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Abomination

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Everything posted by Abomination

  1. Yes, I know that. It means one of two things. Either it's a statistical anomaly (certainly mathematically possible, but I sure as hell wouldn't bet on it given the larger sample size), or there's another factor that wRC+ isn't capturing. It's a very VERY large difference. Maybe he simply sees the ball better in Coors, who the hell knows. If I'm looking at trading for him, I'm paying a lot more attention to the road number though. If it was just a season's worth of at-bats or something, it would be a different story. For whatever it's worth, league average is generally between 5% and 10% higher wRC+ for players at home over the road.
  2. The problem isn't so much the acquisition cost as the salary cost. He HAS to get back to being a big time player to justify what he's making, and that's certainly nowhere close to guaranteed. His career 100 wRC+ away from Coors isn't encouraging either, in relation to salary, and neither is his defense.
  3. He's limping pretty badly still. Hopefully he can continue, but I wouldn't be surprised if he couldn't come back out for the second.
  4. Last year was a ton of injuries. This year, he's been heating up quite a bit as the season has been progressing. His wRC+ by month this year: 45, 73, 116, 161. His numbers on the year would actually be fine (although still not quite Cargo like) if he wasn't inexplicably putting up a -9 wRC+ vs lefties.
  5. Unless we can get someone controllable for a few years, we should try to trade for Latos and Iwakuma. Both should be decent rotation upgrades, and I don't think either would cost one of our top prospects. Sanchez moves to the pen and solidifies that (and the pen is really starting to get it together anyway).
  6. Hamels isn't a rental, and I think Chapman is controllable through 2016 too isn't he?
  7. I wouldn't be too happy about trading Sanchez for a 2ish month rental, and definitely not Norris. Now if we get someone good and controllable for a few years, sure.
  8. He's never been a big strikeout guy in the minors, so you had to figure it would come down. 15% to 16% is probably about right. It would be nice if he could get the walk rate up a little more, but at least it's moving in the right direction.
  9. No one generally does. That's why it's called great pitching.
  10. I wasn't paying terribly close attention, but I think it was Travis that made the relay throw.
  11. Did I just see 85mph from Dickey?
  12. Both can veto trades, and neither would have a reason not to.
  13. Ethier has put up 1.7 WAR so far this year, is plus defensively in LF, and saves 4M / year over Reyes for the same term. Rollins is just flat out struggling this year offensively, but it's the final year of his contract and he has an excellent track record. Maybe getting him out of a pitcher's park will get him going. If not, play Goins. From the Dodger's perspective, Reyes is an upgrade over Rollins (at present), and Guerrero can take over in the field full time. I think it makes a certain amount of sense for both teams.
  14. I wonder if the Dodgers would do Rollins and Ethier for Reyes?
  15. Somewhat disagree. Starting Bello (Even. Carrera is just as cringe worthy imo) Starting Valencia at 3rd (Nope - Nothing wrong with giving Donaldson a half day off from time to time, and it doesn't happen often) Not starting Smoak (Nope - Smoak struggles against lefties. In other games though, completely agree) Not DHing Edwin (1/2 day off for Donaldson, no particular issue today. Other days, yes) Batting Bello 5th (Yeah) Batting Devon Travis 9th (Yeah) anyone disagree?
  16. "Duke is filling up the strike zone"... All 7 pitches outside the strike zone.
  17. Iwakuma might be an interesting target. Lowish salary, and will have only made a few starts by the trade deadline after being out most of the year. FA at end of the year I believe, and Seattle looks like they're going to be out of it. I'd have to think the price could be pretty reasonable.
  18. Lol Garcia. Talk about misjudging the wall.
  19. Nope, but at the same time Reyes DID start to slow down before crossing the plate. Donaldson should never have tried that though, and Reyes in fairness probably wasn't expecting it.
  20. The high home runs I remember that response to was Tony Batista. That guy loved the ball inside corner at his eyeballs...
  21. I believe Halladay has a fairly significant digestive problem. HGH probably wouldn't do anything to help.
  22. Not smart by Donaldson to tag up there. He would have been out before Reyes crossed the plate if the ball wasn't booted.
  23. I think he was something like -3 wins, but early stats weren't very comprehensive so that's mainly hand waving. Keep in mind that up until now, we haven't had enough data to really determine individual defense fairly (granted Jeter has a large enough body of work that it is probably pretty accurate for his career). With the new data systems now in place, we have defender's position, ball trajectory and velocity, speed, defender reaction times, etc (well we may not, but teams do). It should be possible to determine exact defensive ability to very good accuracy going forward.
  24. Not necessarily. It's possible most of the balls are hit right at defenders. I mean that's part of luck too. Don't get me wrong, I'm not railing against the advanced stats at all. I was mainly just pointing out that if we're talking about a player getting it done, we can't remove things like luck or we really change the argument. Removing that is needed for (most) other kinds of discussions though.
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