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John_Havok

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Everything posted by John_Havok

  1. I'd tread very carefully with Yusei, his K rate is down around 8 pwr 9 and walk rate is up near 5 per 9, but somehow still not giving up a lot of runs. I'd want to look under the hood more with him before targeting him
  2. True. FWIW, his FIP in the playoffs is decent at 3.63. ERA... 4.91. He's got "I pitch well but when I do allow contact it always hurts" syndrome
  3. The thing is, right now the Jays only have quality relievers except Green and he cant pitch every blowout inning. Sometimes a quality guy is gonna get mop up because....thats just how it is.
  4. They say ya just gotta win series and they did, so its hard to be too upset.... but at the same time, losses like this one sting when your team's "best" pitcher is on the hill going for a sweep and he lays a complete omelet, not just an egg.
  5. Recipe for winning....have the top 3 hitters in your lineup go 8 for 11 with 4 walks, 3 doubles and a HR.
  6. The Jays are facing the Diamondback's version of Bowden Francis... so hopefully they light his tits up
  7. Speaking of the walking thumb-corpse, has there been any kind of updates on how he has fared after his Buffalo start in the following days?
  8. Very much so. Balls should be hands off at this point, except for backup catchers in Dollar Store parking lots.
  9. Clement and Schneider both missed middle/middle meatballs. That sucks
  10. Draftkings has the Phillies at -162 on the moneyline. That seems like they're giving the Jays a lot more credit than we are. Other games today have odds way more tilted against other teams.
  11. Against Minnesota in the 6-3 loss he collided with Clement at 2b
  12. Holy absolutely f*** that is filth
  13. Just as a counter point. A stretching games with a +42 run diff you also wouldn't expect a team to be 10 games over 500 during that stretch, more like anywhere from 3-5 would be the bulk of the bell curve. Im not trying to be a Debbie downer but Im sure I could go back and find tons of posts about teams way overperforming their run diff and largely due to it being 1 run games they are winning (the Jays being quite good this year in 1 run games) and many posters (myself included) would be finding ways to explain why that record shouldn't hold up amd why that team shouldn't be buying at the deadline. Its just harder to do that when its our own team thats benefitting from those types of unpredictable swings in winning 1 run games. Just food for thought really. Im happy as hell the Jays are where they are and that the plan seems to be working out thus far, but I thinknits fair to say the Jays are walking a very thin line that appears to be leaning in the direction of fortunate overperformance.
  14. I am cautiously optimistic about the team but we still have to acknowledge the overall run differential is still a problem. If we were looking at the wildcard standings and seeing WC1 with a +4 run differential and that team wasn't the Jays, and WC 2 and 3 both had better run diffs, we'd likely conclude that WC1 team is due for regression and isnt as good as their record indicates. At the same time, Ws on the board already cant be taken away so ...what can we expect going forward? There's still glaring needs on this team to solidify it for the upcoming second half. Needs: top 1 or 2 SP solidify the pen (every potential playoff team needs this tbh) 1 basher, preferably 2 - Santander can hopefully be one when he comes back but...even with Springer turning back the clock, and if we assume Vlad goes on a heater, we're still looking at a lineup woth only 3 legit 25+ HR threats in Vlad, Santander and Springer. Im not quite ready to slap Barger in that category yet as historically guys like him will.go through a period of needing to find that adjustment where the power dips. I think he will weather it better than most...but still... I'd really like 5 guys in the lineup as legit 25+ HR threats. We aren't sure what Varsho is going to give when he comes back but he's another possibility. So right now its Springer ... maybe Vlad, maybe Santander, maybe Barger and maybe Varsho. I'd like a little more certainty in the power dept.
  15. How about...Tim Lincecum? He was pretty over the top and whippy in his arm action.
  16. He would need to be added to the 40 man roster, though there are open spots. Maybe he's just coming up to the taxi squad which doesn't require him to be put on the 26 man roster?
  17. Its interesting they havent announced Stephen as going up to AA along with Yesavage given they've both dominated at Vancouver. Yesavage's walk and K rate's took a pretty big jump at A+ though it's a SSS, Stephen's stayed relatively stable compared to his A ball stats. Would seem both deserve to move up and get tested Ditto Stanifer, he's even a year younger than both Yesavage and Stephen and still dominating with results, albeit with a pretty high walk rate.
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