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AdamGreenwood

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Everything posted by AdamGreenwood

  1. AdamGreenwood
    I'm not trying to compare their career timelines, nor do I assume that every player starts at the same baseline and progresses equally each year. Yes, Melky made it to MLB at age 20. That hardly puts him in the same category as the average 20 year old MLB hitter. Surely, you're not going to set Melky's talent level in stone, based on his age of reaching MLB. Don't know if you've noticed but other than his steroid year, he's a pretty average player. And again, I reiterate, the reason 24 year olds that haven't played MLB aren't that exciting, is because usually they've taken six years to get to AAA. In Pillar's case, he's only been playing pro-ball for 2.5 years, so his ceiling has not been reached yet. And you're right that Pillar has very little AAA experience, but there is a consistent pattern. He never has any difficulty with promotions, unlike the super-prospects that you guys drool over like Gose and Marisnick.
  2. AdamGreenwood
    "I think you greatly underestimate the jump in skill level from AA to AAA" It's funny. When Pillar was raking in A+ and HJM was stinking up AA, people said that the jump to AA was the toughest of them all. Then when Pillar was raking AA, and Gose was stinking up AAA, people said the jump to AAA was the toughest of them all. And now that Pillar is raking AAA (I know it's SSS, but you don't get four doubles in a game by luck), now it's the jump to MLB that's the toughest. Beyond some residual steroid effects, Melky doesn't have anything Pillar doesn't have. Hit tool? Equal. Speed? Advantage Pillar. Defense? Equal. Arm? Equal. Power? Equal.
  3. AdamGreenwood
    I think Pillar could replace Melky right now. The guy knows how to hit, and doesn't show any difficulty advancing levels.
  4. AdamGreenwood
    I love Lind interviews. The guy is so honest, it's refreshing. He hates lazy interviewers that ask BS questions he's heard a hundred times, and doesn't put a lot of effort into his answers then. But if you get someone who asks insightful questions and does his homework, the guy gives a great interview. The health care thing was a little weird on a couple of fronts. 1) MLB baseball really drops coverage as soon as you get outrighted? Seriously? Even for a guy with that many years experience? 2) Lind has made about $20 million dollars? Is he really telling me, he can't afford to pay for health insurance, and for whatever comes up?
  5. AdamGreenwood
    Burns is my second favorite non-pitching prospect. Seeing him and Pillar both promoted within days of each other is awesome.
  6. AdamGreenwood
    He's definitely a Blue Jay product given his career 5% walk rate. "Walks are for pussies" - Blue Jay hitting coach mantra.
  7. AdamGreenwood
    In Leyland's own words: "The reason I chose John Gibbons is because he managed Toronto and got fired," Leyland said. "He went to Kansas City as a major-league coach and got fired, not right away but was eventually fired. So what he did was to go back and manage double-A baseball last year (San Antonio), rode the buses in the Texas League, and that really made a good impression on me. Anybody who did that I said: 'I'm taking to the all-star game. I have a soft spot for someone doing what he did." That's some high praise.
  8. AdamGreenwood
    "Tell us Adam, what's our best estimate of JPA's true talent pitch framing abilities?" No idea. That's my whole point.
  9. AdamGreenwood
    Come on. For like a year I was saying that we were reading too much into pitch framing, and that it was quite possible to see the numbers reverse when the next report came out. I gotta toot my own horn a little on this bit of vindication.
  10. AdamGreenwood
    LOL. Who could have predicted that the pitch framing could be so inconsistent from year to year? Oh yeah. Me. Hilarious how you JPA haters all jumped on the report as the word of God when it came out, but now that there's a report actually suggesting JPA is good at pitch framing, you're tripping all over yourselves to dismiss it. http://www.forums.mlb.com/n/pfx/forum.aspx?tsn=1&nav=messages&webtag=ml-bluejays&tid=88183
  11. AdamGreenwood
    Hopefully, we can dump a lot of these big contracts. Miami and Boston both found teams dumb enough to not only take on bad contracts, (after their cheap years were used up), but also to get the teams to give up good prospects to take on these burdening contracts. Maybe we can do the same. There's always LAA.
  12. AdamGreenwood
    I like his energy. Seems like a happy dude who is just happy to be on the team. A refreshing break from the angry, entitled children having tantrums and pouting every other game. Besides, a guy with a career OPS of .770 against LHP with average OF defense, and great speed, is a welcome addition to any bench. Not sure why that is hard to see. The qualities that you want in a 4th OF are: A guy who accepts his role as a bench player. (He does). A guy who has limited potential, that isn't being lost as a result of not being able to play everyday. (He's not getting any better). A guy who has a specialized skillset. You don't want a guy that has zero competitive advantages over Rasmus, Bautista and Cabrera. (speed, and ability to hit vs LHP) A guy who isn't going to demand too much money (It's not cheap for a bench player, but not unreasonable either.)
  13. AdamGreenwood
    Wow. First 9 picks were all pitchers. I'm glad to see the Jays finally recognize their inability to develop position players. Better to just draft arms, and then trade some of them for position players, before they hit MLB.
  14. AdamGreenwood
    This is more than a hot streak. Every time Mottola has worked with Lind, there has been a major turnaround. It's time to let him start hitting against LHP. Limited at bats, but he's hitting .462 against them so far this season. Might as well see if his approach helps him against LHP as well. After all, he did well against them in 2009.
  15. AdamGreenwood
    ...at least until Reyes comes back. I know there's some philosophy out there that suggests that your leadoff guy has to be fast, but right now we're choosing between a guy who is getting on base 50% of the time, and guys with sub .300 OBP that are fast. It's not like Lind is gonna clog the bases for Edwin and Bautista.
  16. AdamGreenwood
    I heard Munenori Kawasaki is on that list too.
  17. AdamGreenwood
    Great news for Cooper. No way he returns to Toronto though. He had a back injury and rather than sticking with him, they dumped him to save on some rehab costs. Plus with Lind hitting the way he is, there's no space for him to play full-time. He'll probably end up going to the Yankees or Sox and haunting us.
  18. AdamGreenwood
    Knowing the Jays and their ridiculous love of the long ball, they're probably thinking of giving Schimpf a shot at third base. Who cares if he's hitting .220, he hits homerunz
  19. AdamGreenwood
    I love the guys who complain about the scrubs we're sending out there, as if we have a whole rotation of aces just chomping at the bit to come play for us. The time to complain was before the season started. In fairness to AA, of the 6 MLB pitchers we had ready to go: 2 got injured 2 turned into disasters 2 are slowly improving, but far short of what they are supposed to do Hard to make contingency plans for all of that. Still, would have liked a little more depth. Attention: We don't have anyone else. The cupboard is bare.
  20. AdamGreenwood
    He has 5 HR now. Over a full season, works out to about 15 HR and 40 SB. I've heard his D is just OK, not a CF, but a solid corner outfielder. Despite the fact that he's probably the only player in our farm system with a hit tool, we're likely to package him off for a .250 OBP athletic toolsy guy. That's what we need more of.
  21. AdamGreenwood
    Either: a) Lawrie is too stupid to realize that a sac flly in the 9th when you are down 3 runs is not helpful. or Lawrie doesn't care about winning, and just wants to keep his BA where it is, and add an RBI. I'm not sure which is worse.
  22. AdamGreenwood
    You know that if Kawasaki got out, there would have been dozens of hindsight baseball sofa experts telling us it was idiotic not to pull him in that situation.
  23. AdamGreenwood
    Every time he has worked with CM, he has done very well. I think that continuing to work with CM, changing his approach to hit to all fields, as well as take walks, will see him continue to succeed. At some point, they need to experiment with letting him hit LHP though. A DH that can only hit RHP isn't the most useful guy to have around. People always say get rid of him. We need something better at 1st base, but our budget is going to be stretched pretty thin over the next few years, so we're not going on a buying spree. As for picking up cheap options like Haffner, people seem to forget that the only reason that Haffner was cheap was because no one expected him to do anything. For everyone of of him, there are three Carlos Penas and three Rick Ankiels. I'm still a little sore that we didn't pick up Eric Chavez though. So little money, for such talent.
  24. AdamGreenwood
    I don't know why you guys get so upset when the opposing catcher has such awesome pitch framing. Lawrie can't even see the pitch framing from where he is standing, so he has no business getting upset.
  25. AdamGreenwood
    Don't worry guys. That .600 BABIP was just bad luck. Any advanced sabermetrician can tell you that.
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