It would take quite a collapse for the Jays not to make the playoffs, even a split with the Rays in Tampa would virtually seal one of the wildcard spots. Orioles schedule is about 50/50 in terms on easy/hard. Next 3 against the Tigers, then 4 against Houston, 4 against Boston but then they finish up with 3 against the yankes and 3 vs the Jays.
Chances are their fate will be sealed prior to the Yankees series.