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Orgfiller

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Everything posted by Orgfiller

  1. Is there a Tyler Bauer I'm not aware of or something? Who is this third guy you're talking about lol. Tanaka?
  2. By projections: Springer -> Grichuk is a 2 win improvement Bichette -> Lindor at SS is a 1 win improvement 3B Black Hole/Replacement Level -> Bichette is a 4 win improvement The team already projects to be 6th among position player WAR. Making those two moves means we'd project to have the best position player group in the entire league. Heck just the Lindor acquisition would boost our non-pitcher WAR projection to be the same as the Dodgers. Lindor + Springer means we'd project to have the second most WAR in the league and that's assuming zero additions to the pitching staff, which understandably projects to be mediocre.
  3. He was probably like 14 in that first pic lol, he'll literally never look like that again. The second pic he's 18 and he looks a fair bit pudgier already.
  4. That's not how defensive metrics work. Jeter didn't get to anything and was punished heavily. You don't get penalized for getting to balls that others don't either and not making the play. The most likely explanation here is Alomar had weird starting position so he didn't get to balls the average 2B would get to, or would have to put in more effort in getting to those balls as a result. But that doesn't mean he wasn't an elite defender. The same happened to Adeiny Hechavarria recently, the eye test saw an elite defender but the stats didn't agree, so one year they fixed his positioning and suddenly the stats agreed with the eye test.
  5. Wacha has looked cooked for two seasons now but I fully expect him to get back to his 2017 self now that the Rays brought him in.
  6. In Mazeroski's case, he was basically the Ozzie Smith of second base. Ozzie was obviously significantly better at everything, but I have to imagine that's the reasoning for his induction.
  7. This, I think Sugano is anywhere between the most to third most valuable SP available after Bauer in the open market. He might very well project to be exactly as good as Tanaka, and I have to imagine is less of a health risk than Paxton is.
  8. I don't see why we'd stop at Sugano. I'm not saying he should be our key SP acquisition, but that he could be a very good one. I'm not sure how the foreign market is right now but 3/30 would seem like a pretty decent gamble. Are any of those other guys you mentioned even that exciting at 3/30? I want nothing to do with Roark in our rotation, and Ray is probably 5 bad starts away from being moved to the bullpen as a post-opener/long reliever, although he should probably get the chance to make those 5 starts. Why would signing Sugano limit us from going after a Paxton, Tanaka, etc. Obviously I'd much rather have Bauer than most combinations of those guys but if he's off the table and we're not trading for someone like Sonny Gray then we're gonna have to get creative to fill in the rest of the rotation so we don't have trash like Roark at the end of it.
  9. Yamaguchi's NPB numbers don't hold a candle to Sugano's, that's the point. Furthermore, Yamaguchi's strikeout numbers actually did translate lol, he struck out over a batter an inning. I'm not sure it's even entirely fair to put the shortened season performance against him. He had the worst possible series of outcomes occur for someone making the NPB to MLB transition, it's not entirely surprising a guy wouldn't adapt well under those circumstances. Also who said Sugano has low velo? Here he is throwing 92-95 over a start https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2AkaFQf8wsU
  10. Man I'd love to come out of this posting period with both Kim and Sugano. Sugano's NPB numbers are excellent, they're like a carbon copy of Tanaka's, with the caveat of course that the latter was significantly younger. If you're thinking the downside is he could be another Kikuchi, that's true, but it should be noted that Sugano's performance has been quite a bit better. If you're thinking his age could be a negative, also a valid concern, but Hisashi Iwakuma anyone?
  11. Biggio has a .272/.398/.481 career slash line against the Rays lol. He crushed them to a (small smaple) 208 wRC+ this season after an 84 wRC+ (also small sample) the last, so much for Tampa having his number and Biggio being unable to adjust. Keith Law is talking out of his ass.
  12. Source?
  13. I've been sitting on him for like 4 rounds. The Lakers hype train is in full force right now so I'll hope to sell high on him to one of you dummies during the season.
  14. Yeah that's why I argued it from an offensive point of view. Utley being a more modern player has more accurate defensive stats so we know how excellent he was at the position. Robbie by all accounts was a sight to behold at the keystone so I'm not gonna debate 20-30 year old defensive metrics that didn't think he was all that. Like I said, for Biggio to become anywhere near as good as those guys he'd actually have to elevate his defense to near elite levels, as his baserunning and offense have been quite good already and the latter IMO has room for growth.
  15. Don't take this the wrong way, but what? Alomar was obviously a phenomenal player, but he ended up with the same career wRC+ as Chase Utley, another phenomenal player. Peak Utley might even have been a better player than peak Alomar, or at least just as good. For Biggio to become as good of a hitter as those guys at their best he doesn't have to become a "batting title level hitter" at all, merely exceed his power output - not impossible given his swing path - or lower his K rate a fair bit more without sacrificing the rest of his toolset, he's not exactly Joey Gallo at the plate. For Biggio to become either of those guys he'd actually have to significantly improve his defense, not his offense.
  16. The Braves project for less team WAR than the Blue Jays lol.
  17. They'd have a decent advantage in pitching but that's pretty much it. The Dodgers are ridiculously stacked. Pos: Mets - Dodgers C: McCann < Will Smith/Barnes/Ruiz 1B: Alonso/Dom Smith ~ Muncy 2B: McNeil > Lux/Chris Taylor (if Lux is half as good as he's expected to be this also will flip to the Dodgers' side) SS: Gimenez/Rosario << Seager 3B: J.D. Davis > Edwin Rios/Chris Taylor (flips to Dodgers if Justin Turner re-signs) OF: Nimmo/Springer/Conforto << Pollock/Chris Taylor/Bellinger/Betts SP: deGrom/Bauer/Syndergaard/Stroman/Peterson/Lugo/Matz? > Buehler/Kershaw/Urias/Price/Dustin May/Gonsolin - Mets have far better front-end, Dodgers may have better depth RP: Diaz/Trevor May/Seth Lugo/Miguel Castro... > Kenley Jansen/Graterol/Victor Gonzalez/Knebel/... - they're relievers, both could be elite, both could be terrible. Is Edwin Diaz the best reliever in baseball? Is Jansen done? Who knows. Current projections have the following: Hitter WAR Mets - 19.0 + ~3 wins with Springer replacing their worst OF Dodgers - 27.0 WAR + ~a win or so if Justin Turner comes back Pitching WAR: Mets - 18.5 WAR + ~2-3 wins if Bauer signs Dodgers - 17.6 WAR
  18. Went with Patrick Williams. Dinger's bro up.
  19. The silver lining is the later the season starts (hopefully not later than May) the more likely it is the Jays play in Toronto.
  20. Why would we sign Kim to be a CF when he's never played an inning outside the infield professionally? Why would he sign us when other teams are offering him starting SS or 3B roles and we're the ones that want him to learn a new position as he also gets adjusted to MLB pitching? Btw Biggio was an 80th percentile runner last season and 72nd percentile this season, he's much faster than a 45 FV which would be below average lol. I'm pretty sure that's basically a 60 FV. I guess because he runs in long strides the scouts thought he didn't actually seem that athletic and just put him down as below average? Scouts are dumn.
  21. lol @ the Royals being the most aggressive team in free agency thus far.
  22. David Dahl is not an asset at all, I agree with you. He projects to be significantly below replacement level lol, the media and some fans are acting as if the Rockies gave up on Brendan Rodgers or something.
  23. He basically was. He was a bad to average defender his entire career before suddenly putting up an elite defensive season in 2019, and he wasn't even a good defender again in the shortened 2020 (SSS caveat obviously). Perhaps the biggest defensive season outlier in recent history?
  24. Vlad Jr. was one of the worst defensive 3B in the league his rookie year, and then he followed that up by coming into post-lockdown camp completely out of shape and more immobile than before. There was clearly a lot of disappointment from the FO that they were forced to make that move before they wanted to. Anyone who claims his move to 1B was for financial reasons is totally out of it.
  25. Added Gary Trent Jr. BTS back up with havok having a pick to make up.
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