Laika

Jonathan Singleton without the weed

that's weird. i guess we'll just do the 8 team playoffs since that's a slightly quicker fix than manually entering matchups for the final regular season week

The "savage takedown" words were sarcasm. It doesn't matter much either way. "The play you are so up in arms is probably taking things to the 5th decimal point." that's just... how many decimal points were produced by the basic multiplication. truncate it at round percentages and it doesn't change the point. not sure why people are getting offended at the number of digits. 89438594375894375894375893758943758937458975439 spooky!! I'm comfortable assuming Jansen is not an above average bunter. There are lots of little considerations that it was impossible to work into the simple mathematical example. Most of those other hypothetical scenarios would have little influence next to the broad, prevailing scenarios used in the comparison because they are just very rare. Jansen's chance of bunting for a hit or forced error would be incredibly small. He's slow as s***. You could include something like that with the other bullet points of possible outside considerations but I don't think it changed the point.

he does look like a skinny scumbag steve

weeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee

The Charlie Buntoyo experience continues. Here is my savage take down of the decision to have Jansen bunt last night: https://www.radioscouts.com/danny-jansen-should-not-have-bunted/

I don't feel like Bass. When is the Trout auction?

Yeah, I think we might see a lot of one year pillow contracts.

I don't even know how to fathom a guess at this in a post-Covid offseason. Teams will use "losses" from 2020 to negotiate against free agents. In Stroman's case his opting out won't help him.

Yeah the angle was not great but I could probably live with it for ~25 games (or whatever they have there). It did not help that the ump last night had a very tight strike zone. Screwed over both pitchers multiple times.

Rowdy Tellez is a weird hill to die on. I hope he turns into a useful player too but the objective evaluation would be that he is probably a replacement level baseball player.

Better, obviously, but power for strikeouts is a logical tradeoff so it's not like you can just accept the low K rate is a positive development and expect the power to return in a nutshell.

Yes, but they need to obviously be an above average bunter. I expanded on the math above.

Tellez' average exit velocity is in the 18th percentile this year. His xwOBA is .298 (31st percentile). Not good signs.

This is true, but you also need to factor in the chance that the bunt does not succeed. I assume that chance would drag the 66% down to the 61% range, if not worse. There is a non-zero chance that Jansen pops it up, right. So it's not just 61% vs 66%. There is say a ~5% chance (pop up, etc.) that the 61% chance to score a run becomes a 40% chance (runner on 2nd, one out). I'm sure the complete math has been done somewhere online. If Jansen has only a 5% chance to fail their "one run expectancy" is 64.685% 10% chance to fail it is 63.37% 20% chance to fail it is 60.74% I think. And, per this: https://blogs.fangraphs.com/the-truth-about-bunting/ MLB hitters only succeed at getting a committed bunt down fair 50% of the time. That means given two chances a typical player would get it down in play 75% of the time and fail 25% of the time. That's not good enough to bunt by the numbers!!! Also, fair does not necessarily mean it's even good enough. Fair could mean a missile straight at the pitcher that doesn't allow the runner to advance. Also, Danny Jansen is not even a practiced bunter. I think we have the answer. Don't bunt in that situation unless the hitter is a good bunter.

Quintessential Vlad Jr tonight. Three groundouts, two of them sharply hit, one of them f***ing 113 mph. If he hits that on a line it leaves the park. Throw in a lazy flyball on a meatball pitch and you’ve got yourself some rice and beans, baby. Prescription: send him to Buffalo for some mental rehab.

This is a good question. If they are using Panik, might as well let someone who matters DH and rest their legs. But nope!

Rowdy Tellez has a .311 projected wOBA. I hope people appreciate how bad it is for a player with his lack of defensive value to project as a below average hitter. It's not Charlie Montoyo's fault that his big DH hits like a catcher.

Rowdy is being punished for that horrible steal attempt in Boston. I'm fine with this.

I hear that Joe Panik's trackman readouts are nuts.

Disagree. We need to stay on top of this Vlad thing which is a very dynamic situation.

He's smug in a very different but arguably more annoying (over time) way. At least Stroman is a legitimate quality SP.

For the large adult son

Yeah, it was surprising. Kind of a statement game after getting blown out by Boston. Lowry+FVV+Ibaka is probably equivalent to Giannis by impact. In theory Middleton is better than Siakam, right? Chris Boucher is a secret weapon though. He can win you the game or be the worst player on the floor. He cannot be turned into a statistic. Unpredictable force.

I believe he is just in Rochester with the rest of the 60 man