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John_Havok

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Everything posted by John_Havok

  1. John_Havok
    Still kicking around yeah though I'm not sure what he does quite qualifies as playing baseball. He's been utter garbage since 2018. The perfect Pirate. Surprised Colorado didn't get him.
  2. John_Havok
    Bassitt is also scheduled to pitch today
  3. John_Havok
  4. John_Havok
    Yeah, and remember the luxury tax isn't calculated until the last day of the season. Even starting the season being projected over, there's always ways to get under it later with trades.
  5. John_Havok

    NHL Thread

    John_Havok replied to GD's topic in Other Sports

    I saw that same one, they left off a decent number of seasons with other players that were better to make Matthews look even greater than he already is. All time though he is currently 5th at .65 goals per game (minimum 200 goals to qualify). Mike Bossy is tops at .76, Mario .75....Gretz and Ovi are tied at 7th with .60
  6. John_Havok
    Yeah, but kinda have to think the AAV will be ~25 million. He just turned down the QO which was 20.3…so anything less than 2/50 would be a bit odd given that you’re sacrificing term to try for a higher short term AAV. I’d take him back at 2/55 with an opt out tomorrow without hesitation. Even if they had to tack on a 3rd year with a second opt out…I’m cool with that
  7. John_Havok
    I mean similar structure, not similar money. Something shorter with opt out(s)
  8. John_Havok
    How did Cooke look? From listening on the radio Shulman and Davidi sounded like he looked great
  9. John_Havok
    3rd. He had two misplays yesterday
  10. John_Havok
    Maybe a 2 year 55ish million kind of thing with an opt out after 1. After the Belli signing it’s a pretty good guess that he is going to sign something similar but probably for less AAV.
  11. John_Havok
    On the contrary, teams value defense far more than nerds do. They just realize they don’t have to pay top dollar for it.
  12. John_Havok
    and is 5 years older and massacred by injuries in 2023. How is that in any way some kind of a defense of Bellinger?
  13. John_Havok
    Which is exactly why he shouldn't expect to be paid like he's the hitter he was pre-injury.
  14. John_Havok
    Its not a "penalty" for extra contact. It's assigning limited value to the extra contact that doesn't get hit hard... meaning it's not all that useful and doesn't translate to a lot of actual runs on the board. If you think he;s worth more than ~20 million per year, that means you think he will at least somewhat revert back to his pre-injury numbers when he literally murdered baseballs. He would also have to be counted on for 630+ PA per season. That's a really big gamble given his lack of hard contact. Improvement in K rate isn't a big deal when all you're doing is slapping singles all over the place instead of hitting dingers. his K rate was better in 2023 than his monster 2019. But there are massive differences in walk rate(its exactly half) and ISO (.218 vs .324) All he did in 2023 was repeat his 2020 season but with a better babip.
  15. John_Havok
    When you don't hit ball hard much you not worth the top money and long term. 4/80 is not top money nor long term and would be a fine market value deal given his ok floor and decent shot at 2.5-3 fWAR.
  16. John_Havok
    no, I'm not. You still don't even know what you're arguing with. I'll be glad to spell it out for you in single syllable words and really short sentences if you like.
  17. John_Havok
    NO doubt. Its not often you see a guy on second score on a sac fly
  18. John_Havok
    He does have crap underlying metrics in the ones that actually correlate well to continued offensive production. Please don't pretend to know more than you do just because you looked at his savant page and saw some red in some categories like contact rate and whiff rate.
  19. John_Havok
    Somethings been bothering me all game long about Shulman's pbp... i finally figured out why. He sounds alot like Matt Vasgersian, and I cant stand Vasgersian
  20. John_Havok
    Very good speed. Decent player with some good skills, but ... strikes out too much with not enough pop
  21. John_Havok
    This isnt very evident based on your comments that you are surprised that I would sign Bellinger to a market value deal despite his crap underlying metrics.
  22. John_Havok
    They haven't been poorly managed overall. They just haven't got over the hump, the hardest part to do.
  23. John_Havok
    Not really. I can see you don't understand the current economics of the game. ~20 million per year is about his market value. I wouldn't want to go past 4 years given his age and the risk of his crap underlying numbers further reducing the bat value. The elite D and baserunning are a decent floor to rely on that even if he turns into KK with the bat, the length and AAV isn't an albatross. the likely 8/200 he is asking for is just stupid.
  24. John_Havok
    YEah that was a poor effort on the Phillies' 1b, should have been a DP
  25. John_Havok
    Meh, defense let him down, couple of dribblers that snuck through, terrible contact went for an IF hit. Could have been out of it with no damage pretty easily. Slider was inconsistent.
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