There is luck involved in a short 3 game series, but the Jays regardless played poorly in both WC matchups and their struggles from the 162 game season carried into both of their series.
2021: didn't even make the Postseason which is a shame. Really would have loved to see what that lineup and pitching at the time could have done in the Postseason. Not addressing the Bullpen early on in the season was the issue.
2022: no excuses to blow that lead with Gausman on the mound. Series could have been tied 1-1 and who knows what happens in Game 3. If they lost a close Game 3, then sure luck played a role. The bullpen, defense and over management played more of a role in that series with the Mariners than luck.
2023: offensive struggles all year carried over into the Wildcard matchup. If the Jays bats all of a sudden woke up, that would be getting lucky. Otherwise, this team had offensive issues all year long and it carried over into their series with the Twins. The FO failed to upgrade the lineup at the deadline when it was well known it was a huge issue.