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Laika

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Everything posted by Laika

  1. 2013 14th 2014 17th 2015 8th 2016 3rd 2017 5th 2018 13th 2019 22nd 2020 ignore 2021 ignore 2022 8th bullish trend! a playoff run this year would possibly create multiple years of solid and exciting attendance
  2. Tapia will go 3/7 with two walks this series and homer and no mistakes
  3. Yeah I am wondering if Espinal is just borderline in terms of health so they want him on here as a defensive replacement / backup but he's not going to start a game. He's the only viable backup SS after all.
  4. Why Tapia 7th? I guess to try and keep lefties separated if Biggio pinch hits for Whit or if JBJ comes in for Teoscar defensively and gets a PA?
  5. interesting they went Kooch over Zimmer. Interesting. I mean TERRIFYING WHAT THE f***!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
  6. Look at how this Dipoto-Preller banger has turned out August 30 2020 Padres traded Trammell, Ty France, Andrés Muñoz, and Luis Torrens to the Seattle Mariners for Austin Nola, Dan Altavilla, and Austin Adams. 2021+2022 WAR France 5.6 Munoz 1.9 Torrens 0.0 Trammell 0.3 Altavilla -0.1 Adams 0.3 Nola 1.2 s*** like this is why AJ Preller is a complete moron, holding back the Padres.
  7. Nathaniel Pearson has a 6.03 career FIP in the majors And his career AAA numbers are mediocre. FIPs or ERAs above 4 in every year. But yes, he's like 1.5 seasons away from being as washed up as Snider was
  8. Kelenic is three years younger than Pearson and was basically the #1 MLB prospect so he's still for sure more valuable. I dunno what fair value for Pearson is anymore. If it's a failed prospect, change of scenery thing then the return will be pretty ugly. Cristian Pache, Carter Kieboom, Taylor Trammell... lmao. If you are super lucky maybe Brandon Marsh or Jose Lowe or JJ Bleday or Kiriloff/Larnach or someone like that.
  9. If anyone was waiting for debut waivers on a late MLB arrival, everyone on waivers right now who has played an MLB game is fair game.
  10. It will matter to the nerd voters. There are more of them than ever. They will care more about that than they will about the gap in HR or RBI
  11. WAR is not relevant when it's 7.0 vs 7.1 Freeman xwOBA .404 vs Goldschmidt xwOBA .367 is pretty big gap Oldschool voters WILL care about batting average and the standings
  12. oh f*** Jeff McNeil he's a little twerp
  13. NL MVP is a f***ing four way nail biter Freeman, Goldy, Machado, and Arenado all have a case. I think Freeman wins it. 159 games played, best team in baseball, MLB batting title. For the nerds, highest xwOBA of the four. Goldy and Arenado might split some first place votes. Machado doesn't have a lead in any offensive stat and the Padres finished 22 games back of the Dodgers. I agree with jb, Sandy Alcantara's ERA and IP win the NL Cy for him and it won't be that close.
  14. I thought it was a literal hole in his swing like 2022 Cody Bellinger
  15. I went to the future and this is the heatmap against from the Jays playoffs
  16. Regular season totals (TOR / SEA) HITS --> 1464 / 1237 XBH --> 519 / 445 BB --> 500 / 596 (SEA also has edge in HBP) SB:CS --> 67:35 / 83:27 BsR --> -11.4 / -11.4 Runs --> 775 / 690 UZR --> -32.5 / 2.2 Errors --> 82 / 69 Honestly pitching looks like a wash to me. In all likelihood the games wont be super close and the core players from one team will win it by hitting huge dingers or throwing gems. BUT if the games are close and Toronto wins it's probably from their pure hitting ability. They are way better at getting hits and extra base hits. BUT if the games are close and Seattle wins it's probably from some combination of patience, timely hits, and maybe sounder defense and an important stolen base or two?
  17. What do you guys think "magnified" even means in this context, as it relates to small ball s***? In my opinion it just means WHEN those things lead to wins or losses they are impactful and you remember them. I don't think it means that those things are more important on balance that the big/core/fundamental s*** like hitting dingers and striking other people out. I don't think it means that scrappy s*** becomes suddenly more valuable in the playoffs, in terms of win production. Stealing a key base CAN be massive but in most series or playoff games there is literally no game situation where it matters. It CAN also be massive in specific regular season games of course. Like, Bradley Zimmer could win the Jays a series with a stolen base or a good defensive play late and close. They are probably putting him on the roster just in case such an opportunity arises. But if he broke his leg this morning it would not f***ing matter - the Jays playoff WS would maybe go down 0.001%, if that. As usual, Olerud is completely right and nobody should fade him.
  18. Bad post. Projections are a measurement of talent. The more talented team has a better chance of winning any given game. Simple.
  19. You care about projected performance. Winker is a really good hitter.
  20. That’s a big deal. He’s one of their top 4 hitters and they lose a LF option. Seattles lineup is probably simple to bullpen plan against. The top is all righties and the bottom is mostly lefties.
  21. Moreno in LF is huuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuge wish I could watch this game
  22. Remember when Toronto traded for Stripling he was bad right away and then replacement level in 2021 and now great this year Mitchy White just needs some time.
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