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Laika

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Everything posted by Laika

  1. Laika
    I would reject the notion that they are doing boring long term stuff Varsho fits the 2023 roster like a f***ing glove and they burned some future value to get that Bassitt is very much a stabilization purchase for 2023
  2. Laika
    This is absolutely the best pre-season Blue Jays team I have ever seen.
  3. Laika
    Or 0 wins Carlos Rodon isn't exactly bankable production The Jays are running a borderline luxury tax payroll and you are making cheapness accusations, lmao.
  4. Laika
    the nice thing about Varsho is this his OF defense has been elite in three seasons, and all metrics agree. 2020 155 innings 3 DRS 2 OAA 19 UZR/150 2021 338 innings 4 DRS 4 OAA 14 UZR/150 2022 920 innings 19 DRS 17 OAA 23 UZR/150 Note UZR/150 is a rate stat so you can compare directly but OAA and DRS are additive so you need to do some mental extrapolation to see they basically agree with 2022.
  5. Laika
    His 50th percentile projection might be around 3 WAR but I would say his chances up repeating 4+ WAR seasons are pretty realistic.
  6. Laika
    I believe they will remain "opportunistic" for SP upgrades and RP upgrades. But wouldn't really expect any other than MiLB signings. One stud LHRP would sure be nice.
  7. Laika
    I think they are done adding bats, unless they decide to trade Merrifield and bring someone else in. Merrifield probably plays LF against all LHP and one of KK or Varsho sits. Probably KK. Espinal at 2B on those days. Horwitz, Lukes, Barger, and Lopez all have options so they can fight for 2 spots in spring.
  8. Laika
    They don't give a s*** about optics for Lourdes f***ing Gurriel, lmao. They just traded Teoscar Hernandez (way better player) for a reliever. This front office is ruthless. It's all calculated and they all have asperbergers so they don't care or understand social impact.
  9. Laika
    Okay, but we've seen guys like this sign for a few mill more than Lourdes this offseason. e.g. Aledmys Diaz actually got 2/$14.
  10. Laika
    It should not be that surprising that a player coming off a 4.6 WAR season, with that talent level supported by prior MLB data, with 4 years of control remaining, would be worth slightly more than a 60 FV prospect. Again, Moreno was only the "#1 prospect in baseball" because of proximity and circumstance. By talent he has always kind of been functionally equivalent to 10-15 other prospects. Look at the Fangraphs prospect board for the 2022 update it has Gunnar and Eury Perez as 65 FV and than Moreno #3 at 60 FV but 13 other dudes with the same FV. One other 60 FV guy on that list has been traded - Noelvi Marte. He was traded with three other good prospects for just 1.5 years of Luis Castillo, who was coming off a 3.8 WAR season and in the midst of a 3.7 WAR season. That should make a Jays fan feel better about trading a 60 FV prospect for 4 seasons of a guy like Varsho.
  11. Laika
    1.5 projected WAR, that's worth a bit more than his $5.4M salary I'm just talking about some 40 FV prospect barely inside a team's top 20. Those guys are only worth a few million.
  12. Laika
    Sure but they still wouldn't have to dump Lourdes. They could have easily traded him for a B prospect or RP or something. Arizona clearly wanted him, for whatever reason. They think they can compete for the NL Wild Card this year.
  13. Laika
    Nah Gurriel isn’t worth much of anything but he’s still a small asset
  14. Laika
    Every time Toronto Ross trades away a prospect I now just assume they are lower on him than the industry. Atkins deserves this benefit of the doubt at this point. They have rarely (never?) traded away a prospect and regretted it. Maybe they think Moreno is overrated.
  15. Laika
    Lmao
  16. Laika
    Let’s be real Moreno was not the best prospect in baseball He was ranked as such by some outfits but he’s not tooled up enough for that kind of ranking. It was a function of graduations and a lack of data in the prospects coming for him. Still a great prospect. Top 10, sure. But this isn’t selling Julio Rodriguez
  17. Laika
    I truly think it is I think the Jays just decided to move on from their abhorrent defense
  18. Laika
    Not sure what you mean exactly but WAR already includes the positional relative expectations on his bat through the positional adjustment. Left fielders get a penalty of 12.5 runs so they are expected to be that much better with the stick
  19. Laika
    This is a fun trade because you get to see so many people ignore defense and WAR in favour of batting average and the undying and limitless promise of prospects
  20. Laika
    This is when we simply turn on Moreno He’s a noodle bat that will take three years to figure out how to homer And he’s not as athletic as people said.
  21. Laika
    For those who care Baseball trade values Varsho is worth 74.5 Moreno+Guerriel is 59.3
  22. Laika
    Is it good when your left fielder hits five homers? He’s a good hitter but he’s never been worth even two wins because the defense is so bad, he’s slow, and he’s never put it all together with the stick. He’s worth a few million in surplus value at the most so he doesn’t move the needle much in this trade.
  23. Laika
    Varsho 7.1 WAR is basically 1.66 seasons 4.4 per season If Arizona wasn’t trading Corbin Carroll then there may not have been a better CF trade target out there
  24. Laika
    Gurriel is worth basically nothing. Horrendous defender in left and not an impact bat despite teasing it at time. I think his swing is too mechanical / rigid or something.
  25. Laika
    Varsho had 4.6 WAR in 2022 Played at the same pace in 2021 Destroyed AA at 22 without striking out much They get his four prime seasons Perfect roster fit. Left handed CF who is also the emergency catcher so you can DH Kirk all the time. Could be more upside I don’t think it’s set in stone that he will have whiff issues like in his short career so far
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