GDT: 3/3 Baltimore Orioles @ Toronto Blue Jays (1:37 et)

[wilko]

Also f*** the Orioles for somehow salvaging Felix Bautista

 

Can he keep this up???

 

Possibly... as long as his velo is up. His fastball is pretty straight but pumping it in 100+ with secondary stuff in the low/mid 80's is filthy.

[Terminator]

Kenley Jansen has 7 blown saves

 

Rays have the most blown saves with 29

Braves have 26

 

Orioles have the fewest with 11

 

Jays middle of the pack with 21

 

Yankees have 18

 

Not exactly what you were asking but it's interesting and relevant

 

Yeah it'd be interesting to see. Not all save opps are the same. I watched a Braves game the other day and they mentioned how horrible Jansen is in 1-run save opps but with 2 or 3 run leads he's been money. There's a huge difference between a 1-run save with the Yankees middle of the order coming up vs a 3-run lead against the Nats bottom of the order.

[Solaxys]

Romano is 34/39 in Save Opportunities but it seems like a lot of them have been high pressure 1 run games. Would love to see how he compares to other closers in really close games.

 

[table=width: 1250]

[tr]

[td]Team[/td]

[td]Closer[/td]

[td]Saves/Opportunities[/td]

[td]Success Rate[/td]

[td]Shutdowns (WPA >= +0.06)[/td]

[td]SD Rate (SD/Opportunities)[/td]

[/tr]

[tr]

[td]NY Yankees[/td]

[td]Clay Holmes[/td]

[td]20/25[/td]

[td]80%[/td]

[td]14[/td]

[td]56%[/td]

[/tr]

[tr]

[td]Toronto Blue Jays[/td]

[td]Jordan Romano[/td]

[td]34/39[/td]

[td]87.2%[/td]

[td]28[/td]

[td]71.8%[/td]

[/tr]

[tr]

[td]TB Rays[/td]

[td]Pete Fairbanks + Jason Adam[/td]

[td]16/18[/td]

[td]88.9%[/td]

[td]13[/td]

[td]72.2%[/td]

[/tr]

[tr]

[td]Baltimore Orioles[/td]

[td]Jorge Lopez + Felix Bautista[/td]

[td]33/38[/td]

[td]86.8%[/td]

[td]27[/td]

[td]71.1%[/td]

[/tr]

[tr]

[td]Boston Red Sox[/td]

[td]Tanner Houck + John Schreiber[/td]

[td]15/18[/td]

[td]83.3%[/td]

[td]9[/td]

[td]50%[/td]

[/tr]

[tr]

[td]Cleveland Guardians[/td]

[td]Emmanuel Clase[/td]

[td]36/39[/td]

[td]92.3%[/td]

[td]26[/td]

[td]66.7%[/td]

[/tr]

[tr]

[td]Chicago White Sox[/td]

[td]Liam Hendriks[/td]

[td]33/37[/td]

[td]89.2%[/td]

[td]24[/td]

[td]64.9%[/td]

[/tr]

[tr]

[td]Minnesota Twins[/td]

[td]Emilio Pagan + Jhoan Duran + Jorge Lopez[/td]

[td]21/30[/td]

[td]70%[/td]

[td]17[/td]

[td]56.7%[/td]

[/tr]

[tr]

[td]Kansas City Royals[/td]

[td]Scott Barlow[/td]

[td]21/25[/td]

[td]82%[/td]

[td]16[/td]

[td]64%[/td]

[/tr]

[tr]

[td]Detroit Tigers[/td]

[td]Gregory Soto[/td]

[td]25/27[/td]

[td]92.6%[/td]

[td]20[/td]

[td]74.1%[/td]

[/tr]

[tr]

[td]Houston Astros[/td]

[td]Ryan Pressly[/td]

[td]28/32[/td]

[td]87.5%[/td]

[td]19[/td]

[td]59.4%[/td]

[/tr]

[tr]

[td]Seattle Mariners[/td]

[td]Paul Sewald[/td]

[td]19/24[/td]

[td]79.2%[/td]

[td]14[/td]

[td]58.3%[/td]

[/tr]

[tr]

[td]LA Angels[/td]

[td]Raisel Iglesias[/td]

[td]16/19[/td]

[td]84.2%[/td]

[td]5[/td]

[td]26.3%[/td]

[/tr]

[tr]

[td]Texas Rangers[/td]

[td]Joe Barlow + Jose LeClerc[/td]

[td]19/24[/td]

[td]79.2%[/td]

[td]13[/td]

[td]54.2%[/td]

[/tr]

[tr]

[td]Oakland Athletics[/td]

[td]Dany Jimenez + Lou Trivino[/td]

[td]21/26[/td]

[td]80.8%[/td]

[td]19[/td]

[td]73%[/td]

[/tr]

[tr]

[td]NY Mets[/td]

[td]Edwin Diaz[/td]

[td]30/33[/td]

[td]90.9%[/td]

[td]23[/td]

[td]69.7%[/td]

[/tr]

[tr]

[td]Atlanta Braves[/td]

[td]Kenley Jansen[/td]

[td]34/41[/td]

[td]82.9%[/td]

[td]21[/td]

[td]51.2%[/td]

[/tr]

[tr]

[td]Philadelphia Phillies[/td]

[td]Corey Knebel + Seranthony Dominguez + David Robertson[/td]

[td]20/27[/td]

[td]74.1%[/td]

[td]17[/td]

[td]63%[/td]

[/tr]

[tr]

[td]Miami Marlins[/td]

[td]Tanner Scott[/td]

[td]19/26[/td]

[td]73.1%[/td]

[td]10[/td]

[td]38.5%[/td]

[/tr]

[tr]

[td]Washington Nationals[/td]

[td]Tanner Rainey + Kyle Finnegan[/td]

[td]22/30[/td]

[td]73.3%[/td]

[td]17[/td]

[td]56.7%[/td]

[/tr]

[tr]

[td]St. Louis Cardinals[/td]

[td]Ryan Helsley + Giovanny Gallegos[/td]

[td]31/41[/td]

[td]75.6%[/td]

[td]25[/td]

[td]61%[/td]

[/tr]

[tr]

[td]Milwaukee Brewers[/td]

[td]Josh Hader + Devin Williams[/td]

[td]39/42[/td]

[td]92.9%[/td]

[td]26[/td]

[td]61.9%[/td]

[/tr]

[tr]

[td]Chicago Cubs[/td]

[td]David Robertson + Rowan Wick[/td]

[td]23/33[/td]

[td]69.7%[/td]

[td]19[/td]

[td]57.6%[/td]

[/tr]

[tr]

[td]Cincinnati Reds[/td]

[td]Alexis Diaz + Hunter Strickland[/td]

[td]14/22[/td]

[td]63.6%[/td]

[td]11[/td]

[td]50%[/td]

[/tr]

[tr]

[td]Pittsburgh Pirates[/td]

[td]David Bednar[/td]

[td]17/21[/td]

[td]81%[/td]

[td]13[/td]

[td]61.9%[/td]

[/tr]

[tr]

[td]LA Dodgers[/td]

[td]Craig Kimbrel[/td]

[td]22/27[/td]

[td]81.5%[/td]

[td]12[/td]

[td]44%[/td]

[/tr]

[tr]

[td]SD Padres[/td]

[td]Taylor Rogers[/td]

[td]28/35[/td]

[td]80%[/td]

[td]16[/td]

[td]45.7%[/td]

[/tr]

[tr]

[td]SF Giants[/td]

[td]Camilo Doval[/td]

[td]23/26[/td]

[td]88.5%[/td]

[td]18[/td]

[td]69.2%[/td]

[/tr]

[tr]

[td]Arizona Diamondbacks[/td]

[td]Mark Melancon + Ian Kennedy[/td]

[td]27/36[/td]

[td]75%[/td]

[td]24[/td]

[td]66.7%[/td]

[/tr]

[tr]

[td]Colorado Rockies[/td]

[td]Daniel Bard[/td]

[td]32/35[/td]

[td]91.4%[/td]

[td]24[/td]

[td]68.6%[/td]

[/tr]

[/table]

 

For converted saves %, Romano ranks 10th best; filtering to teams who currently possess a postseason spot, however, he is 5th best.

 

If you deep-dive though, Romano currently holds the most shutdown appearances as a closer.

As a % of his save opportunities, he is 4th best and the only other playoff contender that is ahead of him is the combo of Fairbanks/Adam (TBR) by a very slim margin.

 

Other thoughts:

Actually crazy how bad Kimbrel is. Clay Holmes has fallen off quite hard. Duran > Pagan/Lopez - yet Twins insist on using Duran as a setup man. Helsley is insane but he also isn't always on (he has 4 blown saves). Bard is kind of elite. Bautista is also pretty elite - despite his control issues, he only has one blown save and only one non-shutdown appearance as a closer (yesterday's was close, but I think the two Ks kept him just afloat). Camilo Doval & Gregory Soto are bonkers.

Edited September 20, 2022 by Solaxys