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glory

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Everything posted by glory

  1. glory
  2. glory
    Yeah adding a #4-5 starter is boring and won’t move the needle but if they strike out on bigger targets, then it’s still the type of move that the Jays could benefit from. Improving upside is very important but absent of that, increasing your odds of getting in is also a priority, and I don’t want to depend on Manoah or Estrada or whoever to start 5-10 games down the stretch if it comes to that. Maybe go #4-5 SP and elite reliever instead? Wouldn’t be the worse outcome, especially the way Schneider manages. In a playoff setting he’ll be sweating and twitching by the 3rd inning due to lack of a pitching change. I think a potential front of the rotation option is by all accounts available, it’s just a matter of if you want to trade a top prospect(s) for a SP with a 7 ERA. Alcantara to me is the target. Maybe he’s more of a 2026-27 move than 2025 but that’s the closest thing there is to a front end SP that is realistically available.
  3. glory
    The issue is the Jays are one Scherzer thumb explosion away from having a very messy rotation situation, especially if/when Lauer comes back down to earth. I want no part of counting on Manoah to help out (if he does, then it's gravy). So while I agree the Jays need to add someone better than their existing SP's, I think they may need to add a SP period at this point. The best one they can realistically get. I don't think Ryan will be traded, and Cabrera left his last start with elbow discomfort (plus he has no history of durability which Atkins generally likes), so to me it comes down to Sandy or Keller. If they just want a rental to eat up innings, then their options grow a bit. If the Jays go into the final two months hoping for Scherzer to stay healthy, Lauer to remain this good, and Manoah being good enough to fill in the cracks, then that's a massive ask, IMO. Could happen but not something I'd want to bank on.
  4. glory
    McAdoo was "transferred to the Development List" on 5/20 and reactivated on 5/27. Since 5/27, he has a 157 wRC+ in 153 PA (9 HR, .275 ISO, 6.5 BB%, 26.1 K%). We will see if he's still in the org 2 weeks from now, but he's definitely turned his season around.
  5. glory
    I'd rather the Rays go to a better baseball market, but at least common sense seems to be prevailing here as it looks like they will try to move the team to actual Tampa rather than trying to build a new stadium in the same location that no one wants to travel to now.
  6. glory
    If the Jays are adding a 3B then it should be Suarez. Would be a nightmare for John Schneider as he'd have no place to start Clement against RHP when everyone is healthy, but home runs win in the post season, and Santander may or may not be back and/or good again this season. If you run out a lineup with Springer-Barger-Vlad-Suarez-Kirk-Bo-Varsho-Tony (or Lukes if Tony is hurt) in whatever order you want, then that's pretty deep 1 through 8, with Gimenez/Clement as a strong platoon at 2B. Otherwise I think the team is fine with Barger at 3B now that we know he can play there reasonably well.
  7. glory
    Yeah trading Berrios is a very reasonable opinion, it’s just not realistic given where the Jays are right now. They need him to contend in 2025, even if it’s just to get into the post season. He’s also been very durable and aside from 2022 has been able to maintain good performance despite underlying decline. How long he can keep that up is the question, so selling before he implodes as mentioned it a very reasonable idea, but probably no shot of that happening. Certainly not during the season.
  8. glory
    Wow didn’t realize JS was ejected. That doesn’t happen often.
  9. glory
    The Jays since the Yankees series will be 6-3 after today (assuming they lose here), and they easily could have lost a couple more against the Angels. With the lineups they've been running out due to the injuries combined with Vlad looking more likely to reach 3000 hits before he reaches 200 home runs, they've probably overshot what they should be doing by a mile. Sucks to lose 3 of 4 heading into the break against s***** teams, but time for this team to get healthy and add reinforcements. I don't really understanding bringing Bassitt in to pitch one inning, but Schneider won't be able to make pitching changes for 4 days after today so gotta get them in while he can.
  10. glory
    Every ball the A’s are hitting has an exit velo of 100-105. Berrios is not going to last long today from the looks of it.
  11. glory
    Luck in this case more so relates to their record in 1 run games, and things like that. The talent performing is more talent + what looks like a very tangible difference with coaching (Popkins). We will see how sustainable it is beyond this season.
  12. glory
    I'm not a big Atkins supporter, nor did I think the Jays would be as good as they've been this season, but the 2025 team more closely resembles 2021-23 than it does 2024 to this point, so the outlier in the last 5 years is the one bad season. Is it luck, coaching, talent....probably a mix of all of those things. The minor league side is looking better than it has in years as well, so it's overall a much more positive outlook than a few months ago.
  13. glory
    Yeah I’d probably take him out as well with how risky his thumb is. Hopefully JS can fight the urge to use a leverage reliever (unless the game gets close).
  14. glory
    Not sure how long Scherzer is going to go tonight (1 more inning max, if he’s staying in the game at all), but would be nice to end this game only using Pina, Green, and Nance.
  15. glory
    Severino looked great. Credit to the Jays for battling and finally getting to him as he got closer to 100 pitches (some spotty A’s defense was a nice touch as well).
  16. glory
    Not sure DS would have handled Sevy throwing 99 any better than Straw has, but man Straw is really bad offensively. DS in the lineup instead when Loperfido was scratched would have been better, IMO.
  17. glory
    Can’t believe the Mariners blew that game. Saw the score at 5-0 and assumed the Jays would have a nice 3 game lead heading into the weekend.
  18. glory
    Yeah he’s too big of a risk for me. Don’t get me wrong, deGrom on the mound for Game 1 of a playoff series in a packed RC would be incredible, but age and injury history are not on his side. Would be a massive risk. It also might be pointless to debate since he has a NTC and I can’t imagine he’d want to go from Texas to Canada.
  19. glory
    Yeah the difference in framing, fielding value, DRS, etc, between the two catching tandems and in general (all positions) is significant. I’m not sure if Sandy is ever going back to the Cy Young days but with the Jays defense behind him and Pete Walker’s rep with helping vet starters, I like the chances for a bounce back. Cabrera or Ryan would also be great targets but price will be a lot higher.
  20. glory
    On the other hand they traded 2 years of Luzardo in the off-season for 2 prospects who make 2025 Nimmala look big league ready by comparison. Could go either way with them.
  21. glory
    Atkins acquired Liriano (5.46 ERA) in 2016 at the deadline when the team had a chance at the division and put him right in the rotation. Then as you mentioned there was Ray (7.84 ERA) and Stripling (5.61 ERA) in 2020 when they were in the Mickey Mouse Wild Card race. Traded for Matz (9.68 ERA) before the 2021 season, though their deadline pickup that year was Berrios who they had to pay a premium for. They didn't trade for rotation help at the 2022 deadline, and didn't need to in 2023 given how great their pitching was. I don't think Alcantara would be uncharacteristic of an Atkins deadline pickup given his history. Of course Atkins' job wasn't (presumably) on the line in previous deadlines as it may be now, so maybe that alters his thinking. I'd go with Sandy in a heartbeat over Keller given those 2 options and hope for the best, but a lot will depend on prospect cost.
  22. glory
    I’m very curious what Alcantara’s trade value is. He has a 7.22 ERA (4.59 FIP). Velocity is still there, less swing and miss, but stuff+ still good. Feels like he’d be a really good buy low, but Marlins have no reason to sell low unless they want out of his contract. Jays have elite defense so Sandy would definitely benefit from that. I’d rather have him than Keller, as there’s a chance you’re buying a bit lower on a top end starter rather than buying high on a high floor mid rotation option for similar money.
  23. glory
    Yeah I don't mind Keller as a 2026-28 rotation option, or even a 2025 rotation option considering Scherzer's spotty health, but if you're trading Nimmala, then it should be for someone with higher upside and/or more cost friendliness. As mentioned you wouldn't be trading for an arb eligible player or someone on a team friendly deal, you'd be taking on what is essentially a FA level contract. Surplus value potential simply isn't there, and I'm not sure it raises the upside of the 2025 team that much since he's very similar to the existing top 4 in the rotation. You could certainly rationalize Nimmala for Keller, especially since Nimmala could conceivably become a bust, but I would hope they aim a bit higher. Or trade other/lesser prospects for Keller.
  24. glory
    Popkins helping everyone else do more damage while Vlad drills everything into the ground and does his Vladimir Arraez Jr impersonation is mind boggling to me. He might be unfixable due to his own ego. We just have to hope there’s at least a few more 165 wRC+ seasons before his inevitable sub-0 WAR performance in his mid/late 30’s and 40’s.
  25. glory
    Last 2 times the Jays were in the playoffs, Vlad was a 3 WAR and sub-2 WAR player respectively. He’s on pace for a 3-4 WAR this season when the team is looking like a playoff team again. Absolutely infuriating player.
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