Laika

The exact opposite of this is true. Not only are you wrong, you are wrong and you have embarrassed yourself. WAR is not predictive. It's about assigning a value to what happened, based on measurements of performance. A player who runs a hot BABIP will also run a hot WAR, that doesn't mean it will be sustainable.

Anyway, flawless trade really. A masterpiece that doesn't matter much.

Sounds like the minor leaguer is RHP Andrew McInvale That's a legit "who?" guy from me. Late pick in 2019. AA reliever with lots of K's this year. Probably has some semblance of stuff.

I dunno, Montreal has a lot of presently underrated talent. Cole Caufield looks electric at times. Nick Suzuki seems very good. They do have a decent young core breaking through right now but it's early stages. A few other players that are capable of a lot more, too.

Absolutely. Cimber is a pretty big upgrade on (pick your worst current reliever). It's good to get a different look in the pen too. And guys like him who DON'T rely on wicked spin just got a league relative skill upgrade because of the new foreign substance rules (he didn't get better but a good number of his peers got worse; yes there is an assumption here, maybe Cimber used the sticky stuff and I don't know). Dickerson is also a pretty f***ing good hitter who has made himself into a playable left fielder. Capable of hitting .300 with power. A fantastic platoon option for the struggling Gurriel. Yeah, Dickerson's game is flawed but he's not a zero. Better at baseball than Joe Panik right now.

https://www.mlb.com/prospects/stats/top-prospects Select Teams from the dropdown

f*** it hurts to say this but I want Montreal to win. Very badly.

Mostly just Ray. Stripling will do what he's told and Matz doesn't have enough clout in the organization for his opinion to matter.

Brandon Morrow is really the perfect comparison. Merryweather is basically Brandon Morrow if Brandon Morrow, for some weird reason, didn't get called up to the majors until he was 28.

Better than a coin flip chance that at least one of Ryu-Ray-Matz-Stripling-Manoah will be banged up by then and it's a moot point but if everyone is healthy and Stripling is still throwing the ball like he is it would be a tough call. You'd hate to move Stripling to relief in that situation. Because Manoah would profile as an elite reliever I think that's the move (Manoah to the pen) and I guess there are also some seniority considerations there. Huge upgrade to the pitching staff no matter where the bodies land. Imagine Ryu-Ray-Pineda-Matz-Stripling with Manoah and Pearson in the pen, ready to shut games down or backup a SP if they don't have it.

I believe I have it set to "enter playoff matchups manually" so that it gives us four weeks doesn't matter. The fourth playoff week will just be ignored. It won't automatically generate a 16 team playoff. I don't actually remember if we merge the last two playoff weeks into one in the DDL or if we just end the playoffs before the final MLB week. I did change the trade deadline to August 31st just now.

Marlins get: Alejandro Melean Toronto gets: Yimi Garcia Veteran rental reliever. Toronto will need at least one and I doubt they want to pay up for them. Garcia should be useful but should not be too expensive. Melean is a low minors, low probability P prospect with solid stuff. Could sub him out for Luis Quinones or a number of other similar prospects. Twins get: Miguel Hiraldo Toronto gets: Michael Pineda and Taylor Rogers Toronto tries to get Berrios but settles for Pineda as the teams can't come to terms on the bigger deal. Pineda is a rotation upgrade at the time of the deal and has some upside. Pineda is an expiring contract. Rogers is really good, perhaps an elite reliever, and under control next year. Toronto is not happy about giving up Hiraldo but the pressure from BJMB posters for them to upgrade the pen pushed them outside of their comfort zone. Arizona gets: Leo Jimenez and Naswell Paulino Toronto gets: Eduardo Escobar Joe Panik has been replacement level. This is an offensive depth upgrade. I am seeing rumours that Eduardo Escobar may be getting traded to the White Sox right now but whatever, I'll leave this.

That's not hard to answer. Three of Saucedo, Murphy, Payamps, and Barnes will head out. I think the first three can be optioned so maybe Barnes survives. But odds are other people will get hurt in the interim

Yeah I'm certain the damage is all knee and down. After the collision he is actually up on his knees briefly. If his femur was broken that wouldn't be possible. But with how he crushed his lower leg it could be a few things. Broken ankle and leg, maybe knee damage. You see this type of injury in hockey fairly often because the toe of the skate can pick into the ice and trap the leg under the body. You don't see this often in baseball but I think we've seen it on some poorly performed feet first slides. Stephen Drew?

That could just be his pants.

To the O's for Cole Sulser and Stevie Wilkerson

The new, clean Gerrit Cole is getting his ass kicked by Boston today. Imagine if he instantly turns into a non Ace, on that contract.

Traded

That's a paid league option btw

Nvm

How did I make it personal? Plot team run differential vs team win loss for every team in baseball history and then tell me again that it's not a linear relationship. There is a difference between being nonlinear and being imperfect but linear, btw

That's a completely different point. Nice try though. You googled the thing you said and found a Fangraphs article you thought said the same thing.

Might wanna check your sources on that, lol

Not necessarily true. Bad bullpens give up lots of runs and ruin a team's run diff The delta between win loss and Pythagorean win loss is mostly luck. It should be assumed to be completely luck, most of the time. I see what you're saying though. Some truth there, maybe, but it certainly would not explain the Blue Jays' delta IMO. Not even close.

This is terrible logic. Run scoring rate vs run prevention rate across a large sample size means quite a bit. What happened in a couple of specific games means nothing - it's just noise.