Laika
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Everything posted by Laika
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That can't be true. He looked putrid for all of April. He ended April in an 0-14 (including May 1) and through May 1 hit .161/.235/.274 with a 44.1% K rate May 2 to present he has hit .342/.484/.534
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lack of tools you can only be so good when you never barrel the ball, never walk, and have middling raw power
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I don't get it
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Varsho is one tweak away. He is making more contact than ever and displaying his plus power and speed, consistently. Moreno is like... absolutely maxing out his physical talents and he still can't really hit enough. .282 with a .336 BABIP and he is at this level. Just no juice in that body, whatsoever.
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lil' Gabby Moreno now has a putrid .688 OPS and only 0.3 fWAR a replacement level season is in the realm of possibilities he is a surprisingly bad baserunner!? good trade remains good, I never doubted it
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Pitcher wins r dum! -
Stroman clowns on Soto https://bdata-producedclips.mlb.com/bfa3516d-050c-496e-b200-9f758399ad0d.mp4
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okay
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I placed three P on debut waivers AJ Smith-Shawver Bryan Woo Andrew Abbott (set to debut tomorrow)
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Can't recall a player ever looking as bad as Belt did for the first six weeks or so, and that player being able to turn it around
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General Blue Jays Discussion Thread (2023)
Laika replied to Krylian's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
statcast doesn't account for VERTICAL difficulty -
they are all on there, it's just hard to see the kids with only a few years who are still near the origin. vlad, tatis, etc. https://www.fangraphs.com/graphsw.aspx <-- this is the tool
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I think it's at the point where he IS having that kind of year, despite the batting average. It's not a mirage to pair those K and BB rates with that ISO. He's a freak. They could probably promote him at this point.
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In sum, I think this is the takeaway: we all hoped Vlad could be like the guys in my second picture, the "phenoms" (so, a 50 career WAR expectation) but it is looking like he will be more like the guys in my first picture, the "good 1B" (so, a 30 career WAR expectation) but if he can get back on track with the stick and mature a bit, he still has a realistic chance to perform like the upper bound of the fat 1B category. that means like Goldy, Votto, Freeman... a 50 WAR career.
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alright here is a new sample for Vlad comps this is players since 1990 with at least one season age 22 or younger and 5+ WAR (picked 5 WAR to capture some guys on the "other" side of Vlad's 6 WAR year). this should capture almost everybody in the last three+ decades who was demonstrably very good at a very young age i.e. most of the hot shot prospects who did not flop. I guess I could have expanded the age cutoff to 23 as well to scoop more guys, but I didn't think of it. i have excluded A-Rod and Trout on purpose just to make the graph more readable. and because they are kind of incomparable legends, anyway... We have revealed a "fun" comp for Vlad in Pablo Sandoval! Other than Pablo the current "trajectory" comps might be Tulo and Devers...
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Could look up players with 6+ WAR seasons at 22 or younger and just use that sample... That would exclude all of these fat 1B types and add in many of those hot shots. But then you are being unfair to Vlad because his talent profile is not the same given his body and s***..
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pick your Vlad career path: Note that his age 24 season on this graph is unfairly low. You can just extrapolate his current 0.7 WAR to 2.1 or whatever, if you want. That moves his final dot a bit.
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Mike p2f will love that trade for you
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I guess. I love Cobb but he's pretty old
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I thought the Dodgers would have a genius plan for him but I guess not
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traded the farm for 80 innings from Josh Johnson and Jose Reyes' worthless free agent contract #Legacy
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MLB.com in 2011 had Hellickson #2 haha Trout - Hellickson - Harper These were the Drabek, Lawrie, Arencibia days. Toronto's farm was sort of stacked. Sanchez, d'Arnaud, Thames, Syndergaard, Wojo, Grant's favourite prospect Zach Stewart, future #4 workhorse Decklyn McGueer, handsome Jake, Henderson Alvarez of future fleeting dominance, Deck McGuire 2.0 aka Chadley Jonkins, and who could forget perennial gold glove candidate Adeiny ECHavarrrrrrrrreeeeeeeeyaaaaa!!!!!!!!!!! What a farm system!!!
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There were 2011 rankings that went Harper then Trout. I believe some publications even had guys like Dom Brown, Jeremy Hellickson, Jesus Montero, and Matt Moore extremely close. And I mean s*** like Hellickson ahead of Harper...
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General Blue Jays Discussion Thread (2023)
Laika replied to Krylian's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
If his problems are mental, then demoting him makes sense. Mental reset. If his problems are physical (fitness), then demoting him does not make sense from the perspective of making Manoah better. He's not going to be skinnier in Buffalo. But he has been so bad that you can justify demoting him simply to get a better SP in the rotation. So.... you have to send him packing very soon. I would say TODAY but the team clearly wants to give him some more chances. At this point you kind of start thinking "what is going to motivate this guy to get in better shape in the winter". 2023 almost becomes a lost cause. -
wait is Gausman pumping 99
