Orgfiller
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Everything posted by Orgfiller
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At least they've made up for it in pitching development. Skenes seems like a tough one to give them a whole lot of credit for, given the hype and projections as he entered the draft, but he's nonetheless pitched as well as possible so partly some credit has to be given. Then there's Bubba Chandler and Jared Jones, high upside arms. Mitch Keller, Ashcraft are both solid mid rotation guys. They've actually killed it with drafting and developing starters recently.
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Yeah, aside from the cast that they were working with, they also just had a nightmare season in terms of underperformance. Oneil Cruz and Reynolds were both sub 100 wRC+ bats, but they both underperformed their xwOBAs pretty substantially. Nick Gonzalez took a nosedive after a decently promising 2024 campaign, plus his draft + prospect pedigree adding to the disappointment. Ditto Henry Davis x1000. To their credit, they have an entirely home grown rotation, developed a good reliever in Dennis Santana for free (claimed off waivers), and have bolstered both their bullpen and lineup a good deal without needing to overpay anywhere.
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Pirates' top 5 of Horwitz, Brandon Lowe, Bryan Reynolds, Ryan O'Hearn and Oneil Cruz isn't sending chills down your spine, but has potential to be a nuisance in any given game with some hidden potential, mostly in the form of Cruz.
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It's getting to that time in the offseason where the cheap teams start buying unsigned FAs at a discounted price to show that "see we're not cheap! We spend money! Also keep those revenue sharing checks coming". Ryan O'Hearn to the Pirates for 2/29. This is the Pirates' first FA multi year deal since Ivan Nova in 2016 (3/26), and first multi year FA deal to a hitter since John Jaso (2/8) exactly 10 years to the date.
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Abrams and Butler are similar pieces, but I like Abrams' additional SBs and he'll likely switch from SS to CF at any point now. He also strikes out less so will likely always run higher batting averages/hits. Griffin looks good but he's going to be 20 years old with limited exposure at AA, I wouldn't quite hand him the keys to the franchise just yet.
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That's sad, he was a budding relief ace.
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Yeah when the entire baseball world can’t beat 2/34 it means the concerns about his ability to make contact are valid and significant. A huge embarrassment for Murakami and his camp.
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This is less impressive considering they sold Paredes to acquire Morel who was f***ing awful for them lol, but yeah pretty cool trade tree.
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Lowe is in the last year of his contract and making $11.5M as a 2 win player which is too much for the Rays. I'm more surprised they gave up on Montgomery given the stuff, but they must think his command is tough to fix. Melton has some big tools, he's a pretty legit prospect to get back for a low value piece in Lowe and a likely reliever with high risk/upside.
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This trade is essentially 5 40 FV types for one mediocre starter who doesn't eat innings, is already in arbitration, and who would best be utilized as a 2 IP fireman. It improves the O's rotation but in no meaningful way and with little upside.
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Shane Baz is like the epitome of a 5 and dive guy, so I like this a lot for the Rays even if no one prospect they're acquiring is particularly exciting. Baz's numbers fall off the table literally on just the second time through the order, probably the fakest "starter" in the league. He's essentially a really good 2-3 IP opener that can cover a mediocre 4th and 5th innings. I remember last season when he carved us up first time through the order, literally unhittable, and then immediately turned into a pumpkin the second time through and got shelled.
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They've actually extended two of their young stars since they locked in to Maikel Garcia as well. Just a competent mid market organization that makes the kind of moves they should be making. It's a breath of fresh air.
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Cheap lefties who throw gas and have team control vs soft(er) throwing lefty with one year left. Strahm has been MUCH better than all 3 of them last two seasons, but actually projects similarly/worse than all of them.
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Is it not a weird move from an opportunity cost POV? Even if they were down on Strahm and wanted to cut ties before the bottom fell out, he has quite solid surface level stats, and is a lefty which teams are always looking for good options for their bullpen. Even if the Phillies love the potential with Bowlan, it feels like they could've at least gotten a 40 FV prospect tacked on or something, or looked elsewhere for a deal that got them a 45+ FV or better prospect from a contending team. Idk, I'm looking at how the reliever market is going, and Strahm could easily double his 2026 salary on a one year deal if he were a FA.
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A 116 wRC+ as a 1B with bad defense, which is pretty mediocre, is not a breakout. A breakout would be like a >130 wRC+ at least. He has the exit velos and contact profile to get it done, just needs to get to his power more often which is easier said than done.
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I like what the Royals have been doing this offseason. If they could upgrade one of their sub replacement options at 2B and get a breakout year from Pasquantino/Caglianone then they could do very well in the AL Central.
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What the f***. Bowlan has some upside, but he's already 29 and good lefty relievers are probably much more valuable than average/slightly above average right handed ones.
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Interesting. Strahm is very good and on a cheap 1/7.5 deal. Return must be at least decent even if it's only a one year reliever rental.
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Logan Webb was confirmed to be pitching for them too.
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My first reaction to this was: "I like that less than Keller for 2/22", but on second look maybe that's not the right way to think about it? Weaver has much better K/BB over the last two seasons, including, importantly, more Ks period. One of them saw the performance back up, the other broke out. Keller is a GB machine, Weaver is an extreme flyball guy with not as many pop outs as you would think from such a pitcher. Track record of success is equally limited for the two of them, although Weaver was generally more promising during his starting days than Keller was, and has one more season of good performance. Keller has the age advantage and the velo trending up.
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Like that deal for the Phils. Have to imagine the lack of track record for Keller hurt his market, and the projections aren't super sexy. Good upside play. Makes it even better that they're signing him to be the setup man for Duran, doesn't need to be the top arm in the BP.
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Meh, as a fan of the WBC and growing baseball's popularity internationally, I always advocate for the best players participating, especially the pitchers who tend to chicken out and muddle the talent pool. Obviously guys rehabbing from TJS should take it easy, but it still just effectively works as a tune up for these guys to be ready to pitch competitively during the regular season. If anything, Berrios participating should give us an idea on how his stuff is looking, and if his arm can hold up in the capacity of having a rotation spot.
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I don't think the Angels are winning 95 games even if Manoah and Romano turn back into their 2022 versions lol. Maybe if that happens and Trout puts up another 8+ WAR season they have a shot.
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I think this is a fair take from the perspective of, we're in the top of the 9th in game 7, do we have that one guy we're comfortable with closing the door? Anecdotally, we obviously saw what happened to "our guy" in that exact scenario - although he otherwise had a pretty excellent playoff run, but I digress. I still think Hoffman has a chance to be that guy, but he'll need to build up that trust again. On the other hand, it's a very deep group in terms of: our starter struggles through 3-4 innings, can we reasonably expect the bullpen to keep us in the game? Despite the bullpen reasonably doing an okay job at that at times these playoffs, it certainly wasn't the group you had the most hope in. This is obviously evidenced by our usage of guys like Bassitt, Gausman and Yesavage in crucial games when other teams may have considered leaning on their top bullpen arms. With this group, aside from like Little, there's not a guy that you're cringing your teeth and praying they're not the ones coming in to stop the bleeding.
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I'm assuming they're using the Positional Depth Charts: https://www.fangraphs.com/depthcharts.aspx?position=RP Dodgers over Padres as the top BP is a very interesting take by the projection models.
