitch in this game…..
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