I'm not basing it on recency, rather I'm basing it on things like Vlad without somebody big batting behind him may not improve. Varsho while great defensively just doesn't seem to hit consistently, Springer may be breaking down and Kirk's build may get in the way of his production. The main thing is I don't thing Vlad can be the biggest hitter, he needs somebody else to lead. So without any changes, I'm expecting similar results to prior year. If we had the huge bat at DH that we all wanted I would have very high expectations for the year.