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glory

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Everything posted by glory

  1. I'm indifferent to Walker, I can see why some want him back and some don't, but it's possible he's looking for more than a year at the moment or a higher AAV than they want to give him. Him and Matz project very similarly next season, and that's with Matz being tire fire last year and being in an org run by Brodie at the time (probably not as optimal for pitchers as the Jays org). They might circle back to Walker at some point either way. Still, as much as money helps the Jays, for one year pillow contracts to pitchers, that's not their strong point. For hitters it's different, hence why Semien might have found it attractive.
  2. I can't imagine FA pitchers, especially those looking for a pillow contract, would view Toronto as a top destination for them. Unfortunately this SP market aside from less than a handful of guys is basically all guys looking at 1 year deals, which puts the Jays in a tough spot. If Ray didn't spend a month here he likely would have signed elsewhere as well. In hindsight, the 3/40 for Gausman, assuming every other major signing would have worked out the same (Springer, Semien, Yates) would have been great.
  3. I can understand people being upset at getting Matz (he hasn't been good since 2016 and $5m isn't cheap for what he is) but I don't think we have to sweat any of the prospects sent to the Mets. Maybe one turns into a good RP or something, but it's a very minor package.
  4. I think the Jays will probably start the season with a “traditional” rotation but gradually morph into what we saw last year as the season progresses. Hard to know how pitchers are going to react coming off throwing 40-60 innings rather than 150+. Stockpiling more depth is probably a good idea.
  5. Yeah if the Jays add another SP it will either be a trade or re-signing Walker. I don't think they are getting Paxton or Odorizzi, but who knows.
  6. SRF and Diaz were bubble 40 man roster players, and Winck isn't much of a prospect. The issue is Matz hasn't been good lately. Maybe they see something in him, or maybe they don't have that much left to spend, and found this to be cheaper/better than some of the FA options.
  7. Sean Reid-Foley, Yennsy Diaz and Josh Winckowski. 40 man roster clean up from the looks of it.
  8. Josh Winckowski is one of them.
  9. The Youtube versions of the Tim and Sid interviews: Atkins: Springer:
  10. For anyone who hasn't seen this yet, here is an ESPN feature on Springer from 2017.
  11. The finish to the season isn't meant to ignore the first 14 games, those games happened so they count, but it's meant to show that looking at 2020 as a continuation of his pre-2019 performance can be misleading. It was literally a terrible 14 game stretch followed by 46 games at a level closer to his 2019. Maybe he would have been streaky all season if the season were 162 games and finished around where he did, we don't know, but I think there's cause for optimism for his 2021 performance.
  12. Yeah this front office just added Springer, Semien, and Yates. That's shopping in the elite aisle. I don't think there's much left for an expensive SP (Bauer), but I would assume one of Paxton/Odorizzi and/or a trade is what they are looking at.
  13. https://www.usabaseball.com/news/topic/general/mlb-and-usa-baseball-schedule-evaluation-and-showcase-events-for-2021-2022-mlb-d Draft combine sounds interesting.
  14. I liked Didi as a fit, but between him and Semien on a one year deal, I'd definitely choose Semien. There is an article on FG that says in his first 14 games of 2020 he had a 24 wRC+ and -0.2 WAR, but then in his next 46 (regular and post season) he had a 133 wRC+ and 2.0 WAR. So basically in 86% of his total 2020 plate appearances, he was the 2019 version of Semien. This signing has very real upside. I hope he has a great year and cashes out next winter.
  15. Yeah I would have been fine giving him double that on a one year deal, but as mentioned he probably looked at it as NY or Japan, and he's certainly made enough money in his career to choose location over money.
  16. Bonds, Clemens, and Schilling should all be in. If you want to put an asterisks on all of their plaques so the world knows that they cheated and/or are scumbags in real life, then so be it, but they didn't commit heinous crimes or anything. It shouldn't be this complicated.
  17. Yeah he wants the big money deal that his 2019 season would have warranted, so it makes more sense to take the high AAV for one year, and try again next season when teams should have more money to spend and he might be coming off a better season.
  18. Springer (w/ signing bonus), Ray, Yates, Chatwood, and Semien comes out to $66.5m added in 2021, not counting incentives. They'll likely want to save some payroll for mid season moves as well. I'm not expecting much more. Maybe one SP (Paxton fits the Semien/Yates/Ray mold of buy low one year deals) and then some smaller depth moves.
  19. Fisher is out of options, while it looks like Davis still has 1 option left. So my guess is Fisher is gone eventually.
  20. Alpha Atkins has played free agency beautifully so far. One year deals on high upside players coming off down years (Semien, Yates, Ray) and one major impact deal (Springer). The farm system has remained in tact so far, and slowly but surely the 40 man roster is starting to lose clutter. The team still needs at least one, but hopefully two SP's, and still arms out there to choose from.
  21. Baerga mentioned 2B in his IG post, and Rosenthal just mentioned it as well. Looks like Semien at 2B and Biggio as the regular 3B (but I'm sure he'll be playing everywhere). On a one year deal, this is a really nice move. He may not come close to 2019 again, but since it's only a year, there's very little risk involved. He should still be good for a 2-3 WAR I would think, but with potential for lot better.
  22. It's confirmed by Passan and Heyman. Wow, nice move.
  23. Semien on a 1 year deal would be great.
  24. If Tanaka is out and Bauer is not likely, then it’s down to Odorizzi and/or Paxton. My guess is the Jays would go with Odorizzi if given the choice (less of an injury risk + they were in on him last winter) but both have downsides.
  25. From MLBTR: I don't know if the players disagree with any of those things as much as they want more in return for them.
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