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Laika

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Everything posted by Laika

  1. Laika
    Wow, good for you. So level headed with your decades and decades of life experience. The true super-fan that we should all aspire to be! How about this: 1) AA was awesome when he was re-tooling the team 2) AA sucked ass when he was first trying to push the team to competitiveness 3) AA has learned from some of his transaction mistakes and improved his approach, OR, the real issue at #2 was the heavy-handed influence of Beeston/Rogers and that has been lifted somewhat this offseason. The guy still needs to show that he can put the finishing touches on a roster and build a team that's actually robust, and not waiting to crumble at the seams.
  2. Laika
    lmao
  3. Laika
    Realistic role as #1? None, ever. Never should that happen.
  4. Laika
    No matter what order you put the names in, the Blue Jays kind of have a stacked system right now. Again, it's super pitching heavy, but when you can trade arms for Josh Donaldson and Michael Saunders, who gives a f***... Norris Pompey Sanchez Hoffman Osuna Pentecost Travis Nay Reid-Foley Castro Smoral Alford Smith Jr. Cole Tellez Urena Labourt Tirado Borucki Boyd Jansen Hollon Some other potential RP arms (Stilson, DeJong? etc.) Bench Factors: Jimenez Burns Berti Schimpf Lugo? Dean?
  5. Laika
    Well they are getting some unnamed infielder from Detroit as well. Probable that some old scout just doesn't like Shane Greene.
  6. Laika
    I still think you could save yourself 1000 hours and get basically the exact same information by just looking at team win totals (and it still wouldn't necessarily reflect GM talent. Theoretically, Amaro could have taken over Gillick's Phillies, put them in a terrible long term position but exited after the 102 win season, and he'd look like a GM prodigy). Best way to measure GM talent might simply be $ spent per added win, with marginal wins properly valued (so rich GMs aren't unfairly knocked). Would need big sample size.
  7. Laika
    Yup. Holy f*** San Diego. Don't be dumb.
  8. Laika
    Sigh, Padres. Grandal for Kemp would be so, so, so, so, so, so, so dumb.
  9. Laika
    4/65 for Headley is f***ing robbery compared to the 4 year deals given to Cruz and Markakis. Easily twice the player, not much more money. In a rational market, contracts for Sandoval and Headley are only a stones throw apart.
  10. Laika
    What's hard to understand? Most people still see baseball through batting average, home runs, and RBI. Headley generates most of his value through defense and plate discipline (+ decent power and hit). Same reasons that Melky is so overrated - .300 hitter!
  11. Laika
    I don't know anything about hockey prospects. Anybody want to give me a quick rundown on which prospects on my team are actually worth anything?
  12. Laika
    He's gonna trade Moss for a young SS. SOURCES: Moss to CLE for Jose Ramirez is something to watch for. Cleveland wants a COF/1B/DH bat, is looking to move Swisher, and have Lindor/Kipnis up the middle. Personally I think they're stuck with Swisher, but they could put Moss in LF and make Swisher a full DH.
  13. Laika
    You would need to account for salaries and roster age. Personally, I think the whole method is flawed and incredibly biased based on the state of the team before/during the GM's first season (or when they left the team). Example - your #1 dude took over as GM for the 1982 season. The 1981 was strike shortened... obviously he would get mad "dWAR" just for this coincidence. Same for #7 Jocketty taking over a team for the 1995 season. In its current state, this is no measure at all of GM competence or skill. A GM could take over a team while it's solid and get fired 15 years later during a rebuilding cycle, and he'll come out looking like a turkey even if he kept them competitive for a decade.
  14. Laika
    It's possible but not necessary. De Aza might not even be worse than Melky. Seattle could go after Leche if they don't land Upton.
  15. Laika
    60 hit, 50 game power, 60 defense, 60 arm. first division talent
  16. Laika
    John Hart has no time for Sabermetrics. Nick plays the game the right way, battles at the dish, is great in the clubhouse and in the community, and he's got a cannon for an arm.
  17. Laika
    Fits quite nicely on the ATL mantle beside those Uggla and Upton contracts.
  18. Laika
    I like baseball.
  19. Laika
    inb4 Stroman's arm explodes in March.
  20. Laika
    Shields for something like the Anibal Sanchez deal. And then Luke Gregerson or whatever. I don't care about closing experience or who closes.
  21. Laika
    Are oblique injuries just a Canadian thing? http://m.mlb.com/video/v34482861/minsea-saunders-exits-game-after-check-swing-in-8th/?query=Michael+Saunders
  22. Laika
    Best offseason ever.
  23. Laika
    The defensive value that you see on Fangraphs includes the positional adjustment, which is -12.5 runs per 600PA for 1B. His UZR/150 games is pretty much zero - which means he's an average first baseman. I don't know why Fangraphs changed their default defensive display. It made more sense IMO to just show UZR so you could see defensive skill at their given position in any one year. Scouts like Smoak even more than that though I think. He had/has a rep as a very good defensive 1B.
  24. Laika
    Part of me just wants to see a more talented player at first base, but if they make upgrades at a couple of the 2B/LF/RP holes then I'd be fine with Smoak and honestly, I'm kind of intrigued about how he would do in a full season at the Rogers Centre. Also, it'll be nice to have a decent defensive 1B with the way Reyes' throws are spraying around at this point in his career. I think Donaldson is a bit of a loose cannon as well. With Smoak's tiny salary, he's still highly mobile and even viable as a bench player.
  25. Laika
    nu-uh. In runs per 600 PA, the positional adjustments add up to -30 either way (-12.5 1B and -17.5 DH). Doesn't matter who is playing where. You can put Smoak at first and have a neutral 1B, or you can bleed 11 runs with Edwin. Smoak @ 1B = -12.5 defensive value + Edwin @ DH = -17.5 defensive value = -30 for the team. Edwin @ 1B = -23.5 defensive value + Smoak @ DH = -17.5 defensive value = -41 for the team /MATH
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