BTS
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Everything posted by BTS
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At least you have your 1st round pick!
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The first place team in the Reuben is almost at 0.500!
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That’s going to go down as one of the worst FA deals of all-time
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Ah f***, team Spooge next week
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Fangraphs just finished their trade value series. The Braves have: 1) Acuna Jr. 10) Strider 12) Murphy 13) Riley 15) Harris II 31) Albies What AA has done is completely obscene.
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GDT: Padres @ Jays Game 3 of 3... Stop the Bleeding!!!
BTS replied to Spanky__99's topic in Game Thread Archive
It's wild that, for all the money the Padres spend, they use bums like Cronenworth and Alfons Rivas at 1B -
If we're talking about what happens after 2024 if Vlad's 2024 looks a lot like his 2023, then yeah, he probably doesn't get a QO. But I don't think that's likely to happen given how hard he's hitting the ball. Every year of his career, Vlad's wOBA has been within 0.005 of his xwOBA - some years a hair higher, some years a hair lower. This year it's off by 0.55. He crushes the ball. He's probably not doing it in an ideal way, but you still can't expect someone to consistently hit the ball that hard and remain replacement level. I think if we're talking about the probability of possible outcomes for healthy Vlad in 2024 it would be something like: 10% - wOBA exceeds xwOBA or xwOBA close to wOBA but xwOBA goes up - MVP caliber season 70% - wOBA close to xwOBA, ~125-150 wRC+, sucks at everything else because he's out of shape, 2-4 win season 10% - wOBA and xwOBA both go down, sucks at everything else because he's out out shape, sub-2 win season 10% - wOBA once again a lot less than xwOBA, sucks at everything else because he's out out shape, sub-2 win season
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Vlad's xwOBA is almost 0.400 and he put up like 9 fWAR over the previous two seasons. His career to date has mostly been disappointing, but like 20 teams would have interest in trading for him if Toronto wanted to go in a different direction.
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100%
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I bet a lot of owners wouldn't sell for even a 2nd
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What's Manoah's value in a 20-team dynasty league?
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Alvarez is also really fun to watch play
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The heart wants what it wants
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What do you even do with Manoah at this point?
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His average exit velo is hilarious: lower than Myles Straw, Aledmys Diaz, and Michael Taylor. Tied with Keirmaier, Tony Kemp, CJ Abrams, and Brice Turang.
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"xwOBA doesn't matter for my guy" never ends well. One of two things are going to happen: Bellinger is going to start hitting the ball hard for the first time since 2020, or he's going to be a low-end starter who carves out a career as a weak-hitting defensive CF.
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If you and jaysblue want to do a video collab, I'd accept that in lieu of separate apologies.
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Jim I demand a heartfelt apology for accusing me of caring enough about Cody Bellinger to go back and delete posts on this forum.
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I've never deleted one of my own posts on this forum. That xwOBA post was on Fantrax, you absolute f***ing idiots.
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I'd try to get a different piece than Jones and take the Chourio/Neto package.
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Just saw on the Padres broadcast that Harper hasn't homered in 36 games.
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Faaaaack
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Most teams at lest colour match. This is hideous.
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Really appreciate all of the insights you’re dropping here, Mr. Tango.
