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Laika

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Everything posted by Laika

  1. Laika
    i like matt chapman
  2. Laika
    Yes that would be awesome. Carlos Correa is a true Oriole
  3. Laika
    I think if I said something bad about Juan Soto I'd have to just quit baseball fandom
  4. Laika
    it is my duty
  5. Laika
    peak Acuna is just a guy in a cast peak Franco is going to be UNDERWHELMING
  6. Laika
    They can't emulate the Rays because they are the f***ing Orioles and they are dumb as s***.
  7. Laika
    Yeah it just depends on all factors. Team payroll, competitive environment, a bunch of other things. Some teams can be pretty damn good every year. Some teams need to take more deliberate shots in shorter windows. It would be silly for a team like the Dodgers to get too aggressive in a short window because they can be strong competitors every single year. It might be silly for a team like the, I dunno, Orioles to even try to be good all the time because they are in a tough division and for payroll and competency reasons their best strategy is probably to go f***ing all in if the gods ever bless them with a couple of homegrown superstars again.
  8. Laika
    learn to delete your account
  9. Laika
    honestly, f*** you. why do I even reply? you're the new grant
  10. Laika
    I mean you take the guaranteed WS ofc but it doesn't work like that because there are no guarantees In reality you can try to stack teams with like, 15% WS odds at best in any given season vs. try to be more consistently good without stacking teams and maybe having I dunno WS odds of a pew percentage points in most years. Like the Rays have 4% right now for 2022. It's all fuzzy math but that's the general picture. IN AN IDEAL WORLD you are just rock solid good most years and have 10% odds all the time haha
  11. Laika
    My point is that it depends on the accumulation of the probability, meathead 10% WS odds in one season > 1% WS odds for seven seasons in a row, for example
  12. Laika
    Didn't even notice the Schwarber signing but yeah I would not have wanted to give him $80M
  13. Laika
    That's not necessarily true, Jim. It depends on the WS odds per season. How many WS have the Rays won since 2008 when they started being consistently "good"?
  14. Laika
    Yeah it looks great. Any criticisms about the position player construction are really just nitpicking. Like Grichuk could be upgraded, the 2B platoon could turn into a better guy, and I guess you could hope for an upgrade on Jansen (Moreno coming). The rotation 1-5 is super good. Depth seems alright; Stripling-Pearson-Hatch-Kay-Francis seem to be good enough. The bullpen is not amazing but is also not bad. I don't really know what to think of it. I kind of see it as Romano, then 4 or 5 serviceable guys. Fingers crossed Merryweather is good. Borucki is an expected zero from me.
  15. Laika
    how about make the team so good that a Berrios elbow injury and Springer problem would NOT be enough to make the Jays also rans?
  16. Laika
    Yeah it has to have Moreno + other good pieces. If there is a way to do it without Moreno it probably is Groshans, Pearson, and Orelvis.
  17. Laika
    what was your full offer?
  18. Laika
    Yeah there is maybe a 10-20% chance that Kevin Smith would have blossomed into an very good position player in the next 3 years but that's about it.
  19. Laika
    Springer - CF Bo - SS Vlad - 1B Teoscar - RF Kirk - DH Gurriel - LF Chapman - 3B Biggio/Espinal platoon - 2B Jansen - C Sometimes -- Grichuk to OF, Teoscar to DH, Kirk to C, Jansen to bench. Lineup is nuts now. Also, imagine if Moreno can come up and supplant Jansen. Or even play second base? And defense is solid. I guess the OF D could be better (but rotating Grichuk in a bit helps) and Bo is just average at SS. I suppose the obvious way to improve is to replace Grichuk with a decent LHB with CF chops. But that is a specific and hard upgrade to pull off.
  20. Laika
    Great trade. Logue and Snead don't have much/any value. I guess Logue has a small amount as a controllable arm with a chance to start a bit. Smith is high risk. So is Hoglund. Both have value and could be good but odds are they will not be major contributors.
  21. Laika
    he doesn't even have to get better for the trade to be solid he can hit 7th, strikeout 30% of the time, and still be a 100 wRC+, 3 WAR player
  22. Laika
    not sure if serious
  23. Laika
    If the universe is fair the cost for Chapman should be a bit less than the cost for Matt Olson.
  24. Laika
    I don't think I would mind trading Pearson+
  25. Laika
    Carlos Baerga is an aggressive reporter. Lots of swing and miss.
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