Big crowd tonight. 38,000 Too bad we didn’t yank a couple balls into the LF seats for them tonight. Tip yer cap to a top shelf pitcher over there L.T Allen.
Springer must have inked these Ad deals in early 2023.
These companies would be much better off paying Davis Schneider for the ads now, and he could actually use the $.
Commissioner is constantly barking at teams for big AAV long term deals.
Rarely do you get a Semien/Seagar situation where they lay it out, and at least they get a ring. Flags fly forever and its something the fan base can always glom on to when the back end of the deals roll around. Imagine if their record so far this year was where TEX topped out, and deGrom can't get back on the mound? I guess they call that the NY Mets.
Castellanos over his 3 seasons so far for PHI is negative 0.1 WAR. He will be $60M into them at the end of the year. That deal always sucked. He never had any D value, and aside from 2021 he was 1-2 ish WAR player.
There is a good reason the cost/WAR this past off season for FAs dropped from over 8M median to 4.4M.
Listening to Kiley McDaniel on Jays Talk Plus with Blake Murphy from this am.
Said he worked for one MLB team where they were offered a solid trade and his team passed, surprisingly. He found out later why, when the GM told him he was "pre fired" and ownership didn't want to can him during season, so he was told he could not make any deals.
"Pre-firing" - This may be our new best case scenario.
Yep. We stayed at the table too long with KK. Should have just cashed in the winning chips from his resurrection season of 2023.
Springer there is little choice - 2.5 more years and $63M to go.
JT was an odd signing @13M - 40 projecting 105 and declining against the FB in '23.
Erik Swanson came into this Buffalo Bisons game to protect a 2-0 lead in the 7th and it went sideways in a hurry.
Final line for Swanson was 2BB, a hit, 1 ER and 1 unearned run on an error. His ERA did go down from 9.26 to 8.97.
Feels like we are the fans always complaining about Jays RISP hitting. But the tables have turned on the Brewers! Our high wire act continues.
MIL is 7th in MLB in runs scored. How is this possible? If that was us we would be playing .650 ball for season.
Teo had 3 straight 130 wRC+ seasons for us. Yet, when it suits the argument of convenience pick the one anomalous SEA season.
Even in '23 he had a .178 ISO, which is what this team needs more of.
So instead of beating the $20.3M AAV LAD gave him on a 1 year deal the Jays had a better strategy. Lets invest $50M AAV on a collective that has produced .0.9 WAR in just under half a season. The Jays looked in on Teo for PR purposes (which works on some) but thats about it.
I mean we couldn't really use the .260 ISO in '24 he has. We are already consistently scoring plenty of runs as it is in both the '23 and '24 seasons. Right?
I understand that this orgs issues run deeper than what Teo could have addressed, but he would made this team more effective offensively. And he is more useful than the the $15M AAV JT Vogelbach combo on D.
Jays are 32-10 (.762) when scoring at least 3 runs.
That should be easier to capitalize on than it has been. 1/3 of MLB teams are averaging over 4.5 runs/game.
Just a counter perspective. I get what his point was and totally understand it. It’s not unfair. But with those players the risk profile was important and there was a decent probability their production would suffer as a result. You can make the same sort of point about JT and the aging curve. You can’t assume either that because they are off the IL they are going to perform. Same for IKF. He is hitting 22% about his career bat. It’s all going to come out in the wash. So far, its been underwhelming.
Exactly. Trade Bo too and move Vogelbach to SS. The added defensive responsibility will help get his bat going. Ross has kind of mailed it on the puritanical D first run prevention optimal line ups lately anyway.
He could. Or he could be a bust as he didn’t pitch last year. What little I have seen is interesting. The price factored in some of the risk. In our bunch of off season misfit toy purchases IKF is carrying the weight so far with 1.2 WAR.
Did we really expect KK to be healthy? 2023 was a gift from the Gods with him. Green we looked at for 5 weeks coming off I believe Lat surgery? Yariel didn’t pitch all last year. From a risk profile assessment these guys all had some red flags and the FO made the choice to invest. So I think it is fair.
$50M AAV off season investment decisions - JT, Green, Y-Rod, KK, IKF, Vogelbach
42% of the season in the books & collective 2024 net positive WAR total = 0.9
41% of season played:
- 25th Runs scored
- 19th wRC+
- 24th ISO
- 26th HRs
- 19th ERA & 27th FIP & 24th Pitching WAR
- D tops MLB
25 - 3 record when they score 5 runs or more