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Laika

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Everything posted by Laika

  1. I doubt Vlad is or will be easily shifted on. I mean he’s a right handed hitter who doesn’t seem to have pull tendencies
  2. It doesn't sound like he won't catch at all, from the quote. I would imagine he'll catch a bit but also DH, get some reps at 1B, maybe even 3B. I honestly think it's a good idea. We see catchers increasingly getting Tommy John. We've seen lots of catchers have careers derailed or cut short by concussion issues, chronic leg issues, inexplicable drop-offs in production that may be caused by total wear and tear. Some time off of the position might benefit him long term.
  3. Nick Neal is truly a monster. 6'6" 290. Apparently he is one of the youngest in the class and reclassified from 2020 very recently. There's a chance that some other teams just weren't really on him and Toronto is onto something. Look at this big boy
  4. By wOBA - xwOBA differential, Toronto has 3 of the 15 unluckiest hitters in baseball: Jansen #3 Smoak #5 Vladdy #15 (.371 xwOBA)
  5. Yeah we'll start the draft at the signing deadline. Cutdown will be July 11th at midnight or something like that.
  6. CJ Cron, who is apparently legit, is available
  7. Boxy is dum Sounds like they just don't care about him catching much this season. Probably a good idea - why tax his body if the defense is fully developed.
  8. Nothing wrong with getting on base in a still winnable game.
  9. People were actually worried that he was an egregiously bad framer. There was some minor league framing data floating around that basically said he sucked.
  10. You always have to give a catcher a full mulligan on season #1, but it's fair to worry right now.
  11. Well you're right. There needs to be a centrepiece and Patino would be a good one.
  12. Way too much. Leave Patino or Allen out of it and Padres fans might still tell you it's way too much.
  13. The author of that old stuff does opine that the only reason walk rate is significant at certain levels is likely because it is correlated with ISO. I agree with most of what you're saying. I'm not sure that walk rate in the high minors is "highly" predictive of reaching the majors / major league success - IIRC other indicators are more important than walk rate in the upper minors. Generally, the fact that walk rate becomes more predictive the closer we get to MLB implies that it should not be wholly irrelevant in, say, A+, A, and A-, and/or that walk rate probably is relevant for a certain subclass of prospects down there.
  14. You can read the old posts/studies if you want. https://tht.fangraphs.com/katoh-forecasting-a-hitters-major-league-performance-with-minor-league-stats/
  15. Spencer Torkelson for the name, please and thanks The Blue Jays are doing pretty well in the Tankathon. Sitting 3rd and only 4 games back of the #1 pick.
  16. It's not an adage. People have shown recently that walk rates in the low-minors are not predictive of major league success. To Olerud's point - we know walk rates start to have predictive value in the upper minors and it would likely be easy to show that low-minors walk rates are predictive of both upper-minors walk rates and MLB walk rates (for the players that make it!), so if a prospect has other low-minors predictors of MLB success like contact rate and exceptional age vs. level, it's probably fair to apply some value to a high walk rate. But that ^ type of logic does not make the scientist in me comfortable.
  17. I believe this would have been in the context of - mid/long-term projections of position player talent. Not the context of 2019 position player talent. Still arguably an awful quote, but if, pre-2019, you're thinking of: Jansen C - stud Guerrero 3B/1B - stud Bo SS - stud Gurriel 2B/LF - chance to stick Biggio 2B/3B/LF - chance to stick Grichuk RF - known good commodity Alford OF/BN - skills to maybe stick Assume at least one of McKinney, Teo, Tellez, Drury = a long-term piece 2020-2021 impact: Smith, Groshans? Then it doesn't seem that awful.
  18. Literally the poison, please.
  19. Laika

    NBA Thread

    It was a quiet 47 points, as far as 47 can be quiet. He was just their only option for large parts of the game so he had the ball, took the shots. It didn't really seem like he was dominating or anything...
  20. baseball ref now shows college stats - and summer league stats like cape cod! RIP baseball cube
  21. Laika

    NBA Thread

    Kawhi seems to be making a lot of poor decisions tonight
  22. Teoscar Hernandez generally does not seem like something that's going to work work very well
  23. Laika

    NBA Thread

    Won the quarter by a point but played like s*** for a lot of it if we are being honest
  24. Laika

    NBA Thread

    welp wtf just happened on offense
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