I bring up Mark Lowe because I think you'd have a hard time showing that a 32-year old 1-win 2B is more likely to turn into a pumpkin than a 32-year old 1-win reliever.
In either case, it would be easy to say "of course the 32-year old bombed - bad signing", but I think 90+% of the forum would give that contract to Lowe.