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Olerud363

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Everything posted by Olerud363

  1. Olerud363
    Sorry to hear that. That is brutal.
  2. Olerud363
    Every year they don't win the World Series is considered failure. The fans expect a World Series win every 5 years. They have won only one world series in the last 20 years, and did not appear in a world series in the 2010s. First time in 100 years that a Yankee team was not in the World Series in a decade. By their own standards it is a complete failure.
  3. Olerud363
    Another take I can live with... To be sure I am cherry picking. Somewhere else I suspect I rage posted that Vlad was the greatest failure in the history of failures.
  4. Olerud363
    Dear board Above is my last stated thought on VGJ... I think it is a pretty good take. I will not be signing the apology form. I was up and down about Vlad and I am sure many of us were. I was about to send him to Indy ball many times, however while irrational about it at times, I also came to my senses once and a while. I think I also posted the lightning cat theory somewhere else in this thread... If Vlad could return to being a lightning cat, like he was late March 2018 in Montreal he would hit like no other!
  5. Olerud363
    Take a man who can hit .270 with 25 homers while weighing 280 pounds and possessing a ground ball rate of 55% What would such a man hit weighing 235 and possessing a ground ball rate of 38%? What are translated numbers of an obese gub-pile if he becomes a lighting cat?
  6. Olerud363
    Yes. That does work if you have the god awful version of Rowdy at first... if you had another good hitter at first it doesn't work.
  7. Olerud363
    Deadening the ball just the right amount may be the answer. Get it so a) Aaron Judge hitting .250 with 50 homers and 220 strike-outs becomes .225 with 40 homers and 220 strikeouts Average hitter hitting .250 with 25 homers and 180 strike-outs becomes .220 with 10 homers and 180 strikeouts. then that might force them to change hitting approach and become higher average hitters because average and hitting to all fields becomes more valuable relatively speaking.
  8. Olerud363
    I'm not sure about this. I 100% agree the games need to be faster. 4 hour 9 inning games are too long... other than rules to make the game faster I think artificially constraining innovation is not good. Openers are cool in my mind. Vlad Guerrero DH -- Vladdy is now the hero we always thought he would be -- .370 hitter on track for 40 homers. Better then we thought. Zeuch has to pitch today because injuries! lots of injuries always. Zuech is all set... oh s*** they are bombing Zeuch... 3-0... get the bullpen going Do you a) Take out Zeuch when it is 3-0 but lose Vladdie (lightning cat version) for the whole game? Keep Zeuch in until it is 8-0 then take him out losing Vladdie for the hole game? c) Keep Zuech in no matter what.
  9. Olerud363
    I was thinking about this and I think part of it is just a moneyball type optimization of hitter approach. Here are a couple of seriously great teams. Great to watch and great hitting approach 1988 Red Sox https://www.baseball-reference.com/teams/BOS/1988.shtml 1993 Blue Jays https://www.baseball-reference.com/teams/TOR/1993.shtml Red Sox scored 813 runs, Blue Jays 847. Potentially both teams were a bit unlucky. Both had batting title contenders, low strike out rates, were super-fun to watch. They hit .280 as a team. Any number of teams hitting .250 score 800-850 runs now The good teams score 950 runs. And they all strike out way more, slightly lower batting averages, but more walks and way more power. I think they figured out .250 .330 .480 is better then .280 .340 .420 -- High k, high power teams score more runs, thus that is the strategy teams will use.
  10. Olerud363
    It's South Korea right? Or does North Korea have a league too?
  11. Olerud363
    Yeah. So a guy who had to be moved off short was Russ Adams, Russ Adams didn't pass the eye test at all, noodle arm from what I recall, but Bichette doesn't seem anywhere near that level of bad... a couple of adjustments away from being fine from what I can tell. Fangraphs still has Bichette as a positive defender. It showed Adams as negative right from the start. There is zero reason to move Bichette. Assuming he ends up being a positive but not elite defender, it wouldn't help to move him, unless replacing him with a elite defender that could hit. Replacing him with an elite defender with John McDonald level hitting would make the team worse (which is one of the reasons Jays of 2006/7 went no where).
  12. Olerud363
    Best guess is every body will regress to their career averages, except Vlad, who will hopefully regress to the number predicted by his minor league + major league performance so far (which given his stellar minor league numbers, is better then his career average). Add Springer hitting at his career averages and that is much better then the .215 hitting s*** pile we have seen so far. If Springer comes back soon, and regression to the mean happens soon it will look like the offense is better with Springer but it won't be a causal relationship.
  13. Olerud363
    It is everything you would be expect when the team has a .250 on base percentage or whatever, Keith Law being proved "right" nightly, (Bo can't play shortstop, Cavan can't hit fastball), team having COVID vaccine side effects and one quarantine (a lot of 'yo bro COVID fake'). (Just for the record I personally don't think Keith Law is right. I think Bo will work out at Shortstop, he doesn't look like Russ Adams, where he just absolutely doesn't have the skills, just bobbling too many balls then rushing, and hopefully that get's fixed. Biggio is walking and hitting with power. Doubt he'll hit .150 all year, and with the ussuall walks and power will be OK. )
  14. Olerud363
    Roberto Ramos? I never even heard of Roberto so had to look up. He seems to be a 5'11" right handed hitter. Why did he remind you of Rowdy? Just because he was bad. Countless hitters are bad and don't make it. Did you see Ramos play? Have a connection somehow? What about Juan Francisco? Why doesn't Rowdy remind you of Juan Francisco?
  15. Olerud363
    Opening day on a Wednesday would work. It's only the last few years that the Thursday opening day has been a thing, creating this problem. Having all these off days on a Friday is really stupid.
  16. Olerud363
    Nearly last in the league in walks and doubles, hitting .208 as a team. The offence has been terrible. Even last light outside of Vlad and Cavan... Seemed like a lot of guys were chasing. Will they hit .208 all year? Probably not but this team has had a completely rotten approach through 7 games.
  17. Olerud363
    Note - not really defending Tellez here... if Tellez was sitting for Kirk as DH I'd be fine with it. Good manager algoritithm Play young guy, young guy struggle play different young guy. Develop, develop young guy. Don't bunt. Get on base. Pull starter early but not too early, but not too late. Bad manager algorithm Play Joe Panik, bunt, bench young guy, bench younger guy, play Joe Panik, bunt, don't worry about getting on base. Be aggressive. Run fast. Steal. Bunt. Play Joe Panik.
  18. Olerud363
    Charlie digs this thread. With Rowdy headed to the Korean league he feels fully justified playing Panik full time.... Seems inevitable that Rowdy will end up in some alternative league or the other and Kirk in triple a. Charlie doesn't seem to believe in either for some reason. Note: Neither would ever lose at bats to Panik if Charlie believed in them. Charlie = Cito with bunting. Done with Charlie, doesn't seem at all like he is really a young player development guy that bunts because he is actually super intelligent and realizes he is costing the team, but not that much, and thinks the bunting has a psychological benefit. Charlie is an idiot who likes bunting and Joe Panik.
  19. Olerud363
    Yeah.. Last year they looked awful for 10 or 15 games, then went on a streak scoring like 10 runs a game a bunch of times.
  20. Olerud363
    You almost got it, just change it a bit and you are there, "The Indians traded him because they had an upcoming roster crunch and he was on the bubble. I commend our FO, and the sharper board members for seeing what I, Grant could not, and recognizing his potential.
  21. Olerud363
    I have never been a Charlie hater until now. His job was player development and who cares if he bunts once and a while and loses like .08 percent win probability. What has happened now though is 22 year old Alexandra Kirk is losing at bats. Kirk is not on the roster to play 1/3 of time, he should be in 2/3 of the time and he essentially lost a game to Panik 1. Kirk should of been in catching Saturday. 2. Sunday Jansen back catching and Kirk should of been DHing instead of Panik. That would get Kirk his 2/3 playing time he needs. I am Charlie, I am the next Cito Gaston except I bunt a tonne. I love you Joe Panik, you remind me of a young (ie 33) year old Pat Tabler. Cito, my hero played Tabler instead of Olerud, but Cito didn't bunt enough, I will honor Cito's legacy by bunting hundreds of times and playing Joe Panik instead of Kirk.
  22. Olerud363
    Too Bad Mets traded Kelenic a few months before the Stroman trade. If we could of got Kelenic for Stroman that would of destroyed the board permanently. 1. Grant disses what could be the greatest ever for Jays... "Kelenic is just the next Billy Mckinnney". 2. When Kelenic shows up and is insanely good people call out Grant 3. Grant (justifiably) points out he always compared Mckinney to Justin Upton, so he obviously meant Kelenic, was another guy who could be the next Justin Upton. Then what would the board do? I think that scenario would of been checkmate for Grant.
  23. Olerud363
    He was 0 for his first 2 games last year too, and looked horrible through 10 games, really need 100 at bats to determine anything, if he 'learned' anything last year I doubt he forgot it, I do concede last year could of just been a random good 3 or 4 week stretch.
  24. Olerud363
    For those of you who stay up late and are west coast fans I am sure it was great. For early to bed people and east coast only fairweather fans last night sucked. Jays, Yankees and Mets were all off on the first Friday of the season?? Insane. It was done to protect the gate in case of opening rain out, but another small thing MLB does to screw the fans. Would of enjoyed some Friday night baseball first week of the season. How hard would it of been to just give the East coast teams a Monday off day instead, and use that to make up the game? Pretty easy I think, but I assume that it would mess up the gate, because the Monday wouldn't be "opening day" anymore and people would want refunds... or are refunds even an option for rain-outs?
  25. Olerud363
    The last couple of years I didn't care about the stupid moves, because all that was important was to develop the young guys... I think I'll be a lot more annoyed at it this year
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