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Laika

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Everything posted by Laika

  1. Laika
    yeah he's sitting pretty I dunno, I think there is a decent chance this is the real estate market bottom unless we go sideways for 3/4 years and there is a nuke in ~2026 as cheap+big mortgages people got during COVID expire and they have to renew at much higher interest rates while their properties aren't even worth as much. That is a bit of a perfect storm for a real estate liquidation cascade.
  2. Laika
    yeah maybe i am thinking they just go sideways for a year or two though we had a sharp correction this fall. the top did blow off.
  3. Laika
    As just DFA'd Zach Logue Bring him back
  4. Laika
    what if interest rates go to 10%? there is no right answer here, the market is so f***ed and unpredictable
  5. Laika
    The funny thing is that Correa is probably underpaid, severely on a year to year basis. A $26.25 AAV is pretty light for a player of his quality.
  6. Laika
    When did you buy? Seems like it was a buyer's market, maybe?
  7. Laika
    You see this type of s*** all the time on real estate deals. Honest buyer has a condition on home inspection. They can kill the deal if they don't like the inspection. They do the inspection and there is something just a bit odd. Like, inspector says there is a chance of asbestos but someone would need to cut into the drywall and have the insulation tested. The buyers ask for a two week extension of the deadline of their condition. And the right to test the insulation. The sellers say no. They don't want to open a can of worms or miss the market. They turn around and sell with no conditions to someone else, for a bit less $$.
  8. Laika
    That's just in between #2 and #1, same kind of unlikely s***
  9. Laika
    Yeah. The general scenarios are: 1) The Giants (collectively - GM and owner in agreement) decided to sign him then got cold feet and used the medical clause as an excuse (bad faith exit) 2) The Giants have internal disagreement. GM decided to sign him but owner disagreed and made the team exit for medical reasons 3) The Giants wanted him but there is a legitimate concern on the medicals and they weren't willing to waive the medical clause. Rather than engage in further inspections etc. Correa and Boras decided to take the Mets deal. #3 is by far the likeliest. #1 is a huge stretch. They aren't just going to change their mind #2 is at least plausible because we have seen teams before that have internal disagreement between GM and owner. But still unlikely I think.
  10. Laika
    well a disconnect between the GM and ownership would make a bit more sense than one human party getting cold feet on something like that but if ownership signed him, more or less, and Zaidi killed the deal this way, I mean wouldn't ownership just f***ing fire him right now?
  11. Laika
    lmao
  12. Laika
    I mean.... Verdugo + prospect isn't a horrible framework. For Jansen. Verdugo is slightly worse than Jansen and a bit more expensive by projected arb salary. But two years of control. Lefty outfielder. Some promise remaining, I think. I don't think they have anything to offer for Moreno or Kirk haha.
  13. Laika
    It just means when Toronto submits their claim, they will only be able to claim like $10M less if they trade Ryu right now.
  14. Laika
    The issue here is that while swapping Grandal for Ryu makes sense for baseball reasons, Ryu's contract is likely insured. So while Toronto's payroll on paper / luxury tax hit would not rise much in the swap, their actual effective payroll would jump. It may be the case that a bad contract swap like that actually sees Rogers paying an additional $10M or so of real money. Depending on how the insurance works. I wonder if the White Sox would talk Crochet. I do kind of like the premise. I like Grandal's chances of being useful on a dead cat bounce in 2023. But yeah, the White Sox don't have a lot of trade juice.
  15. Laika
    The other owners probably hate Cohen so much, lmao He refuses to be part of the price fixing cartel!
  16. Laika
    Pre 2022 blurb on that guy: 36. Julian Fernández, SIRP Signed: July 2nd Period, 2012 from Dominican Republic (COL) Age 26.1 Height 6′ 6″ Weight 233 Bat / Thr R / R FV 35+ Tool Grades (Present/Future) Fastball Changeup Command Sits/Tops 70/70 45/45 20/20 98-101 / 103 You might remember Julian Fernández from the 2017 Rule 5 Draft. He’s still kicking around the upper levels of the minors with rookie eligibility after being passed back and forth by the Giants, Marlins and Rockies amid an unfortunately timed Tommy John and the pandemic. Before 2021, he had last pitched in games in ’17 and while he’s technically been part of those three orgs, he’s only ever actually pitched for the Rockies, finally reaching the big leagues in 2021. Fernández sits 97-101 mph and has a relatively new changeup. He is likely to continue to be very wild, limiting him to an up/down projection.
  17. Laika
    Okay, but that's a batshit allegation. I don't think Farhan Zaidi got cold feet, man.
  18. Laika
    No, we are not saying the same thing. You are alleging bad faith.
  19. Laika
    sign conforto + overpay for Mr Jansen
  20. Laika
    that seems far fetched more likely they just saw something legitimate on the medicals but kind of borderline. like mild DDD or a lightly frayed UCL.
  21. Laika
    Wtf
  22. Laika
    Free agent at the moment
  23. Laika
    Gotta be close Mayza debuted in 2017. I think Gurriel and Jansen both the next year. If we are talking about being in the org then I guess Romano the 2014 draftee might be the oldest?
  24. Laika
    facts
  25. Laika
    Okay but Chapman is better and the same applies Heck even Espinal is a better player and certain to be here I think Gurriel was out WAR-d by Biggio and Berrios!
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