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Laika

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Everything posted by Laika

  1. Laika
    I traded for him in a different league but I thought it was pronounced Jizz Chasm. I am disappoint too.
  2. Laika
    How much worse would Russell Martin even be!!?? 1.2 WAR in 249 PA last season. Sign Russ and promote Kirk. Option Jansen and game his service time. Frame McGuire for a second round of public masturbation and collect the insurance money.
  3. Laika
    MLB gave Joe Kelly eight games which he appealed down to five. So much for precedent.
  4. Laika
    For the second point I was talking about the fabled FRIAS, not TIPS. It's publicly available knowledge. Probably not common knowledge because who would really care!
  5. Laika
    that was wild when they just stopped being friends i wonder what Stroman did
  6. Laika
    lock up all three on the same day sell it to them based on non-monetary factors. think of the legacy guys! you came up together, you can make a dynasty together. super best friends.
  7. Laika
    Is that Brandon Belt? Must feel nice since you've owned him for so long in the DDL. Finally playing up to his potential.
  8. Laika
    Biggio is the guy to lock in now anyway, before his career WARz get too high.
  9. Laika
    I would not completely hate it (or something like it) if it started in say the 13th inning during a regular season.
  10. Laika
    The recent close losses really sting. Even though Toronto's playoff odds will still be listed at 60%+, Fangraphs now projects them to finish the season at an even 30-30 and the Tigers to finish at 29-31. That's soooo little wiggle room. Over a full 162 game season their projected final winning percentages would lead to 82 and 77 win totals respectively, so a lot more breathing room. Tigers have also called a bunch of useful youngsters up so it's not like they are trash. The last WC spot is basically a two team race.
  11. Laika
    The ump absolutely should have tossed Chapman. MLB has been f***ing up discipline on these problems forever. The warning system they use is reeeeeeee-stupid. If an ump thinks it was probably intentional, toss the player. I don't see the logic in allowing one guy to do it on purpose, then warning everybody. These things carry over across seasons.
  12. Laika
    I was trying to figure this out last night and watched a number of videos. Marco Estrada used to say that he would manipulate his leg drive on his changeup. Keeping the arm action the same is the whole point but I think he would drive less with his lower half to cleave off velocity. With Merryweather, I think he actually does something funny with his grip. If you grab a still frame when his arm is set, the ball appears to be sitting in the palm of his hand and his fingers aren't even touching the ball. I think he's doing a unique type of palmball changeup. It's like a circlechange/palmball. This might also explain why his changeup command is virtually non-existent (an abnormal amount of high changeups). It's rare but there have been guys historically who had larger than normal changeup differentials. Fernando Abad does.
  13. Laika
    First, define the standard of proof. Consider in life that it is very hard to know ANYTHING with 100% certainty. You may be 99.9999% sure you are a man, but you in 10 years might not be so sure. You don't need to prove it beyond a reasonable doubt. It's not a murder trial. You don't need Chapman's text to his teammates saying "I'm gonna bean Brousseau tonight". Proof on the balance of probabilities should be all that is required. Based on everything we know, is it more likely than not that it was intentional? It seems like it to me.
  14. Laika
    yikes
  15. Laika
    Apparently Robbie Ray is following Merryweather tonight. Piggy-back. I think it makes sense to piggy-back those two. Merryweather will not be stretched out this year and Ray can try to find his mechanics without having to go too many innings. You also get the RHP to LHP dynamic. Roark is by far their worst SP option. It would be s***** to see him continue to start games after Pearson comes back and for someone like Stripling to be in the pen.
  16. Laika
    I don't think they will. They have a lot of 2021 SP depth in the system.
  17. Laika
    I would like to just say that during his time with the Toronto Blue Jays I found Daniel Vogelbach to be revolting.
  18. Laika
    I don't think Alberto Rodriguez is a top 30 prospect by any measure. Might as well just be cash considerations.
  19. Laika
    I think he had minor injuries in a couple of those seasons but it was mostly the Dodgers' rotation depth.
  20. Laika
    There are all sorts of ERA estimators these days. Some use batted ball data, some don't. Different contexts call for different estimators. You're basically asking how quickly batted ball statistics stabilize for pitchers. I think it's something like 80 balls in play for GB and FB rates but a very large number for LD rates. You can also look at pitch level information though! I think Hatch's elite spin rate is a HUGE factor in favour of what he is doing.
  21. Laika
    I don't think this is fair. The summer Syndergaard turned 20 was 2012. He pitched 100 innings in Lansing that year. If there was a minor league season this year Kendall Williams would have turned 20 while at least pitching in Vancouver. I agree that Syndergaard would have looked like the better chip in context but there's no need to exaggerate.
  22. Laika
    "luck" is not just about bloopers falling in. pitcher luck can also, in small samples, be about players hitting things hard at a rate that they normally wouldn't. If a one-eyed midget hitter swung wildly ten times, in a large sample they might whiff 90% of the time. In ten swings they might hit four line drives. It's still luck. Anyway, I do think Hatch is much better than Font.
  23. Laika
    Probably do something like: - All 2020 non-playoff teams enter the lottery - 2019 and 2020 winning percentage combined. 50% weight for each season. - Weighted lottery. Draw for all picks, not just #1. - The weighting will be flatter than usual. Just slightly better odds for the the lower teams. - 2020 playoff teams just go in reverse order of final playoff standings.
  24. Laika
    Maybe it's just hard to pitch when you know your organization doesn't want you anymore. It doesn't exactly inspire confidence.
  25. Laika
    Panik hit .353/.450/.529 in the last 7 days. Dude is on fire.
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