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Laika

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Everything posted by Laika

  1. Berrios haters should just say "Berrios is not an SP1 and does not have 6 WAR+ upside" and leave it at that. That's fair and true. The Mark Buehrle comparison is weird but kind of great if you just focus on WAR and ignore K numbers. Can even argue (convincingly) that Buehrle is better haha.
  2. I think I finally figured out the WHY TAPIA question with inspiration from the Athletic article today from Eno Sarris about the value of swinging. Basically: - Swinging has negative value in most run environments. The teams that swing less, win more. - Players demonstrate this with their actions but the best example is Alex Bregman saying "I only swing at pitches I think I can homer on" - The only exception is in very low home run environments where teams that swing more start to win more. 2014 Royals an example, and apparently in 2014 the general trend of "swing less = win more" was reversed. Remember in 2014 MLB had the lowest HR numbers in like, 20 years, and that prompted them to probably juice the baseballs. When it is very hard to hit home runs, singles become relatively more valuable so swinging more starts to have value and teams start to value high contact swingers as opposed to patient sluggers. I think perhaps Toronto knew about the ball and humidor changes in 2022 and thought they needed to diversify and bring in some higher contact swingers with speed, etc. Like 2014 Royals type of s***. Note that the Yankees did the same s***, arguably, in bringing in Kiner-Kalefa. I think this is the major premise under which ROCKET RAIMEL TAPIA was brought in. The team thought he would be a good hedge against a massive scoring environment change. RESULTS TO BE DETERMINED IT IS STILL EARLY. But yeah the HR rate is the lowest since 2014!
  3. And Berrios is on a 7 year contract, not a 1 year deal. lols
  4. you won, lol never start mitch keller though
  5. check out the statcast leaderboards https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/leaderboard/statcast?type=batter&year=2022&position=&team=&min=q&sort=5&sortDir=asc sort by average EV and max EV that will give you an idea of what is good, in MLB terms max EV is a good measurement of raw power average EV isn't as good but can still matter. barrel rate is more important than average EV though. "Barrels" are a stat that uses EV and launch angle. hard hit balls straight into the ground aren't ideal, right. but yeah for prospects you mostly care about max EV. 106 isn't super notable - that's Espinal pop. 110+ is definitely notable as that starts to approach average or better MLB raw power. Well, maybe 106 is fairly notable for a prospect like Pinto. 106 mph max EV with a really good barrel rate can = great MLB hitter. Alex Bregman's max EV is like 107.5 for example.
  6. definitely way better player than Cody Bellinger
  7. Sooo hunter greene gave up 5 bombs today
  8. It was a changeup. Gets rolled over most of the time
  9. Worst game of year to watch
  10. Yeah he hasn't found his swing at all. I don't think he's turned on a baseball once. Shame... I think he hit a few homers in spring and looked locked in.
  11. mfers really be like "canada is a joke" and then just... continue to live in canada
  12. "pressing" is a real thing some players do, you can see it in the numbers when you look at players who are traded or sign with new teams. they often do things like increase their o-swing% for a period of time. I think some teams actually factor this into their analysis - like if trading for Nick Castellanos on paper might by a 1 win upgrade you might assume he will underperform projections a bit because he is likely to press a bit in his new uniform. I could see why a middle of the order hitter might start "pressing" a bit if the guy hitting behind them is RAIMEL f***ING TAPIA WHICH HAS LITERALLY HAPPENED WHAT THE f***ING f***!!!!!!!!!!!
  13. why do you live in Canada if you hate it? leave
  14. He kind of looks fat now. His swing is so long too.
  15. Votto got his american citizenship this offseason. He's abandoning us.
  16. You protest it just for the headline. You'd know nothing would change.
  17. Rocket Raimel Tapia, he of the .699 OPS last year and .548 year to date, has batted: 1st three times 4th once 5th three times 6th four times I guess him being 6th is excusable if other people are hurt or getting days off but wooooooooooooof to him hitting anywhere in the top 5. What the f*** is going on? For reference here are the Blue Jays in order of wOBA as projected by The Bat X: Vlad Springer Teo Bo Kirk Chapman Jansen Gurriel Biggio Collins Zimmer Groshans Otto Lopez Espinal ROCKET RAIMEL TAPIA Mallex Smith Logan Warmoth Yes, he has a lower projected wOBA than Bradley Zimmer. Even if you change to Steamer which likes Tapia more than the other systems, nothing really changes. He jumps like, Otto Lopez and Zimmer. He is out-projected by Tanner Morris, Samad Taylor.
  18. Those two blown calls made me just turn off the game. Chuckles should have protested the game at that point. I don't even know if that makes sense but I remember Gibbons doing it once.
  19. Want OF, ideally CF Offering Kyle Hendricks. Possibly a diff SP. Could also add Brandon Belt and maybe a throw in MIF like Colorado Rockie Jose Iglesias I could also trade Tim Anderson thanks to the emergence of Jeremy Pena as a superstar who is objectively better than Cody Bellinger
  20. Joey Votto -1.1 WAR. Sewering his hall of fame candidacy with one horrible year
  21. 93 mph sinkers from Thor Ugh
  22. Syndergaard is so normal now. His fastball is like 2mph faster than his f***ing slider was five years ago.
  23. I'm not a lawyer anymore I work at a car wash now
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