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Posted (edited)

They sure are going at it hard with the Ontario market opening up. I'm salivating at some of these. Which ones would you take?

 

Four options:

 

1. Yes I'd take the bet.

2. Yes. I don't think it'll necessarily happen, but I like the payout.

3. No. I think it'll happen, but the payout isn't worth it

4. No, it won't hit.

 

Jays to sweep Rangers in the first series +250

 

Jays to win 90+ games -225

95+ games +150

100+ games +400

 

5 Jays to hit 25+ HR +100

5 Jays to hit 30+ HR +500

 

Guerrero to hit 50+ HR +250

55+ HR +800

60+ HR +2000

 

Springer to hit 35+ HR -110

40+ HR +250

 

Hernandez to hit 35+ HR +150

40+ HR +400

 

Bichette to hit 30+ HR +200

35+ HR +1000

 

Chapman to hit 35+ HR +150

40+ HR +500

 

Berrios to record 200+ K's +100

Berrios and Manoah both record 200+ K's +500

Edited by Dick_Pole
Posted

Sweep Rangers - yes

90 wins - no, not worth it. 95, 100 - yes

5 players/25 HR - no, but I think it'll happen but payout not worth the risk

5 players/30 HR - no

Guerrero - yes to all

Springer - no to both

Hernandez - yes, yes I don't think it'll happen but worth the bet

Bichette - yes to both

Chapman - no

Berrios - yes but not worth it

Berrios/Manoah - yes

Posted

I know Chapman has some health risk, but a 5 to 1 payout on 40 HRs is tempting .

 

If you can hit 27 in Oakland over a mostly full season where you were overall garbage offensively, you can sure hit 40+ in Toronto and the AL East parks if you're in the lineup everyday with even a bit of a bounceback.

 

 

Donaldson went from 29 in Oakland to 41 and 37 over the next 2 seasons in TO.

 

We just saw what Semien did, 33 to 45.

 

Chapman going 27 to 40 isn't a big stretch. hell, he hit 36 in Oakland his last healthy season.

Posted
Bichette 30 HR for 2:1 looks juicy

 

I know he was a rock last year but all the sliding, diving around, and hacking out of his shoes would make me nervous to do that bet

Community Moderator
Posted
I know he was a rock last year but all the sliding, diving around, and hacking out of his shoes would make me nervous to do that bet

 

It's almost a coinflip on health as far as I see it. 100% health and I would be shocked if he doesn't hit 30

Posted
Health is a coin flip question mark and a big factor in literally every season long bet. I don't see why a 24 year old with a compact build and minimal injury history is of any greater risk of injury than any other player. If I had to pick 10 guys off this roster most likely to miss significant time due to injury, Bichette would not make that list.
Community Moderator
Posted

yeah that's why it's a good bet IMO

 

you get 2:1 on a coinflip or something close to one

 

he could even have a normal DL stint and still pop 30

 

like steamer projects 30 in 150 games

Posted
Health is a coin flip question mark and a big factor in literally every season long bet. I don't see why a 24 year old with a compact build and minimal injury history is of any greater risk of injury than any other player. If I had to pick 10 guys off this roster most likely to miss significant time due to injury, Bichette would not make that list.

 

Stealing bases is the big one. Plus squeezing that extra base when you have wheels. You can be a healthy 18yo and easily jam your wrist/ankle, or have someone step on it. I think that’s why for fantasy baseball, 70 speed is kind of insignificant, as if they can hit well, teams will corral them more times than not seems like. I’m not claiming my opinion is anything other than casual observation

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