I think this analysis is correct. The Angels should be better than Texas but LA has already dug such a huge hole.
Toronto actually has a very soft schedule coming up after 6 against Philly and Tampa. With Boston being horrendous the AL East is not a gauntlet at all:
(win prob%)
Aug 25, 2020 vs BOS 56.8%
Aug 26, 2020 vs BOS 53.0%
Aug 27, 2020 vs BOS 57.2%
Aug 28, 2020 vs BAL 65.3%
Aug 29, 2020 vs BAL 64.6%
Aug 30, 2020 vs BAL 60.7%
Aug 31, 2020 vs BAL 65.5%
Sep 1, 2020 at MIA
Sep 2, 2020 at MIA
Sep 3, 2020 at BOS
Sep 4, 2020 at BOS
Sep 5, 2020 at BOS
Sep 6, 2020 at BOS
Then they have 17 tougher games (NYY x10, NYM x3, PHI x4) before finishing the season against Baltimore.
Probably need to really do some work in the soft part because it's hard to imagine not losing a few games during the tough stretch.