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John_Havok

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Everything posted by John_Havok

  1. Oh stop pretending like it matters to ya. Newfies have thicker skin than that b'y!
  2. Semantics and details are two very different things
  3. I think the whiff rate is more yellow than red at this point since it’s definitely better than his first few post injury seasons, but worse than his excellent seasons. If we had access to the bat speed data Tango was working on recently, it would be easier to categorize. I noticed though that his in zone swing rate was down, out of zone swing rate was up. I think his swing decisions are largely responsible for part of the whiff issues, swing at more strikes, whiff rate probably goes down.
  4. I don’t think I’d want him at 6/150 either, even though one could comfortably argue that’s what his value would be given his performance. But them one could argue the other way also and expect age related decline both offensively and defensively. Those are valid arguments against. A non-valid argument is saying Chapman is a “no-bat” 3b.
  5. It’s really just a symptom of how fans perceive offensive value vs defensive value. Fans perceive offense to be far more important than defense because it’s easier to see where the value comes from. There is some truth to that too since a guy who puts up a 7fwar season will almost always have more value from offense than defense. It’s just that guys like Chapman, because they’re so prolific on defense and just “above average” with the bat, it’s difficult for fans to understand why he would be worth 150million over 6 years, when defense has always been cheaper to acquire. If you ran polls with fans, you’d probably find they’d rather have stellar offense with below average D over stellar D with above average offense. I can’t really say that’s wrong… but if at the end of the season the overall values end up similar, how can one argue that player B shouldn’t get as much as player A?
  6. This is the first good burn I’ve seen from you in months.
  7. You have an odd definition of "no bat" if Chapman is in that category for you
  8. f***in herpes man….
  9. I doubt there was more than 5 posters here who even knew there was a guy named Lantigua in the system, let alone which level he was at or his stats. I figured they might have added him to the 40 man via before the rule 5 draft but I guess not.
  10. Yeah, i think the "priority" just refers to them figuring out their line in the sand regarding him first, before focusing elsewhere. I'd put the chances of Chappy returning to the Jays at like 5% or lower.
  11. He managed Texas for 8 years and was there for their WS appearances in 2010 and 2011, so ... he'll probably do okay. Second time around he's probably learned a few things. If I remember rightly, he only stepped down from Texas due to wanting/needing to reconcile with his family after cheating on his wife with a reporter and that wasn't going to happen with him as a full time MLB manager.
  12. Not a be-all-end-all… but, when HRs happen, runs are scored 100% of the time. Horwitz is trending to be the 0 calorie lite version of John Olerud lite. Maybe what…12-14 HR at the MLB level projection right now over a full season? He’d have to hit a shitload of doubles to even be 2-3 fWAR given his positional defense and lack of baserunning value. Think Nate Lowe 2023 but with even less power and probably worse defense….as his ceiling. Lowe hit 17 HRs, 38 doubles. Horwitz would need to hit 50+ doubles to even keep that level of offense up.
  13. I would guess Little will be DFA and tried to get through waivers before too much longer. Kind of a typical minors relief arm, probably has nasty stuff with little ability to command it.
  14. I really think Espy is a non-tender.
  15. There’s lots of reasons why Ohtani to Toronto makes sense from a baseball and business POV. He won’t be pitching next season, Jays wouldn’t need him to pitch until 2024 anyways. He would be the DH. jays need one. He’s a left handed hitter too. Toronto, while not a major market in the same tier as LA or New York, is still a major international market. He would get all the benefits of that kind of market without the same level of personal media circus. Toronto could easily offer the best kind of contract to him, if they include shares of the Rogers Corp. Rogers would instantly have a marketing wet dream for their entire business that would make Vlads marketing appeal look like peanuts. There’s just no reason for the Jays not to be in the fight for Ohtani right up until the end.
  16. Bluejaysnation put the following article out a while back, unsure if it's 100% accurate but its probably really close. https://bluejaysnation.com/news/blue-jays-nation-roundtable-how-do-we-feel-with-one-week-left-in-the-season Macko is a big one for sure, Lantigua an interesting possibility
  17. Ginkel coming in clutch. Getting Texas to watch the killable fastballs because theyre all looking slider.
  18. Pretty much the unintentional intentional walk and tried to get lucky with Seager getting himself out. DIdnt work, Seager only chased 2 of the 6 balls.
  19. GOtta put Seager on here to get the force play at home
  20. Ump has been fairly consistently bad at the bottom of the strike zone tonight
  21. How comfortable do you think Bochy is going to Chapman here with a 1 run lead to the top of the order... scale of 1-10. I know he'd say 10, but.... maybe a 4?
  22. Season starting a couple days earlier though, so that's nice.
  23. Cant really put anything on Gallen, dude did his job
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