Colabello and Smoak are both pretty bad 1B/DH options. They can't carry both of them again. Team needs a bit more positional versatility from at least one of those roster spots (and maybe both). Colabello projects a bit better and obviously was better last year, plus he's league min, so I guess he sticks around.
It's kind of remarkable that Smoak might not even be a league average hitter.
I'd probably tender Saunders. He's still worth a $3M gamble I think.
They don't need anything else. 1-7 is very solid, and traditional.
Price
Buchholz
Porcello
Rodriguez
Miley
Kelly/Owens/Johnson
They also have a robust offense, a couple of elite relievers, and minor league depth.
Nothing really left for them to do except try to unload the bad Hanley/Panda contracts if they can.
If he starts at 5 WAR in 2016 and then declines normally while a $/WAR of $8M inflates normally, he'll be worth:
40
38.52
36.98
34.95
32.35
29.11
25.15
= $237M
Of course you wouldn't really expect him to total that much WAR. The added risk with pitchers in particular is the heightened chance that they will blow out their arm and miss a huge chunk of time, or just decline precipitously like Sabathia did. The extent to which you want to bake that into the projections is discretionary. I don't know the proper percentage for "pitcher risk adjustment".
Buzz from Twitter is that buzz from Korea is that the Twins were lowballing him pretty bad but he just signed anyway because he wants to play in the MLB
Projections aren't really designed to predict playing time. Later on in the offseason Fangraphs will have team depth charts properly updated and at that point you can kind of sort of see projected playing time on those pages, but right now you can ignore what Steamer thinks for PA and IP. The current Fangraphs depth charts aren't really curated - more of an artifact from 2015.
If you use Steamer600 right now it scales everyone to 600 PA / 200 IP / 65 IP (for relievers). It's much more useful for comparisons.
Travis' recovery time window bleeds into spring training so it's possible that he won't quite be ready to break camp with the team.
They probably do need someone else on the roster than can man an IF position since Travis and Tulo are both big injury risks and Goins can't hit.
Kelly Johnson is increasingly attractive to me.
- 2B depth
- LF depth (makes a Revere deal easier)
- Has even played some 1B and 3B recently, so has a lot of positional utility
- Lefty with some pop
- Skills don't seem to have eroded
- actually has some upside; could catch a power upswing
- cheap as f***
I think he would make the roster much more robust.
"Mariners “Trying Hard” To Deal Mark Trumbo; Have Talked With Rockies"
BTS' plan for all these years finally comes to light. It was all a long-bet on Coors Trumbo. Genius.
Ted Williams took PEDs consistently:
"Yeah, we all did it back then. I used to take steroids, greenies, uppers, downers, brownies. It was just part of being a professional."
- Ted Williams in his autobiography