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Laika

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Everything posted by Laika

  1. I don't understand what you're trying to prove. Grant, in the other thread you seemed to be saying that teams don't like to trade for or give big contracts to pitchers that aren't "American League Tested", as if front offices make some sort of categorical decision about pitcher acquisition based on which leagues they've pitched in. Now you are just showing that the run environment is different between the two leagues. These are completely different things and nobody with six brain cells would argue with the latter.
  2. ~1200 visits today and counting, lmao
  3. Oh of course. But even by RA9-WAR, in 2013 and 2014 Dickey was little more than average.
  4. Well you add like 0.40 going from the NL to the AL in general. Leake is projected in AT&T so him coming from there to the RC would add even more. It doesn't change his WAR projection though. You'd still expect him to be a league average SP. Leake would be very similar to what Dickey has been the last few years for Toronto, who I think everyone would agree was a contributor. There's a right price for Leake, the market will probably double it though.
  5. Preller still has a job?
  6. Did you guys notice this?
  7. Latos is a dirtbag that has burned bridges everywhere he's pitched. http://www.foxsports.com/mlb/just-a-bit-outside/story/mat-latos-miami-marlins-new-pitcher-interview-cincinnati-reds-022215
  8. Probably more like Gregerson's 3/$18.
  9. Man, I thought Latos had a nightmare season given how he was handled by the Dodgers, but he was actually decent in every DIPS metric and his velocity bounced back a bit from 2014. He's hideous and ugly but... would be a good buy-low. I guess.
  10. Glancing at the trade market for Ben Revere
  11. Glancing at the trade market for Ben Revere
  12. Pretty good comp to the recently traded Mike Foltynewicz (him + Rio Ruiz fetched Evan Gattis). Gattis sucked in 2015 but at the time of the trade he was a league average (ish) bat with a few years of control left. Sanchez could probably fetch something of similar value.
  13. There will probably be 20+ teams interested in Zobrist. I think he'll sign a very lucrative contract for someone entering their age 35 season. 4 year deal should be easy to obtain. His camp will probably be looking at the V-Mart extension, which was 4/$68 for Martinez' age 36-39 seasons. Also recently, we saw Nelson Cruz get 4/$57 entering his age 34 season. Ben Zobrist is a completely different player than those two. Arguably, he would be expected to age better and have a better chance of maintaining his value as he gets ancient. Could get five years!
  14. From August on MLBTR. Just kind of interesting now, in light of how the games unfolded.
  15. Both would be close enough in value to Justin Upton, I think. Max Fried, Jace Peterson, Dustin Peterson, Mallex Smith. Seems like a bad trade for Atlanta, in hindsight. They should have been able to get a better piece than anything in that deal. Bad for SD as well.
  16. This is like when someone semi-retires and works retail at 65 just for something to do
  17. https://twitter.com/nickcafardo/status/658003538501607424 this is the most random thing ever
  18. Daric Barton had to retire. Did the splits in AAA this year stretching for a ball and tore all of his ham strings. Legend is he's still stuck like that.
  19. this is why I'm a top poster. lots of good ideas up here
  20. Just get a lefty who can mash RHP to platoon with Cola. That's how they tried to use Smoak anyway. How about John Jaso... Other FA options: Matt Joyce Garret Jones I think the Rockies have a big option on Morneau they could decline. Maple boners? Colabello should be back put in a part time role.
  21. Germaine: http://www.breakingblue.ca/2015/10/23/the-2016-blue-jays-according-to-steamer/
  22. Amaro? Much worse than Ross. Ross projects for like, 4 WAR (before adding appropriate injury risk). I'd think something more like league average SP with a year of control. Maybe a swing man type with some control.
  23. Steamer is out, so we can kind of see what's needed, according to the computer: http://www.breakingblue.ca/2015/10/23/the-2016-blue-jays-according-to-steamer/
  24. So PECOTA on BP has the Jays' odds tonight at 58%. Steamer thinks Stroman is slightly better than Cueto (3.3 fWAR in 192 innings for Stroman vs. 2.9 fWAR in 210 innings for Cueto). + Cueto hasn't looked like himself very much lately, including his terrible start earlier this series. Call it 58% chance to win for both games. So, ~34% chance of making the world series? 29% if you think Stroman-Cueto is a coin flip game. Fangraphs has Toronto's ALCS odds at 25.5%, which you'd get from two coinflip games. I'm not really sure how they would get that number. Toronto would be projected for better position player performance, all things considered, and better SP performance in both games... hmmm
  25. He'd probably sign for almost any 1 year guaranteed MLB deal, lol.
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