Laika

Same ppl were scared of Baltimore

Magic number for the division will be 10 at the end of the night. But 9 if you factor in the tie breaker. Jays could suck and go 5-8 and the Yankees would need to go 10-3 to flip the division. Sorta comfy?

Wow that part is unexpected Audition for the playoffs rotation?

AL West is quickly becoming irrelevant. So, the Tigers don't really matter unless you care about the AL pennant. And Boston fumbled this crucial Yankees series so it seems like the Yankees are the only other team to care about now

Wow!!

Maybe if defense didn't exist

https://www.playoffstatus.com/mlb/americanwinmagicnumbers.html

Yessss Schneider in there Maybe his dad is seeing the light

Sugano should be good hittin The again, Jason Alexander should have been good hittin

Yeah I guess we cheer for the Red Sox today and tomorrow Feels gross

100% Exemplary

Even if he gets Jackson, I would have Little start the 9th for Henderson

Have to go to Little here with Holliday and Henderson

Varland is probably better if he uses all his pitches?

ah cool I bet he hits a grand slam

This means they don't really like IKF as a shortstop (makes sense) Clement is a stud 3B so this might actually be the best infield defensive alignment they can put out there.

I wonder if the idea is to basically hide him from the league until the playoffs

Dunno about low leverage, but leverage middle relief / bridge stuff. Like, imagine Scherzer is struggling through 3 playoff innings. Do you want to bring in Bassitt or Berrios or Lauer? Or do you want to bring in Trey f***ing Yesavage for three innings? Even if the game is very close. I know my answer...

If they were to bring up Yesavage they probably use him as a 2-3 inning guy.

And why the Yankees have stuck with Volpe all year (defensive projections don't care about a few balls thrown away in 2025), etc. All these teams, well the good ones, run on projected performance. Of course there are opportunities to realize your projection model is wrong and win extra games by making quicker decisions. And yeah the timing of Yimi being hurt and Little/Varland sucking has been part of Hoffman just remaining the closer. Maybe.

Trevor Rogers has one bad start this year and it was his second game. Every other outing he has gone 5.1 + IP with more strikeouts than walks. 12 of his 15 starts have been 6+ innings. Possibly the *best pitcher in baseball* if you shrink the IP cutoff to let him be on the list. Third in FIP behind Skenes and Skubal. First in ERA. Would be nice to be the first team to get to him. 93 Stuff+ with plus Locations, it should be doable.

Hoffman 260 Batters Faced in 2025 Santander 209 PA HR rate for pitchers takes like 1320 BF to be 50% stable Just funny to compare stat reliability between a full season RP getting slammed (and now everyone thinks he sucks) and a position player who got hurt after 200 PA. The only pitching stats stable in 260 BF or less would be things like K rate, BB rate, GB and FB rates. And of course more granular stuff like velo and stuff metrics which stabilize quickly. You (we) should be regressing Hoffman's HR/FB rate like 80% to the mean (whatever that is). All slash line stats are not nearly stable. LD rate and HR/FB not close to stable. However, for hitters 209 PA is enough for 50%+ stability on all of: K rate, BB rate, HR rate, ISO, GB and FB This means nothing because Santander was hurt so you can just throw out most of his 2025 sample, but if that caveat didn't exist you could say that Santander's 2025 numbers actually mean more than Hoffman's. As far as determining how good the player is. That is to say, if you think Jeff Hoffman sucks than to be consistent you should not even want Santander to come back.

Insane stat line in 2025. Complete game, 2 hits, 1 walk, 0 runs, 9 strikeouts, 100 pitches I think that's a 91 game score which would be 4th best in 2025 Skubal, Wheeler, and Sonny Gray all have complete games 1 or 2 hits and and 11+ Ks

I was wondering if Ernie was the king of the "soft fly ball" So here is everybody in 2025 with 200+ PA and a FB% over 40% with a Hard Hit% under 25%. This is BIS hard hit rate, not statcast. Player FB% Hard Hit% Jose Herrera 43.80% 18.80% Tyler Fitzgerald 43.80% 20.80% Evan Carter 40.80% 20.90% Mauricio Dubón 40.30% 21.00% Michael Massey 51.30% 21.20% Angel Martínez 42.70% 22.20% Nolan Arenado 44.80% 23.50% Cole Young 43.90% 23.60% Wilmer Flores 44.90% 23.70% Ernie Clement 41.80% 23.80% Jake Fraley 41.50% 24.60%

prove this please lol vs. Power/Finesse Pitchers I Split G GS PA AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI SB CS BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS TB GDP HBP SH SF IBB ROE BAbip tOPS+ vs. Power 464 808 723 180 25 2 10 66 60 161 .249 .320 .331 .651 239 24 18 3 4 2 10 .306 98 vs. avg.P/F 550 1203 1112 307 43 8 17 110 65 190 .276 .321 .375 .696 417 29 12 7 7 1 10 .318 111 vs. Finesse 534 1343 1258 325 62 6 8 109 55 176 .258 .297 .336 .633 423 33 16 9 5 2 12 .294 92