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Laika

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Everything posted by Laika

  1. I dunno. One in five? What are the odds that 31 year old KP won't be worth paying 8-9M for? One in fifteen?
  2. I think Pillar still has untapped offensive upside too. Certainly in terms of stolen bases. He also has good contact skills and could hit for a higher AVG with a slightly better approach. Think 2014 and 2016 Lorenzo Cain.
  3. I don't think you guys are understanding the parameters of a Pillar extension. The team would just guarantee him some amount of $$ for his arbitration years in exchange for a team option or two on free agent years. It would be very low risk. It would be a contract with decent upside for the team. It would increase flexibility, bring about cost certainty. Kevin Kiermaier just got 3M in arb 1. Pillar is already under control through 2020. A Pillar extension would probably only be something like 16-18M guaranteed: 2017: 0.5M 2018: 3M 2019: 5-6M 2020: 8-9M 2021: 10-12M team option (or whatever) Maybe the team could even go lower than that since Pillar has earned like, 1M total in his entire baseball career to date.
  4. Good thought with that self-deprecating first sentence. Poorly executed though - should have hired a writer.
  5. I'm thinking Jose might have been attracted to the optics of a deal that "technically" can be worth more. I dunno.
  6. Hoffman did have a pretty insane reliever peak: 1996-2000: http://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=rel&lg=all&qual=y&type=8&season=2000&month=0&season1=1996&ind=0&team=0&rost=0&age=0&filter=&players=0&sort=19,d I guess his case is that he surrounded an elite five year peak with longevity. But on the career scale, he's still not even comparable to Mo. He's closer to frigging Papelbon and K-Rod than he is to Rivera. At the end of the day the difference between Trevor Hoffman and guys like Jonathan Papelbon, Joe Nathan, or K-Rod is that Hoffman was able to tack about five (5) extra 1 WAR seasons onto his career. That's a pretty awful HOF case. Of course, the voters also care about 600 Saves and we absolutely do not because we are smart and they are dumb. But it is what it is (dumb).
  7. But, anything that makes it more likely for Jose to pick up the mutual makes it less likely that the team would pick it up. So I don't think it makes the mutual option more likely to be exercised. Have we heard the final structure? I wonder if it's possible that the 2019 vests based on 2017 conditions, and involves the 2018 turning into a vested option in the process. IIRC Aaron Hill had a contract that contained some weird type of multi-year vesting options.
  8. Not to mention, even if a team has designs on making a run and pushing some chips in, the offseason is a f***ing terrible time to do that. The trade deadline is when that type of gamble should happen. Much less risk if your team is already sitting in first place after 60% of the season.
  9. Damn, that would be f***ing awesome to see JD get in.
  10. Fitting that Broxton is in Milwaukee because I think his MAX upside is basically 2016 Jonathan Villar, at CF of course instead of SS/2B/3B. Maybe trade 20 steals for a few more XBH. More likely, he'll hit the ball hard, run, but K at a 33% clip and be Melvin Upton Jr. A viable MLB average CF but a frustrating fantasy player.
  11. It wouldn't surprise me if there is actually less stress on his arm/shoulder than there is on the pitching mound. The pitchers doing this training are generating force with momentum, other parts of their body, and they are running/rolling through the motion and not stopping abruptly. I dunno.
  12. It's demonstrably false unless the payroll rolls well over $165M
  13. Weighted ball and max velocity training is pretty popular now. It's also apparently well studied and safe. The driveline guys champion it
  14. They think they're seeing something that they aren't. They'll generally look at things like swing path, hitches, etc. and fallaciously infer that a guy has a slow bat. Of course there are players that really do just have bad reflexes, and slower twitch swings. Maybe sometimes this is noticeable. I really doubt it though. Guaranteed, control for absolutely everything else in a blind experiment and some scouts would say David Ortiz has a slow swing.
  15. This is... a good idea! Let's write a letter the Atkins.
  16. If they were hot for McCutchen but that door has closed, maybe they'll warm up to Puig as option B.
  17. This is true. Still, I find it hard to believe that someone with a disqualifying lack of bat speed could put together Tellez' 2016 combination of contact, power, and age vs. level goodness. Wow numbers! The kid had the fourth highest qualified ISO in all of AA! And as the 6th youngest player. He basically went stat-for-stat with Cody Bellinger, who everyone creams their pants over.
  18. oh wow. 1-1. calling Tellez not a real prospect is a joke. ignorant stance
  19. This is a pretty long time without an official conclusion. I think it's falling apart!
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