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John_Havok

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  1. Yes, because of those two types of balls. OAA splits up where a guy makes his plays and misses his plays. Glove side he's at 0 outs above or below average. -4 on balls in, -6 on balls to his right, -1 on balls behind him.
  2. Generally speaking, OAA will tell you why he sucks at UZR by telling you which plays they suck at. In Vlads case it's balls he has to charge and balls to his right. -4 and -6 OAA respectively. It's not perfect correlation, but it's a good place to start. The question about OAA, is whether or not the balls he is missing is because of where he is being positioned or just because he misses them.
  3. Because he really sucks at balls being hit to his non glove side this season and on ones he's had to charge in on. Glove side he's about average.
  4. Yeah and you stumbled upon the key of Whitfield though, despite being unimpressive from the EV, barrell rate .. etc etc thing. Defensive usefullness, and one thing you didn't mention, speed/baserunning. A guy like Merrifield can survive with unimpressive batted ball numbers because hes still a useful player around the diamond. Guys like him that profile as 1B/DH .... not so useful except as short-term injury fill ins, or on teams that want to cheap out for a season or two.
  5. Dan, I picked the HR derby tiebreakers almost perfectly… Had Robert jr with the longest at 485, he hit one 484. Had 71 as the total for the winner, total was 72. Too bad my bracket was awful…lol
  6. All Star Game (Pick one from each team) AL Heim (3 points) - Diaz (3 points) - JohnHavok Semien (3 points) - Jung (2 points) - Seager (2 points) - Spanky Garcia (2 points) - Hays (3 points) - Arozarena (2 points) - Ohtani (1 point) - NL Murphy (2 points)- Freeman (2 points) - Spanky Arraez (3 points) - Arenado (2 points) - Arcia (3 points) - Acuna Jr. (2 points) - JohnHavok Carroll (2 point) - Betts (2 points) - Martinez (2 points) -
  7. Sure. All those accolades and on pace for a 1 WAR season. Doesn’t really add up does it…
  8. and then some savings picks it looks like: Shaw looks mildly interesting. He's committed to Xavier University so maybe they can get him to sign. https://www.timescolonist.com/sports/victoria-eagles-star-sam-shaw-projected-for-mlb-draft-in-seattle-7252565 The Major League Baseball draft, today through Tuesday in Seattle, will be of particular interest across Puget Sound and just across the border, with Victoria Eagles star Sam Shaw among the top 300 prospects. Shaw is coming off the MLB combine last month at Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona, which was the last chance to impress scouts as a multi-faceted player who can do it all. “I like being the utility guy and to use all my skills like Mookie Betts,” he told the Times Colonist. “Versatility is the way the game is going.” This guy has that in bunches and can play shortstop and outfield. He is also an offensive threat. Shaw is five-foot-10 and 180 pounds but can swing for the fences. He placed *second to Team Canada teammate Myles Naylor of Mississauga, Ont., in the final of the 2022 Under-18 World Cup home-run derby. Smith also hit .428 at the 2022 Wood Bat Association world championship last fall. “You don’t need a big body to drive the ball because it’s mechanical — it’s how you hit it,” Shaw said. Shaw grew up in Fairfield, but attended Lambrick Park Secondary because of its baseball academy and is committed to Xavier University of NCAA Division 1. Shaw plays for the Eagles of the B.C. Premier Baseball League and was in Orlando, Florida, over the spring playing at the TNXL Academy for two months of development. Jeremy Pike of BVM Sports ranks Shaw as the No. 3 Canadian high-school-age player for 2023, behind top-ranked Naylor and No. 2 Eliot Cadieux-Lanoue, a Canada U-18 pitcher with the Langley Blaze of the BCPBL. Baseball has been described as a cerebral game and Shaw is aware about developing both mind and body in his approach to the sport and is reading several books about meditation this summer. “It’s about self-improvement,” he said. Shaw was an all-rounder, playing rep hockey on the Island alongside Matthew Wood, taken 15th overall in the first round in the 2023 NHL draft by the Nashville Predators, and Owen Beckner, taken in the seventh round by the Ottawa Senators. “I’ve known all those guys since I was five years old,” Shaw said. “It was a difficult decision to leave hockey. But the decision to choose baseball came naturally to me.” The choice of main sport becomes almost instinctive for all-rounders at about 12 or 13. Shaw hopes to have his choice validated over the next three days. https://www.saanichnews.com/sports/generational-talent-victoria-baseball-player-eyes-mlb-draft-spot-656783 When he was six or eight months old, we would take him for walks to Beacon Hill Park, and we’d be holding him and he’d be watching the softball games and he would be so locked in,” he said. “We would try to leave and he’d start crying.” Shaw started playing T-Ball with Beacon Hill Little League at the age of four. Despite his small size, he would always play up a few levels with kids who were older — and significantly bigger — than he was. “He was eight, and he would be pitching against 12-year-olds in little league,” his father recounted. “These guys were close to six feet, and he was about four-foot-nothing, and he would get these guys, which is kind of incredible.” Shaw is a utility player, meaning he doesn’t have one single specialty position and moves around the diamond depending on where his team needs him defensively. Mitch Davidoff, Lambrick’s director of baseball operations and Shaw’s senior head coach with the Victoria Eagles, said he is a “chameleon,” both in his ability to fit into any group and his versatility on the diamond. “We’ve had discussions before where we see where he fits week by week,” Davidoff said. “He says, ‘It doesn’t matter. Just put me where the team needs me.’” “He’s the complete package,” Davidoff said. “You always see guys who have the skills, but they might not have the work ethic, the drive, the heart, the attitude or the professionalism. But it’s hard to pick (Shaw) apart and find anything that you don’t like about him.” When Shaw was in Grade 9, a scout told him if he could run a 60-yard dash in 6.7 seconds, he would get drafted out of high school. At the time, he was more than a full second slower than where he needed to be. For the next few years, Shaw trained tirelessly with the help of Adrian Kinney to shave those important milliseconds off his time. Now, he’s running the dash at 6.6 seconds. “That’s the kind of work ethic he has, turning himself from an average runner into an elite runner,” his father said. Shaw has also committed to play Division 1 baseball at Xavier University in Cincinnati. If the draft doesn’t work out, he will go down to play for the Musketeers in the fall. Even with intense training, playing baseball in a Canadian climate comes with its challenges. Unlike in many parts of the U.S., Canadian weather prevents athletes from playing baseball outside year-round. “I’m not going to be as polished as an American player,” Shaw said. “We don’t get the same number of reps or games because we’re not playing baseball for 12 months a year.” But Shaw said his upbringing is a proud part of his identity, and looks forward to having the entire country behind him as he looks ahead to the upcoming draft. “It’s been different, but I wouldn’t change my experience for the world,” he said. “I feel like it’s part of who I am, coming from Victoria.”
  9. pick #214 ranked 163 by MLB Nick Goodwin Kansas State (KS) USA SS R/R 4YR JR 6' 1" 205lbs DOB:09/06/01 $238.70k slot An immediate starter at Kansas State, Goodwin tied the school's freshman home run record with 10 in 2021. He never has posted big numbers for the Wildcats, though he acquitted himself well with wood bats in the Cape Cod League last summer after struggling there the year before. He could become the program's first position player selected in the top five rounds since Jared King a decade ago. Goodwin has made more consistent contact as a junior, though scouts still consider him more of a power-over-hit guy. He uses his right-handed swing to drive balls in the air to his pull side and could provide 15-20 homers per season in pro ball. He works counts and draw walks, though he could be more selective about which pitches he puts in play. With fringy speed and an arm that rates as average to maybe a tick above, Goodwin is unlikely to stay at shortstop at the next level. He has improved his defensive consistency this spring and can make the routine play, but he profiles better as an offensive second baseman or a utilityman. He made eight errors in 27 games at second on the Cape last summer.
  10. This is tough pick honestly, arguably, the 3 favorites are all on the same side, with 2 facing each other in the 1st round, and likely the remaining 2 facing each other in the 2nd round. Pete Alonso New York Mets <+310> Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Toronto Blue Jays <+370> Luis Robert Jr. Chicago White Sox <+500> Julio Rodriguez Seattle Mariners <+500> and finally got my picks to get in on MLB
  11. I think you'd be hard pressed to find any org that consistently has "waves" of prospects every few years. even the Rays, Dodgers... Houston. They dont really graduate multiple guys every few seasons either. Rays are probably the closest but even they tend to find success with reclamation projects that compliment their prospects and dont bring up multiple guys as core members of their team every other year. Averaging 1 guy every season that can contribute as a regular is pretty much every team's real goal, and very few actually achieve it.
  12. I'd love to spend a week or two down at the lab just to see what it's all about. Like, I know generally what they do, but to just see it in action I think would be amazing.
  13. Those waves were looking pretty good prior to 2023. I think his wording of "waves" lends itself to people interpreting it as seeing multiple guys come up at the same time, then, maybe 2 years later another group of guys, etc. Reality is the first wave that had Vlad, Bo, Jansen, Romano and Biggio (pretty much all 2019) was a really big wave, but the tidal pool has thinned since, only been added to incrementally with 1 guy here (Kirk 2020), another guy or two there (Manoah and Espinal-2021), and basically a cluster of trades of the rest of those prospect waves. Pearson(2023) has finally showed up but not as the difference maker as envisioned, but still could be a valuable piece. NOt sure where to put Mayza in there as he was with the Jays before anyone else in 2017, he just wasn't any good until 2021.
  14. yeah me too. must be busy
  15. Youre neglecting the guys theyve drafted and then traded that also made the majors, IE Noda, Winckowski, Kevin Smith, Riley Adams, Zach Logue, Palacios, Snead etc. 2019 Still has a chance to bring in more than Manoah and 2018 has Kloffenstein and Barger seemingly close to getting a shot.
  16. The Divisions should be switched back to 4 not because it would help the jays, but because it makes sense to stop rewarding garbage teams with playoff spots, expecially now with additional playoff teams.
  17. HOME RUN DERBY Picking winner: 5 Points Runner up: 2 Points Robert Jr. - Rutschman - Garcia - Arozarena - Betts - Vladdy - JaysAllMighty Alonso - JohnHavok Rodriguez -
  18. Seattle took 3 HS with their 3 top 30 picks, then punted the 2nd rounder to save money in order to sign said HS picks. Solid plan.
  19. 7 from the division lead. Tied for the second WC, ahead of the Yankees by 1 game, Boston by 2, Seattle by 4. Angels have corrected nicely losing 9 of their last 10 now sit 5 back of the 3rd WC and are 1game under .500
  20. It’s never the wrong move to draft up the middle guys unless they’re clearly better upside in college waiting to be taken. Admittedly I have not followed the draft lead up and rankings as much this season because of how few picks the Jays have in the top few rounds, but … a plus power hitting SS who can defend with no worries about having to move off the position seems pretty defensible.
  21. Born in Florida. I Think just a year or two after his parents immigrated.
  22. I get the logic here, only have 1 pick in the first two rounds, may as well swing for the fences with a potential stud SS, who’s a young high schooler
  23. Nimmala taken by the Jays. Must have a deal done already for him to get to 20. Probably overslot
  24. I’m just gonna guess Waldrep or …Head for the Jays.
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