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Laika

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Everything posted by Laika

  1. that would be Draconian. I would guess something closer to 80 games, maximum. Really depends what they know.
  2. You would assume they do, to some extent. Time served... but right now he's on paid leave so it's not exactly time served. There will be some arbitrary consideration of the time he has missed already I think. Very arbitrary.
  3. In the context of Toronto's really good infield defense, maybe.
  4. Zeke getting an uncomfortable amount of playing time right now don't really like RHB Smoak hitting over Tulo
  5. http://i.imgur.com/3OSv46O.png (GB v BABIP) - yes extreme flyball pitchers have low babips, as expected - yes it appears that extreme GB pitchers escape the trendline, like bubbles off the top of a carbonated beverage - no it does not appear that extreme GB pitchers (upper 50's and 60+ % range) have lower than average babips. Rather, their expected babip looks to be about league average. Yes, this is lower than the expected babip of a non-extreme GB pitcher. Honestly the GB% plot just kind of looks like a big blob, except for the FB dudes in the bottom left. The FB plot looks much more linear, unlike you: http://i.imgur.com/Jsrg0bt.png
  6. Oh, you've got this backwards. GB% actually has a positive correlation with BABIP (as in, higher GB% = higher BABIP). It's the flyball pitchers like Estrada that you'd expect to have a lower than average BABIP. Groundballs go for hits more often than flyballs. Of course, the vast majority of groundball hits are singles, so in general groundballs have a lower run value than flyballs and groundballs tend to be good.
  7. he's a catching prospect so he'll probably suck for several years and get hurt a lot
  8. Laika

    NBA Thread

    Clearly it's physical. He's not the type of person/player to just choke, mentally.
  9. Dean Blundell linked this thread on twitter to trash Stoeten, apparently. Let it be known that everyone here thinks Blundell is a garbage clown.
  10. Didn't someone trade a first round pick inexplicably for Jhoulys Chacin in this league like a week ago?
  11. A flat 60 implies that he can sit 93 with the FB, which doesn't appear to be the case based on recent reports.
  12. Swap command skills for GB skills and maybe. But House didn't really have transition issues - he transitioned to the league just fine. Then he had major injury issues. Maybe Matt Shoemaker is a cautionary tale, but to be clear I'm not really saying that there's is anything wrong with Musgrove I'm just trying to put a finger on why he doesn't get much hype, aside from BA going out on a limb and placing him #6 in that system. I'm sure the success rate of mediocre stuff, plus results guys like Musgrove and Blackburn (etc.) compares favourably to the success rates of mediocre results, plus stuff guys like Robert Stephenson and Aaron Sanchez and Archie Bradley (etc.)
  13. basically everywhere. might be a 60 FB if you factor command into the pitch grade but I'm reading 91-93 t94
  14. There's no denying the extreme command skills, but a 55/50/50 arsenal and injury history have people in wait and see mode, I guess. Similar profiles have failed to transition numerous times (Straily Dan comes to mind for me).
  15. Is that Corey Seager? I don't think he's doing anything weird. His peripherals are fine and mild struggles are expected from 22 year olds.
  16. You still have to expect a gutter slump from him. There are still so many guys in the league that the jury should still be out on. For Real / New Identity vs. Mirage / Slump (description is the relevant point to comment on) Greg Polanco - 141 wRC+ w/ .200 ISO Aledmys Diaz - above average MLBer Odubel Herrera - elite BB rate Michael Conforto - elite bat Travis Shaw - 151 wRC+, very good 3B Francisco Lindor - 133 wRC+ CCC - RHB Chris Davis Brett Lawrie - hitting like people thought he would 4 years ago Welington Castillo - best fantasy power C Mark Trumbo - more than a .250/.300 hitter? Nick Castellanos - see Mark Trumbo Michael Saunders - how much is luck... Trevor Story - for real a viable high HR / K% guy? Yasmany Tomas - did he figure it out? ___________________________________ Prince Fielder - is it over? Joey Votto - declined? EE - declined? Abreu - worse than we thought? Ryan Zimmerman - bad? Rendon - not as good as we thought? Tulo - is he this bad? Yan Gomes - flash in the 2014 pan? Justin Turner - no power; irrelevant for fantasy now? Kyle Seager - just BABIP, right? Alex Gordon - does the K% scare you yet? Lorenzo Cain - flash in the pan offensively? Jason Heyward - still adjusting? Mookie - not as elite as we thought? And that's just hitters. Actually, canvassing opinions would be interesting.
  17. Laika

    NBA Thread

    Really all you need is high school calc. Solve the parabola and see if the ball is where it's supposed to be! must have been one dimple too far along the x axis
  18. Laika

    NBA Thread

    I still don't understand how they saw the ball clip the rim on that replay
  19. Laika

    NBA Thread

    re: Lowry, on some level it doesn't really matter. They're not going to beat Miami with an ailing Lowry and they also aren't going to beat Miami by swapping Joseph for him... so I guess might as well keep rolling him out there, hoping it clicks.
  20. Laika

    NBA Thread

    Well how about we see what happens if both teams don't play like dogshit this was a terrible basketball game tonight
  21. Laika

    NBA Thread

    Terrence Ross sums up the whole game (season?) in 2 seconds there.
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