They Jays will be better than last season, no doubt there, but you are expecting too much. You're scenario expects that all 6 of our key offensive players will be healthy (140+ games) and that more than likely won't happen. Injuries will happen. Dickey and Buehrle will be another year older and it's not unreasonable to think both will further regress, not improve. If an injury happens to Reyes or Lawrie, this team will see Kawasaki and Goins in the infield at the same time, that would be laughable. We have only two SP with a realistic chance at 200 innings and the final 3 combined for about 285 innings last year. Our SP depth is better but if one of Dickey or Buehrle go down this might be the worst rotation in the entire MLB and it's already in the bottom half as is. There is some upside, but let's be realistic, this team isn't contending for anything.