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Laika

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Everything posted by Laika

  1. Laika
    So what you're saying is you're a little wiener and you are scared of the big bad Dodgers?
  2. Laika
    Who at the time was saying that Kendall Williams was nothing?
  3. Laika
    Well MAX it would be like, 6 wins. Lindor has a 7+ WAR season under his belt and Gurriel has never touched 2 WAR.
  4. Laika
    The one that got away... doesn't sound as exciting as Kloff. This is from Prospects Live.
  5. Laika
    Arenado signed an 8 year extension one year from free agency that added 7/$234 for him after his final arb year. That's probably the low-end for Lindor and the two players are pretty similar... excellent two-way players, same career wRC+. Being said, Machado and Lindor are also similar players and Machado got his $300M. We know that Lindor is looking for $300M. I guess Arenado's opt-out complicates the comparison though.
  6. Laika
    Why would you be "wary" of that? He's an elite two-way player and possible future hall of famer. He's 27. The 3rd best position player in the league since 2015 when he broke in. If he's willing to go long with Toronto they should get it on paper that minute, before he changes his mind. These aren't the type of players who even give Toronto a second thought most of the time. It's not your money and Toronto has the payroll space.
  7. Laika

    NBA Thread

    Laika replied to admin's topic in Other Sports

    The original reporter's tweet says "six other family/relations" so I guess it's possible that some of these "relations" are not actually family and are maybe friends or people in his community. I'm not sure why the reporter would write family/relations if it was just six other family members.
  8. Laika
    Even if he's not a true talent +10 defender, 2019 still happened. You're not quite understanding what it means for a stat to take a while to stabilize. His career stats already "average out" his defensive prowess across three seasons, and he's been a 2.6 fWAR player in 181 games while probably getting very unlucky offensively. It doesn't make any sense to just steal wins from him retroactively. It's like you're saying "if this player was worse I would be right". And if anything the current state of defensive metrics drastically underrate decent catchers.
  9. Laika
    Why would anyone concede that?
  10. Laika
    Bad comps happening ITT. McKinney and Drury were at best post-hype sleepers at the time of the Happ trade... Jansen is a solid C with clear and demonstrable upside. The comparison might be fair if Jansen had been a replacement level catcher the last two years and was now projected as a non starter in Toronto
  11. Laika
    Well... Toronto hasn't done those things. Even if they do, they can do better than Lynn if they are shipping out Jansen.
  12. Laika
    And Lynn was not nearly that good in 2020, or 2018, or any other time in his career. Toronto just isn't in the position to be trading very valuable futures for one year of an older pitcher. Lynn is solid and he's on a nice 2020 contract but Jansen is worth twice as much as him in trade and Toronto will be targeting players who can grow with the team or help them over the next few years
  13. Laika
    Jansen is worth more than Lynn. Probably significantly more
  14. Laika
    I know two of these players Is John Carlson all of a sudden better than Erik Karlsson? Weird
  15. Laika
    Cavan Biggio trying hard to recruit George Springer over Zoom, lol
  16. Laika
    Pretty interesting Sun article, shockingly: https://torontosun.com/sports/baseball/toronto-blue-jays/bold-and-aggressive-blue-jays-ready-to-pounce-on-high-end-off-season-moves
  17. Laika
    No, the former is just a thing that happens and the latter is a large, rare investment. Well-rounded catchers are kind of boring. Russell Martin was kind of a boring Blue Jay.
  18. Laika
    Toronto has good depth at C so Springer, for sure. There's also a "been there, done that" element with Realmuto, with Martin being the biggest signing in team history. That shouldn't matter but for my lizard brain it kind of does, for some dumb reason.
  19. Laika
    TJ Zeuch has a 3.52 MiLB ERA and threw a no-hitter in AAA last year. He has never failed in a traditional sense: NCAA - 3.33 ERA MiLB - 3.52 ERA MLB - 3.71 ERA Even if we assume TJ Zeuch is physically capable of becoming a completely different and better pitcher through modern training (not obvious to me) how do you get a player like that, who has never failed, to buy into it? Do you tell him his K/BB is fugly and Fangraphs thinks he's bad? If you use a heavy-handed approach and make him change his pitching gender, what type of impression does that give to prospects thinking of signing with Toronto? Who wants to sign for an organization that will make you go through a wood-chipper at their whim?
  20. Laika
    The Angels are a terrible org. Also, in a lot of instances the player is not willing to fully buy in to the overhaul until they have failed emphatically... lots of times these player transformations require an org change for this reason.
  21. Laika
    Driveline's methods aren't all in a black box. Any individual player is able to do their weighted ball programs and aggressive velocity training, inside or outside of their actual program. Advanced teams are doing in-house pitch design already. The think with Zeuch is that he probably isn't just some added velo or a spin efficiency tweak away from being a good traditional P prospect. I'm not sure it makes sense to train him in those typical methods. It might be like trying to get a cat to play flyball - the wrong species.
  22. Laika
    Grant is right, sorry King. TJ Zeuch probably does suck but he's worth keeping around as a depth SP while he still has options (unless he gets bumped off the roster by better players) and there is a chance that he ends up as a useful SP. I believe he has a better minor league ERA than many of Toronto's young SP depth (Thornton, Kay, Hatch, Waguespack). Minor league ERA is dumb to look at in almost every instance but maybe not when you are trying to evaluate a guy with a stupid/weird profile like Zeuch. He's completely outside the mold of current analytic trends and he's a weird player because it's probably SP or bust - hard to imagine him as a useful reliever - and in the current game backend SPs who chew up mediocre innings are not coveted. The type of player who, if the team gets into SP injury trouble, could end up supplying ~15 not terrible starts in a season. Grant's ceiling comps are generally too sexy but here is a more fitting one: https://www.fangraphs.com/players/aaron-cook/1571/stats?position=P Toronto should have traded Zeuch for David Dahl!!! why the f*** did that not happen
  23. Laika
    arms like them grow on trees but they might have some utility as long as they are making league minimum and have options
  24. Laika
    That's pretty pedestrian for a RHRP these days. Not sure that would even qualify as a 60 grade pitch.
  25. Laika
    If Realmuto's price tag starts to come down a little bit there are probably a number of teams that will be pretty interested. I know he was projected for something like 5/$125 but that might have always been a bit too rich for a catcher like him. Grandal got 4/$73. Toronto gave Russell Martin 5/$82. At say 5/$90 are teams like the Tigers or Rockies getting in line? I'm with Carlos. I think it would be forcing the issue for Toronto to sign Realmuto even if his price tag drops.
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