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Laika

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Everything posted by Laika

  1. nah their prospect stuff is amazing now it competes with or exceeds any other publication is it perfect? no of course not
  2. No I mostly agree with you. It's not as important as the media says. There are different ways to pitch well... SWSTR is great if it helps you have better K-BB results but there are other ways to get there, like called strikes or limiting walks or generating foul balls (there are pitches that are good at getting foul balls but not great at getting whiffs). Also non K-BB factors like ground ball rate. And of course some pitchers with high whiff rates also have high BB rates which becomes counterproductive at a point. Like, Toronto pen ranks higher in called strike rate so their CSW% is better than their SWSTR%. Toronto pen is also good at limiting hits on balls in play, I wonder if that is defense related or maybe a bit of it is due to having funko pitchers like Cimber
  3. just 1 day timeouts for refusing to stop posting about vaxx / covid s***
  4. I think that's a bit of a data presentation issue the difference between 10.2% and 13.3% is actually 30.4%. As in, team B is 30.4% better than team A. You wouldn't really expect teams to be like, TWICE AS GOOD at a granular skill that literally everybody chases and values, right? That doesn't track with most of the other stuff in baseball; you don't see teams with .250 OBPs and teams with .400 OBPs, it's more like .280 to .330. You actually see these types of issues all the time in medical statistics that the general public has trouble wrapping their heads around. Like you'll see "QOVID20 kills 0.1% of infected men and 0.5% of infected women" or something like that. People on Facebook will say "women are only 0.4% more likely to die than men, QOVID20 does not discriminate, don't be scared ladies!" and it's like, no, you are FIVE TIMES as likely to die as men! You should be scared. On the team level, three extra whiffs per 100 pitches is a lot, over the course of a whole season. Even think anecdotally, imaging it's one pitcher throwing a 100 pitch outing... three extra whiffs could mean one extra strikeout and two less balls in play. Could be a big deal even in that one start. Would be meaningful for sure across many starts.
  5. Bo is hitting like a league average player, not a replacement level scrub. His extrapolation is about 2.4 fWAR at this point and his updated projection would be in the 2.7 to 3.3 fWAR range Tough stretch with the stick lately though...
  6. Honestly very few teams do this anymore. It's all about development and it's seldom arbitrary.
  7. oh lmao yeah I doubt it he'll be like 15th on their depth chart in 2023
  8. Manoah also threw 108.1 winnings at West Virginia in his draft year + 17 in the minors, that's a big deal on his track record I could see Tiedemann up in 2023 but not in a full time capacity. Like maybe: A) in a bullpen role in MLB after he spends most of the year as a starter in the minors or maybe they take it way easy on him through the middle of the season in the minors and then try him out in the MLB rotation later in 2023 But I do think the team will be conscious of his workload in 2023. Would not expect a jump to 150 innings or anything like that!
  9. JBJ is cooked. 46th percentile sprint speed he's a below average runner now!!!
  10. Not really a good measure. Playoff teams tend to add good RP at the deadline so full season SWSTR is not necessarily bullpen SWSTR during the playoffs. But this is more or less to be expected. The bullpen is less important than the starters of course and this is just one specific aspect of the pen; I would not expect to see a strong result in small/random samples like the playoffs. I would imagine you'd still see a positive correlation if you looked at bullpen SWSTR vs winning and of course you would see one if you looked at bullpen SWSTR vs bullpen results (ERA). This also really muddles the water because playoff bullpens are not regular season pens. Most teams in the playoffs have a functional pen of like 3-4 best RP and their SPs who are shifted into the pen; all other relievers tend to only get used in mop up roles. Like a guy can be a borderline setup RP all season and not have that role in the playoffs.
  11. Yeah the Twinkies paid a lot for their acquisitions
  12. Yeah unless you get an organization competency mismatch or something other tilting factor. I do love it when Toronto trades with competent orgs.
  13. This is something easily testable Probably available in public research age vs level important for hitters vs pitchers
  14. It's interesting to see our biases as a collective of fans be discovered in real time Like we all loved Frasso and still liked Groshans And then he is traded and it's like a Scooby Doo moment. The bed sheet comes off. We finally see them without makeup. Huh.
  15. age vs. level is extremely important
  16. who would have thunk
  17. he thinks country folk are insane
  18. yeah f***ing geezers
  19. Espinal and Jansen pitches were both in the lower third of the zone.
  20. I mean they are Ryan Thompson sinkers. That's the design.
  21. Yeah they probably did not think there is in fact a big gap between Castillo and some of the other options Which, you know, fine. Castillo was a worthless org guy until like three weeks ago because of some good MLB results. Very possible he sucks.
  22. Very possible to get more out of a bullpen game than a crummy SP5 I dunno, Tiedemann might be a phenom. I've never watched him aside from youtube clips.
  23. Or they have other creative solutions for those spots.... Like a bullpen game (somehow, I dunno) Or just calling up Tiedemann or someone like that for a shocking start.
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