Laika
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Everything posted by Laika
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Jimenez has real value to the Jays at $14M AAV. Tanaka is the sexy option but probably not the most efficient. f***, you might be able to get Garza AND Jimemez for less than the cost of Tanaka... who knows.
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To me, that looks like a really, really expensive way of adding maybe 4 or 5 wins. I think 6 is optimistic (they might WAR 6 in total, but that's not a 6 win upgrade. Goins/Izuturis might project for 0.4 or something and the #5 spot might project for 1 or 0.5 or so).
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guy owes me MONEY
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Using 2014 free agents, I wonder what the cheapest way to make the Blue Jays a 90+ Steamer team would be... Ellis was a popular cheap add but he's really only like, a ~1 win upgrade on Goins or Izturis (I think).
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But seriously, sane projections have the Jays around 85 wins right now. That's not the playoffs. But those are mean projections, and if I'm remembering my SABR101 class correctly, it's not exactly unlikely for teams to fall anywhere within +/- 6 or 7 wins of their projections. So the Jays right now, depending on reasonable randomness, should win between 79ish and 91ish games, with the most likely result being 85. So they have a chance to make the playoffs right now! Not a great chance, but a chance. Kind of like thehurl's chances of getting laid on any given Friday. So adding one pitcher that represents a decent upgrade would of course increase their playoff odds. It's not like a team has to cross some magical line where the projection systems project 90+ wins, and all of those teams make the playoffs. That's not the correct way of thinking about things. The Blue Jays should definitely be adding wins right now, even if they can't find a way to add a huge amount.
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Well, if it was Kershaw....
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Wait, didn't we already vote on this? IIRC in the summer we had a vote about whether or not to implement an NA slot, and then after that vote passed, we had a vote about whether to implement 1 or 2 slots. If I'm remembering correctly, then this issue can't even be tabled at this point in time.
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s*** maybe you have a virus!!!!
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I can only keep three of these pitchers, and I know at least the top ~5 or so would be definite roster upgrades to a few teams out there. Grant Balfour Matt Harrison Eric Stults Zach McAllister Bud Norris Jesse Crain Joel Peralta Neal Cotts Felipe Paulino Jason Hammel Ordered by approximate cost. Nobody is overly expensive (e.g., a late 3rd rounder would probably be enough for Bud Norris). The bottom five names would be close to free. Help me trim the fat.
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My trusty sources say that the Jays have a hard-on for Tanaka. 50%.
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I would probably vote in favor of a 2nd NA slot, but I don't really care. An extra NA slot only really helps teams stash players for a short period of time. You can stash a prospect there through the summer draft cut-down date, but as soon as February rolls around you need to trim your big league squad down to 20 anyway. As some of us have been finding out, oftentimes the prospects that you plop into an NA slot are hard to justify keeping in your final 20, at least if you have a decent organization. e.g., I just traded Jimmy Nelson for a peanut and I have Jackie Bradley Jr who is basically on the cusp of my top 20 right now. If you call up a prospect too early and he gets sent down for an extended period of time, you still suffer the consequences of the premature call-up when February rolls around. I think the impact of adding the second slot is miniscule, so the question really becomes, what's the point? Change for the sake of change? Does the added roster flexibility even matter?
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White chocolates unite!
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Seriously, that guy f***ing gets it.
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He's pretty much on his own planet right now. Peaking just in time for the Olympics. Although, a lot of it is probably just 2nd assist noise. Apparently 2nd assists for defensemen should be regressed like 100% to the mean - in other words, picking them up isn't a talent. Not sure if true though, I just heard that from some nerd.
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RTTM is a beautiful thing for an anti-fan
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It's kind of fun to re-acquaint yourself with the system, haha. It's definitely a deep system. Very "flat" though - hard to rank guys after the top tier. I think I need to slide Jacob Brentz into my list somewhere. Project lefty that throws mid/high 90's, change and breaking ball flash plus at times...
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Rookie ball numbers are just bonkers. I hope they're fairly aggressive with him.
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Finally threw together a rough list. If Ace comes back from the dead and wants to write up a blog top 20 or so, then I can finalize it. Stroman Sanchez Davis Nay Norris Osuna DeJong Tirado Jimenez Nolin Barreto Smoral Labourt Hollon Lugo Castro Robson Pompey Dean Pillar Smith Jr. Alford Nessy Stilson Dermody Del Rosario Urena Burns Tellez Berti Barnes Wilson Dantzler Ybarra Forget anyone important? Is Goins still prospect eligible? Also, have been pretty sick for the last week or so which is mainly why I haven't pub'd anything. Hard to write a long article.
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Note the compensatory beard in the picture. An anesthesiologist once told me that something like 70-80% of beards that come into the OR are covering up weak chins. When they see a beard, they know that the ibtubation has a decent chance of being more difficult.
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Kevin Seitzer worked with our starter 2B Ryan Goins on his swing
Laika replied to Angrioter's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
What's better than one player that projects for a sub .300 wOBA and replacement level production? Two of them! Goins and Izzy FTW -
I know they're not your projections, but I still don't really get how he's that high based on that optimistic but fairly pedestrian Steamer. For whatever reason, pitchers seem to be really, really low. I suppose it's because they are essentially locked out of contributing in basically 2 categories.
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lol, some of these are legitimately insane. Travis Snider cracked the top 200, edging out Cain, Latos, and Iwakuma. Walrus is even higher!
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Now I can slightly forgive nox for advising me to take Zunino over Sano in the DDL prospect draft.... wait, still retarded. UGH
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Scott Boras - compensation rules need to change
Laika replied to G-Snarls's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
I know
